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 <title>open Democracy News Analysis - Bolivia’s constitutional war, John Crabtree  - Comments</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution</link>
 <description>Comments for &quot;Bolivia’s constitutional war, John Crabtree &quot;</description>
 <language>en</language>
<item>
 <title>Bolivian Constitution on &quot;Bolivia’s controversial constitution&quot;</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution#comment-507440</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;Enter discussions about the New Bolivian Constitution translated to English, click &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.BolivianConstitution.com&quot;&gt;http://www.BolivianConstitution.com&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
 <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 21:29:41 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Bolivian Constitution</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">comment 507440 at http://www.opendemocracy.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>Luis Valle on &quot;Bolivia’s controversial constitution&quot;</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution#comment-506100</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;The Constitution of Bolivia enacted by president Evo Morales Ayma - English Version - Available June 26th, 2009.&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
 <pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2009 15:33:27 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Luis Valle</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">comment 506100 at http://www.opendemocracy.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>nickbuxton@yahoo.co.uk on &quot;Bolivia’s controversial constitution&quot;</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution#comment-438596</link>
 <description>I included this in an email to you and think it is worth repeating here, but I think it is important to emphasise that the new constitution talks of plurinational state, whereas the old one talked of pluricultural. To talk of a State made up of many nations is a qualitative difference because nations implies territory, sovereignty and in this constitution is tied up with significant proposals of indigenous autonomy which includes complete control over renewable natural resources and shared control with the State over non-renewable resources. This change would be quite historic and innovative and introduces the whole concept of plurality of visions and sovereignty transecting across the State. It is also strongly opposed, especially by a Santa Cruz elite, who see it as undermining departmental authority and threatening concentrated landholdings held by some of their key leaders.

There is a lot more to say but I think it is also important to highlight that although the constitution didn&#039;t get approved by two-thirds of the overall delegates, it very nearly did on most articles with 165 of 255 delegates passing them (that&#039;s 65% if my calculator is not wrong and included several representatives from PODEMOS as well (not just those who came to object)). So the size and representativity of the opposition shouldn&#039;t be over-exaggerated, although their control over the media means they normally are. After all, this constitution has been part of a long process of struggle by social movements in Bolivia and, although it has its flaws, represents a large swathe of opinion in Bolivia who want to bring a neo-colonial and neoliberal State to an end.</description>
 <pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 17:09:34 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>nickbuxton@yahoo.co.uk</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">comment 438596 at http://www.opendemocracy.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>Bolivia’s constitutional war, John Crabtree </title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;
Bolivia&amp;#39;s ruling &lt;em&gt;Movimiento
al Socialismo&lt;/em&gt; (MAS) and its allies anticipated the looming deadline for the
rewriting of the country&amp;#39;s constitution - 14 December 2007 - by approving the
new 411-article constitutional draft on 8-9 December.  The constituent assembly in the city of Oruro &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/6329DDE6-01C4-4F25-A006-9368952465B7.htm&quot;&gt;approved&lt;/a&gt; the new text - sixteen months since its
inauguration on 6 August 2006, and in the absence of the main opposition party
- in only sixteen hours. The new document, which involves major institutional
changes with respect to the rights of Bolivia&amp;#39;s indigenous peoples, will
be put to a referendum in 2008. But Bolivia&amp;#39;s opposition, encouraged by
&lt;a href=&quot;http://opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/why_chavez_lost&quot;&gt;Hugo Chávez&amp;#39;s defeat&lt;/a&gt; in the Venezuelan referendum on 2 December
2007, is promising a relentless fight to prevent it being ratified; the
battlelines for a new contest between left and right are being drawn. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;John Crabtree&lt;/strong&gt; is
a research associate at Oxford
University&amp;#39;s &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.lac.ox.ac.uk/index.htm&quot;&gt;Centre for Latin American
Studies&lt;/a&gt;. He is (on Bolivia) author of &lt;em&gt;Patterns
of Protest: Politics and Social Movements in Bolivia&lt;/em&gt; (&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.latinamericabureau.org/?lid=3121&quot;&gt;Latin America
Bureau, 2005&lt;/a&gt;) and co-editor of &lt;em&gt;Unresolved Tensions:
Bolivia Past and Present&lt;/em&gt;
(&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.upress.pitt.edu/upressIndex.aspx&quot;&gt;Pittsburgh University Press&lt;/a&gt;, [forthcoming] 2008); and (on Peru) author
of &lt;em&gt;Peru under Garcia: Opportunity Lost&lt;/em&gt;
(Macmillan, 1992) and &lt;em&gt;Fujimori&amp;#39;s Peru&lt;/em&gt;
(ILAS, 1998), and editor of &lt;em&gt;Making
Institutions Work in Peru: Democracy, Development and Inequality since 1980&lt;/em&gt;
