I think you had the right

I think you had the right idea about the military at any rate. But that was pretty evident when they would not crack down on the protesters.

In regards to Libya, there is no certainty that things need get far worse than they were a few days ago. The opposition is talking about returning to the streets to demonstrate, peacefully. That's encouraging. Their vision for the future of Libya has been articulated and supported by enough people to assure me that it would be very hard to "steal" whatever progress is eventually.

With the proper guidance and engagement during whatever process  unfolds, things should evolve positively in the political sphere.  Either Gaddafi is isolated and is eventually given an "out" or the uprising is successful and there is a democratic revolution. A fracture of the country and a stalemate are fine too if you think about it. I don't think that Gaddafi has the military means to take back the country, and this is a good outcome. It's great that no one even wants to kill him. No malice, that's impressive.

Plus, think about this, unlike Egypt, Libya is already pretty much an islamic republic run by a mad man, so I don't think there is much to lose on that front.

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