What the civil war in Syria has exposed is that the massive political and social transformation,
and real regime change under way is led by people themselves. US military involvement
serves only to escalate the destruction.
The final balance of the
war has not yet tipped against the regime and, if and when it does, no
‘red-line’ will stop Assad from using chemical weapons on a scale that would make Halabja look like a small incident. Will Obama prevent another tragedy?
A comprehensive understanding of how, why and when
opposition groups in civil war engage in civilian governance must have
important policy implications for outsiders engaging or toying with engaging in
What is missing is any serious discussion about the plight
of the Syrian people. If it turns out that a red line has been crossed, then
any intervention will be a geo-political intervention against the Assad regime.
The likely response is to arm the rebels rather than to intervene to protect
The dispersal of the al-Qaida idea across many national territories takes some pressure off the "far enemy", the United States. But developments in Nigeria could represent a new danger for Washington and its allies.
We need to understand what the
Syrians want, fear, believe, and why they act in the way they do. It is not an
easy task. But it is the only way if you really hold that the future of Syria
must be in the hands of the Syrian people and not in the hands of external
The third kind of activist is still true to the peaceful aims of the original protest and still active. Although they are the fewest, they are the most vulnerable to brutal arrests, executions and torture, given that they are considered the most dangerous by the regime.
With the growing Syrian refugee crisis, media entrepreneurs seem to care more about protecting the
orthodox morality of humanitarianism, with the excuse of preserving social
order - as conceived by them - rather than educating the public.
the government and security institutions of Egypt and Tunisia have remained
intact, necessity being the mother of invention, a new form of governance has
emerged in Syria. This in itself is worth celebrating and supporting.
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