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Iraq: not civil war, occupation

The Iraq Study Group has still not understood what people in Iraq well know, says Sami Ramadani: that it is the United States military occupation of Iraq itself that is fuelling the violence there.

When he was asked by the BBC whether he thought Iraq was going through a civil war, United Nations secretary-general Kofi Annan said that clashes in Lebanon and elsewhere in the past were described as civil war and that the situation in Iraq "is worse than civil war."

I don't know what Kofi Annan had in mind as to what exactly is going on in Iraq, but it is clear to me that it is certainly worse than a civil war. However, I must swiftly add that it is not a communal civil war. Civil wars come in all shapes and sizes, and some are more brutal than others. The 15th century English "wars of the roses" were a series of civil wars, and so were the French, Russian and Chinese revolutions. The clashes in the Lebanon of the 1970s and 1980s, the implosion of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s, and the conflicts in the Democratic Republic of Congo in the late 1990s all had strong elements of a communal civil war.

But we don't describe the war in Vietnam from the 1950s to the 1970s as a civil war, even though it had aspects of civil war, because the National Liberation Front (NLF) was fighting against the South Vietnamese government forces, numbering well over one million soldiers, backed by United States forces. The US policy to withdraw from Vietnam - following the 1968 Tet offensive, the withdrawal of President Johnson from the presidential election race, and the election of Richard M Nixon - went through a process of strengthening the South Vietnamese forces and relying on them to fight the NLF. It was known as "Vietnamisation".

Sami Ramadani was a political refugee from Saddam Hussein's regime. He is a senior lecturer in sociology at London Metropolitan University

It took the US seven more years finally to admit defeat and withdraw - and only after its "exit strategy" included a massive escalation of the war, bombing Hanoi, spreading the war into Laos and carpet-bombing Cambodia. Most Vietnamese people and their supporters called it a war of liberation (and in Vietnam's historiography it is designated the "American war"). The US media called it the "war in Vietnam" or the "war against communism".

With the blood of the innocent being spilt abundantly in many parts of Iraq, all this might sound like a scholastic exercise and an argument about semantics. Widely used terms, however, can inform and help us to understand, while misused or abused terms have the power to misinform and confuse. They can also mislead the public into supporting or acquiescing in policies on vital matters.

If the global public sees the war as a "war on terrorism" coupled with an Iraqi communal civil war (raging now or threatening to do so) then it is unlikely to demand the swift withdrawal of the troops. If, however, the public sees the war for what it really is, it will probably demand the immediate withdrawal of the troops. And that is why the argument about how to describe the war in Iraq and what exactly is the nature of this war become immensely important. Furthermore, correctly diagnosing what goes in Iraq, and going beyond the expressions of sympathetic platitudes, is an essential first step to finding a solution for the bloody tragedy engulfing the people of Iraq.

The terms "Iraqisation" and "Iraqi-isation" were introduced about two years ago, following Pentagon efforts to involve more Iraqis in the fighting; neither has caught on. They are wholly unable to address the vital questions that remain: what is the nature of the war in Iraq, and what is the way out for the Iraqi people?

How it started

Despite suggestions to the contrary, the answer to the first question hasn't changed ever since the United States-led forces occupied Iraq in March-April 2003: a war of bullets and politics between the occupying powers and most of the Iraqi people who want them out. The feelings of the Iraqi people towards the occupation became abundantly clear within two weeks of the fall of Baghdad to United States tanks on 9 April 2003.

According to the BBC, about 4 million people from all over Iraq marched on to Karbala to commemorate the anniversary of Islam's (particularly Shi'a Islam's) most famous martyr, Imam Hussain. The most popular slogans on that march, which was boosted by people from all religions and none, must have sent alarm bells ringing in Washington and London. For several days they chanted Kalla, Kalla Amreeka - Kalla, Kalla Saddam ("No to America, no to Saddam"). If this is how the Shi'a felt, how would the Sunni, not to mention the atheists?!