(Institute for the Study of the Americas, London University / &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.brookings.edu/press/books/clientpr/isa/makinginstitutionsworkinperu.htm&quot;&gt;Brookings Institution,
2006&lt;/a&gt;) &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Among John Crabtree&amp;#39;s articles in &lt;strong&gt;openDemocracy&lt;/strong&gt;:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/2625&quot;&gt;Peru: the next Andean domino?&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (24 June
2005)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3032&quot;&gt;An Andean crisis of democracy&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (16
November 2005)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3210&quot;&gt;Evo Morales&amp;#39;s challenge&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (25
January 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3417&quot;&gt;Peruvians prepare to bite back&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (4 April
2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3457&quot;&gt;Peru&amp;#39;s chessboard&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (18 April
2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3575&quot;&gt;Peru: the
institutional deficit&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (23 May 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/node/3614&quot;&gt;The return of Alan García&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (6 June
2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/garcia_second_3773.jsp&quot;&gt;Alan García&amp;#39;s second
coming&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (28 July 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/bolivia_twothirds_3910.jsp&quot;&gt;Bolivia: the
battle for two-thirds&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (18 September 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/peru_ngos_4117.jsp&quot;&gt;Peru: outing
the NGOs&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (22 November 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/experiment_4575.jsp&quot;&gt;Latin American
democracy: time to experiment&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (30 April 2007)&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy_power/south_america/peru_dilemmas&quot;&gt;Peru: dilemmas
of power&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (8 June 2007) &lt;strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_three_cities&quot;&gt;Bolivia: a
tale of two (or rather three) cities&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (18 September 2007)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/Peru_political_timebomb&quot;&gt;Alberto
Fujimori&amp;#39;s return: a political timebomb&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (28 September 2007)
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The government of Evo Morales and the MAS,
voted into office on a wave of public support in &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.electionguide.org/country.php?ID=27&quot;&gt;December 2005&lt;/a&gt;, had promised at the outset to overhaul the
constitution to give a bigger political voice to Bolivia&amp;#39;s indigenous majority.  The constituent assembly, in which the MAS
won more than half the seats, began its &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.democracyctr.org/blog/2007/08/bolivia-writes-new-constitution.html&quot;&gt;deliberations&lt;/a&gt; in August 2006 with an initial mandate of
twelve months in which to agree upon a draft constitution, with a referendum
scheduled to follow.  
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The lengthy delays in achieving agreement on
procedural issues - particularly the majority with which new articles to the
constitution would be approved - meant that the deadline for &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=5044&quot;&gt;completing&lt;/a&gt; the draft text had to be postponed from 6
August to 14 December 2007. The opposition parties demanded that each and every
article would have to be approved by a two-thirds majority; since they held
more than a third of the seats, they knew that this would give them an
effective veto.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
A compromise agreement was eventually reached
on this thorny issue. A further delay was then caused by the insistence of the
inhabitants of &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.boliviaweb.com/cities/sucre.htm&quot;&gt;Sucre&lt;/a&gt;,
the colonial city where the assembly was being held, that their town should
regain its former status as &lt;a href=&quot;http://go.hrw.com/atlas/norm_htm/bolivia.htm&quot;&gt;Bolivia&amp;#39;s&lt;/a&gt; full capital. Sucre
had been capital up until 1899, when it was relegated to being the seat of the
judiciary alone while the executive and legislature moved to La Paz. Sucre&amp;#39;s
civic committee, infuriated by the refusal of the assembly to consider this
issue (and backed in their attitude by the opposition) made it effectively
impossible for the assembly to convene. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The
bull by the horns&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
In late November 2007, with the revised
December deadline only days away, the Morales government finally decided to
seize the initiative. It removed the plenary of the assembly to the more secure
environment of a military academy just outside Sucre. Here it was surrounded by troops and
MAS loyalists, provoking &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/94D7F6DA-DAD3-4D80-9089-8EC3811C81FD.htm&quot;&gt;protests&lt;/a&gt; from the main opposition parties, who
boycotted the proceedings and instead took to the streets. In the melee that
ensued, four people (three protestors and one police officer) were &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/11/26/AR2007112601969.html&quot;&gt;killed&lt;/a&gt; and hundreds hurt. But with the opposition
absent, the MAS and its left-of-centre allies speedily approved an outline
constitution by an overwhelming majority.  