From that moment on most of the Iraqi people never ceased making their feelings clear towards the occupation. First they used words and engaged in peaceful protests, which quickly led to using bullets too. The latter Rubicon was crossed on 28 April 2003, one week after the march on Karbala, when US soldiers opened fire on parents and children who gathered in front of a primary school in Fallujah demanding the US forces stop using it as an outpost and to allow their children to go back to school. They killed eighteen of them in cold blood and injured about sixty others.

Until the killing of those demonstrators, not a single bullet had been fired at US soldiers in Fallujah or any of the cities north of Baghdad. This was the event that reverberated across Iraq and sparked the armed resistance to occupation. Fallujah being a predominantly Sunni town, and the occupation authorities' having a keen eye for attempting to split the opposition, led to the production of a myth as big as the weapons of mass destruction (WMD) deception that launched the invasion and occupation of Iraq: the fiction that the armed resistance is predominantly Sunni and that they are in a fight against the Shi'a.

The US-led forces responded by using even more bombs, bullets, warm words, and money to reverse the popular odds piling up against them. But within six months of the occupation the CIA boldly warned, "the resistance is broad, strong and getting stronger." Despite attempts to muddy the waters of what is going on in Iraq, it is clear that the resistance is even broader, stronger and getting stronger with every passing day.

What of the mindless violence, terrorism and sectarian murders? This is where the occupation authorities and the establishment media have succeeded in convincing most of the public in the US and Britain that, after thousands of years of living together without even a whiff of communal civil war in their history, the people of Mesopotamia don't want to "live and let live" anymore, but have decided to kill each other instead. Add to this scenario the exaggerated presence of foreign terrorists led by al-Qaida, trying to take control of Iraq's oil according to George W Bush, and you have a distorted and highly misleading picture of Iraq. It appears that an old colonial frame of mind has taken root in relation to Iraq; for some, the natives are at it again. In this mindset, the occupation forces are made to appear as a benign, almost virtuous presence in the middle of raging sectarian violence.

As a result, it has become easier for the White House and Downing Street to appear concerned and reasonable when they argue that the troops should stay in Iraq, until such time as the "job is done", "democracy is established", "the terrorists are defeated", "the Iraqis could be in charge of security" or "security is restored".

Of course they talk less of democracy nowadays, for the natives are not ready for it. There is even more talk - as there has been since the very start of the occupation - of backing a "strong man". (Someone like Saddam perhaps?) Indeed, an image of Iraq imploding and generating even greater levels of bloodshed, once the troops withdraw, has convinced even some anti-war writers and most of the anti-war public that the troops should not be withdrawn too quickly.

Also in openDemocracy on modern Iraq's history and politics:

Peter Sluglett, "Iraq, Britain, and the United States: new perspectives, old problems"
(3 June 2003)

Sami Zubaida, "The rise and fall of civil society in Iraq" (5 February 2003)

Omar A Omar, "Kirkuk: microcosm of Iraq"
(21 March 2005)

Sami Zubaida, "Iraq's constitution on the edge" (22 August 2005)

Anwar Rizvi, "Iraq: civil war or no civil war?" (10 April 2006)

Reidar Visser, "Iraq's partition fantasy"
(19 May 2006)

Zaid Al-Ali, "Iraq's war of elimination"
(21 August 2006)

Zaid Al-Ali, "Saving Iraq: a critique of Peter W Galbraith"
(26 October 2006)

Gareth Stansfield & Liam Anderson, "Iraq: divide or die"
(22 November 2006)

Reidar Visser, "Iraq lives"
(22 November 2006)

How it must end

The long-awaited and much-leaked Iraq Study Group report (under the direction of James A Baker and Lee Hamilton) is likely to feed into this falsehood. It suggests reducing the troops and relying more on Iraqis to do the killing (more "Iraqisation"). And to appear even more concerned and reasonable, they suggest asking Syria and Iran to help restore peace in Iraq. They do not even dare to go as far as the chief-of-staff of the British army, Richard Dannatt, and suggest that the occupation forces, which "kicked the door in", are "exasperating" the situation and creating more violence. They do not tell us about some of the disturbing facts on the ground.