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The assembly members then found themselves
unable to return in safety to Sucre, and
reconvened finally in the city of Oruro
on 8 December to approve the new text item by item. The approved text was  - with some minor last-minute changes - that
drawn up by the MAS bloc in the assembly. &lt;em&gt;Podemos&lt;/em&gt;,
the main opposition party, again &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N09346277.htm&quot;&gt;absented&lt;/a&gt; itself (apart from a brief incursion to
register its protest), although the smaller &lt;em&gt;Unidad
Nacional&lt;/em&gt; (UN) did attend. The fact that the number of delegates present
from the MAS and its allies was well in excess of the two-thirds required meant
that the new constitution was summarily approved with little debate on the
substance of the details. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The
key provisions &lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The main provisions of the new &lt;a href=&quot;http://pdba.georgetown.edu/Constitutions/Bolivia/bolivia.html&quot;&gt;constitutional text&lt;/a&gt; include: 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Bolivia&lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt; as a unitary but plurinational state&lt;/em&gt;.  This provision is designed to reaffirm the
significance of ethnicity in the country&amp;#39;s make-up.  In practice, however, it does not involve any
major change; the previous constitution also acknowledged Bolivia to be
&amp;quot;multi-ethnic&amp;quot; and &amp;quot;plurinational&amp;quot; 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;State
ownership of natural resources&lt;/em&gt;. This is designed to underpin government
policies to reaffirm state control over sectors like oil and gas, privatised by
previous governments. It would also affect the mining industry, which the
government wants to bring under tighter state control 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Constitutional
approval&lt;/em&gt;. Once it has been approved by referendum, the constitution will
only need to be ratified by two-thirds of those present, not two thirds of the
elected members
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Changing
the composition of congress&lt;/em&gt;. The numbers in the chamber of deputies will be
reduced, while the number of senators will be increased. All deputies are to be
elected on a system of uninominal constituencies, replacing the previous mixed
system. A proposal to scrap the senate (where the opposition has a majority)
was abandoned at the last moment
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;A
mixed economy&lt;/em&gt;. This is designed to reassure business interests.  Ownership in the economy will be public,
private and communitarian. A referendum would be held prior to the
constitutional referendum on whether private land of up to 10,000 hectares will
be allowed. The 1953 agrarian reform, which limited landholding in the
highlands, was never applied in the lowland departments of Santa
Cruz, Beni and Pando
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Local
autonomies&lt;/em&gt;.  The constitution will
bring in a system of territorial autonomies that involve a degree of
decentralisation.  These will include not
only departmental autonomies (one of the principal demands of the opposition)
but also municipal, regional and indigenous autonomies.  These would act as a check on the powers of
departmental governments, of which six out of nine are opposition-controlled
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Presidential re-election&lt;/em&gt;. Elections
would be held for public office, including the presidency, once the new
constitution is finally approved. The existing bar on immediate re-election for
president and vice-president would be removed. 
Evo Morales&amp;#39;s present term would not be included, and he would therefore
be able to stand for office for two more successive terms (i.e. ten years). The
new constitution would introduce a second round in presidential voting where no
candidate reaches 50% of the vote, ending a system by which the newly elected
congress chooses the president in such circumstances 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Recall
of electoral mandates&lt;/em&gt;. The new constitution would provide mechanisms by
which all elected officials (from the president downwards) could have their
terms revoked in certain circumstances. This would include departmental
prefects. These, elected only since 2005, have become a strategic bastion for
the opposition
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;Reorganisation
of the judiciary&lt;/em&gt;. The indigenous systems of justice would be given the same
standing in the official hierarchy as the existing system. The constitutional
tribunal would have parity representation between indigenous and non-indigenous
members. Judges would be elected, not appointed by congress as at present
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
* &lt;em&gt;The
capital compromise&lt;/em&gt;. Sucre is to be
acknowledged as Bolivia&amp;#39;s
official capital, but the constitutional text does not mention where the
various institutions and powers will be based. The presupposition here is that
the executive and legislature will remain in La Paz,
while the judiciary &lt;a href=&quot;http://whc.unesco.org/en/list/566&quot;&gt;continues&lt;/a&gt; to be based in Sucre.