They do not tell us about the "Salvador option" and the presence in Iraq of US death-squads, trained at Fort Bragg, North Carolina and Israel, nor will they spill the beans (as US generals have started to do).

They do not tell us about the secret militias trained and financed by the US, partly uncovered by the Wall Street Journal (in February 2005), but in any case common knowledge in Iraq.

They do not tell us why the occupying power should secretly smuggle 200,000 Kalashnikovs and tons of explosives into Iraq from Bosnia within one year (2004-05); nor to whom these weapons were supplied.

They do not tell us about the hundreds of millions of dollars being spent on covert political operations and the backing of proxy political forces.

They do not tell us about continuing work on building the biggest US embassy in the world in Baghdad's Green Zone embassy (fortress), about the roughly fourteen permanent military bases (including four massive ones) being constructed.

They do not tell us about the post-Abu Ghraib contracting-out of most of the torture to the Iraqi state, the backing of Iraqi state-sponsored violence against civilians.

They do not tell us - last but very from least - about the silent killers of Iraqi people.

Some Iraqi doctors think that more people are dying prematurely because of other occupation-related factors than from the violence itself. More than 654,000 Iraqis are estimated (by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health) to have been killed since the US-led invasion. But the silent killers are claiming lives almost unnoticed.

The country's infrastructure has all but been destroyed; people are exposed to the health danger of depleted uranium from US and British military ordnance; the health service is near collapse and hospitals have been reduced to impotence in the face of mounting injuries and disease, particularly water-born diseases affecting children. The electricity shortage is affecting the sewage plants, which are pumping raw sewage into the rivers.

About 300 of the country's leading academics and scientists have been assassinated and its educational system is approaching collapse. How much more should the Iraqi people be subjected to for Bush and Blair to have their chosen puppets firmly installed in Baghdad?

There is another striking aspect of the war that gets rarely reported, and which I think is vitally important to bring to the attention of the public outside Iraq. There is near unanimity amongst Iraqis, outside the ruling circles and parties, particularly amongst the people most affected by the terrorist violence, that the indiscriminate violence is generated and backed or turned a blind eye to by the occupation authorities.

Anyone who cares to track the daily footage of scenes of murder and mayhem in Baghdad and elsewhere in the aftermath of terrorist atrocities would immediately notice this attitude. The raw film, broadcast by Iraqi and Arab satellite stations, is striking for the anger expressed by the injured and their families against the occupation. Some of this carnage is shown on British TV but always stripped of the comments made by the angry crowds and the injured.

It appears to be alright to state, without any evidence, that Sunni this and Shi'a that caused the explosions but it would be highly speculative to broadcast the opinions of the victims of the violence.

In reality, and this is also backed by the latest large-scale opinion poll conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland, most Iraqis see the occupation as the poison running through the veins of Iraqi society. Whether it is the heightened sectarian tensions, the occupation violence or the indiscriminate atrocities, the occupation's tentacles are perceived to be behind it by the people that matter: the battered and bloodied Iraqi people.

No way out of the tragedy is feasible without looking at the occupation itself and identifying it for what it is: the source of and magnet for most of the violence and antagonistic divisions. Moreover, if the US-led occupation forces are not fully and swiftly withdrawn from Iraq, then the US 'exit strategy' will mushroom into new, devastating wars against Lebanon, Syria and Iran.

Iraq will not be suddenly turned into a bed of roses once the occupation ends. Some of the violence might also continue. But the Iraqi people will get the chance to resolve their own problems without the presence of a United States-led occupation in their midst. It's called the right to self-determination.

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further links
read on

Thomas E Ricks, Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq (Penguin, 2006) US, UK

Patrick Cockburn, The Occupation: War and Resistance in Iraq (Verso, 2006) US, UK

 
Copyright © Sami Ramadani, . Published by openDemocracy Ltd. You may download and print extracts from this article for your own personal and non-commercial use only. If you teach at a university we ask that your department make a donation. Contact us if you wish to discuss republication. Some articles on this site are published under different terms.

shadou said:



Fri, 2006-12-08 02:01
Just what is that the Bush administration wants that requires the destruction of Iraq? It would seem that the quest is for the control of oil reserves, but even that would not necessitate the slaughter of so many innocents.

Mr. Bush is certainly infantile and in his Hell-ish Realm, but is that true of everyone inside the Beltway? Why is he being allowed by the citizens of the United States to conduct such evil mayhem?

Are all of us guilty, complicit in his vile actions?

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deteodoru said:



Fri, 2006-12-08 02:54
There are two terribly paralyzing cans tied to the tail of US troops patrolling anywhere in Iraq: 1) oil and 2) Israel's interests via the neocons. The first has been dealt with only by the Vice President under a cover of official secrecy. And the behavior of Mr. Bremer went a long way to suggest that Iraq's oil might well have become the exclusive property ad perpetum, were it not for the UN's intervention in making clear that such contracts were not allowed by the occupying power. The second is down right outrageous. The neocon mantra-- if it's good for Israel it HAS GOT TO BE GOOD for America-- has tainted every single American move in the Mideast. It has made the US occupation a cover for Mossad fragmentation of Iraqi ethnic-religious groups. The irony of Bush turning Iraq over to Iran run Shia (SCIRI) state at the expense of Iraqi nationalists Shia (so recognized even by the Sunnis) under Sadr while the US seeks to impose loss of Shia Hezbollah domination of Lebanon, though it is the largest group in that country (Shia also a majority), has confounded the meaning of the American role in the Mideast.

The Woodward book seems to miss one critical component of the Rumsfeld Saga. While Bush was the presidential candidate neocon seed-money financed in the early march trough the Republican primaries of 2000, Rumsfeld was their key man. He and his troll, Cheney, were advised to join the Bush Administration. Rumsfeld was told to take DoD and win a quick war in Iraq to make himself famous. Then, since they insisted Bush would not survive to a second term, he could be the Republican hero to step into the candidacy. At the same time, utterly incompetent but inbred neocon-juniors were put all through DoD to dilute Wolfowitz and assure that Rummy abides by the neocon program. The old Bolsheviks once more got their way as shadows influencing their man. The key to this operation's Iraq occupation was Bremer. For he informs us the the pulverization of the Iraqi military and civil service was ordered, not by Rumsfeld, but by Feist. That way, Rumsfeld evades blame for short-circuiting the oblivious president and the neocons get the digested and helpless Iraq they wanted...an Iraq, ready for Chalabi to take-over; that's what they wanted.

Unfortunately for them, Bush was fully informed by the CIA that Chalabi is run by the Iranians. And so, Frankiln got that to them through AIPAC a bit too late. Chalabi was cut off and arrested trough a DoS-Iraqi Provisional Govt. maneuver that Bremer was not privy to; and so, DoD was stuck occupying Iraq without a plan, Rumsfeld having thrown the British-American occupation plan into the garbage before the invasion. Sec. of State Powell had insisted on DoD exclusive responsibility for Iraq so that Rummy alone would be blamed for the failure.

Israel got the pulverized Ba'athist Party it wanted so that it would no longer be a threat to it-- hoping that Syria would be the next-- but, as Netanyahu had predicted, the giant American ally was now stuck in and sinking in Iraq, despite Israeli assistance and advice on how to occupy an Arab land. Not long after, the neocons-- diagnosed already as abnormal by Sharon-- desperately sought to extend the American invasion to Syria, then Iran, but to no avail.

Bush DID survive to win a second term and he kept Rumsfeld in office so that Rummy can be made to take blame for Iraq from soup to nuts when the time to pull-out comes. Cheney was kept on the ticket, but after victory was isolated, while Rice-- with a full green light form the President-- revitalized DoS as the operative control of US foreign policy.

Before the invasion by US forces, like all other Arabs, knowing he could not hold back the US, Saddam planned a Stalin-type resistance for after the Americans take Baghdad. Then, seeing themselves with no income while Halliburton, for its own security, flooded Iraq with Third Country nationals as employees, the hardest hit by the unemployment, the Sunnis, flocked to the Ba'athists Resistance. Bremer thought that Alawi was a secular alternative for Chalabi. But all in all, from the wild days of looting onward, Iraqis came to conclude by observing the Bremer-run occupation that the Americans in-country are both idiots and crooks. Last count, $9 billion worth of "reconstruction" aid is missing. Two strands developed amongst gun-abled men in Iraq: 1) hate of occupation and revenge seeking in return for violence and insult visited on their families by US troops; 2) criminality-- this is the largest group-- forming gangs or selling services (you can have anyone killed in Baghdad for $20) and other illicit activities who today are responsible for most of the killing of civilians as they carve out fiefs.

There is now only one solution possible: FOR AMERICA TO ANNOUNCE A DATE SET BY WHICH IT WILL REMOVE ALL TROOPS. Incompetence is forgivable should it be clear that the occupation will come to an end. But America's good-will is unbelievable when the issue is continued occupation. An thus, no Iraqi leader is believable when sustained by the occupiers. Any contact with Americans leads to discrediting of the involved Iraqi. Only the SCIRI officials can get away with it because they are known to be Iran stooges and are duly supported efficiently and lavishly.

The key issue is that Americans are staying in Iraq for a reason-- most assumed by Iraqis are reasons in support of US or Israeli interests. Currently, most violence is visited by Shia and Sunni gangsters on the professional class of both Shia and Sunni sides, on the assumption that these groups have money and can be extorted. Lest America sets a date soon, there will not be educated Iraqis left alive (over 100,000 have left Iraq) to provide services in the country. Setting a date will produce immediate "entre-Irakiens" negotiations for the formation of some sort of truce, as the French keep insisting. But without a clear sign that the occupation is coming to an end Iraq is doomed. The Bush meeting with Hakim, leader of SCIRI, was meant as a substitute for meeting with Iran. But it is to no avail until the US clearly shows that it is giving up its occupation in force of Iraq. US advisers dispersed, not the the Iraqi army, but to all Shia and Sunni village militias will, as in Vietnam, create the self-confidence needed to promote concessions and national unity. But Sadr must be shown that Iraqi nationalists are those favored by the US, not Iran lackeys. The US must make a truce with him so he can feel safe to reconcile with the Sunnis against the Iran run SCIRI before we withdraw.

Daniel E. Teodoru

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beltron64 said:



Fri, 2006-12-08 05:32
Bush's and rest of the neocons will just keep the war up until GB dumps Blair and America runs out of money and idiots that want to join the army and marins so that they have the chance to legally kill the unarmed and helpless. The insurgents are finally getting their act together and kicing some major American butt! Eventually the Americans will have to pack it in because they will run out of money, equipment, and fools wishing to serve in the ranks as paid killers when they are finally fighting some people that are able to fight back. The Americans are really afraid of anybody who can fight back. God is Great!
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johnevans7 said:



Fri, 2006-12-08 12:14
It is a puerile simplification to talk about the US occupation of Iraq, but it sounds good doesn't it?.

By occupation what do we mean?

'Occupation' as in the Syrian occupation of The Lebanon? or the Iraqi occupation of Kuwait? or the Russian occupation of Chechnya? or the Israeli occupation of the West Bank?

The US presence in Iraq of course has no resemblance to any of these.

Democratic elections have been held, and the country has a civilian government. This you can kiss goodbye when US troops depart.

Bloodshed was inevitable when the artificially entity which is/was Iraq emerged from brutal dictatorship. Shia's hate Sunnis who hate Kurds who hate both,and so it goes. They are now killing and maiming each other, not the USA.

If you haven�t noticed there are conflicts raging all over our planet.

What is happening in Iraq is no different to Sri Lanka, The Congo and Darfur (all please without US involvement). These catastrophes are certainly not occupations, nor civil wars. They are �Ethnic Cleansings� and that is what is happening in Iraq.

Egged on by both Iran and Syria (seeing the chance to increase their hegemonies) and warlords and gangsters on the make, is it any wonder there is such anarchy?

Blaming the USA for the worlds ills is not a new sport but it becoming boring and the people who do it boorish.

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