The electoral authorities are to be upgraded to a fourth power, which will also
be located in Sucre.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The government&amp;#39;s objectives&lt;/strong&gt; 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
In pushing for these changes, the Morales
administration has always argued that it was elected on a mandate to &amp;quot;refound&amp;quot;
the country&amp;#39;s political institutions.  It
therefore sees its role as bringing about &amp;quot;revolutionary&amp;quot; changes that will
radically &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&amp;amp;report_id=510&amp;amp;language_id=1&quot;&gt;alter&lt;/a&gt; the political system and make such changes
permanent.  A key long-term objective has
been to increase direct democracy and reduce the barriers to participation for Bolivia&amp;#39;s
indigenous peoples and strengthen their rights. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
However, in seeking to implement its agenda
and make it permanent, the government is determined to reduce the spaces open
to the opposition parties and to &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/18D04939-C839-4922-9AC1-5A641A18C2AA.htm&quot;&gt;re-engineer&lt;/a&gt; the political system to its own advantage. An
increase in the number of senate seats, for example, is designed to end the
opposition majority in the upper house, where the smaller eastern departments
are over-represented.  The senate has
acted as a severe obstacle to the government&amp;#39;s legislative agenda.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
For their part, the opposition parties claim
that the government is bent on establishing a one-party-dominated state that
effectively spells an end to pluralism. Opposition leaders, such as former
president Jorge Quiroga, have consistently argued that the government in Bolivia is just
following in Chávez&amp;#39;s footsteps.  They
accuse the Morales administration of seeking to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.economist.com/world/la/displaystory.cfm?story_id=7894730&quot;&gt;monopolise&lt;/a&gt; power indefinitely and, by entering into the
Chávez orbit, drawing the country into a dangerous confrontation with the United States.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The
opposition dilemma &lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The opposition now vows to combat the
government&amp;#39;s constitutional &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.swissinfo.org/eng/International/detail/Bolivian_constitution_advances.html?siteSect=143&amp;amp;sid=8512667&amp;amp;cKey=1197234538000&amp;amp;ty=ti&quot;&gt;proposals&lt;/a&gt; with all the force it can muster. But it
faces a dilemma on how to proceed.  The
eastern departments - Santa Cruz
in particular - have announced the intention to declare their own &lt;em&gt;de facto&lt;/em&gt; autonomy from the government.
Civic leaders in Santa Cruz
claim that the constitutional text is illegal and that they will not heed
it.  
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;
Also in &lt;strong&gt;openDemocracy&lt;/strong&gt; on Bolivian politics and
social struggles:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nick Buxton, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/gas_2584.jsp&quot;&gt;Bolivia in
revolt&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (8 June 2005) &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nick
Buxton, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/bolivia_3131.jsp&quot;&gt;Revolutionary
times in Bolivia?&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (16 December 2005)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Andreas A Tsolakis, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/morales_nationalism_3645.jsp&quot;&gt;Evo Morales&amp;#39;s
project: the limits of nationalism&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (14 June 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Isabel
Moreno &amp;amp; Mariano Aguirre, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/bolivia_reform_3908.jsp&quot;&gt;Bolivia: the
challenges to state reform&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (15 September 2006)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ivan Briscoe, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/democracy-protest/evo_unauthorised_4250.jsp&quot;&gt;Evo Morales: the unauthorised
version&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (16 January
2007)
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Santa
Cruz
has provided the basis for opposition to the Morales government over the last
two years, though prefects and civic committees in several other departments
have made &lt;a href=&quot;http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5ioq4AbqIbwN8U5ZwJyZXRDW37iig&quot;&gt;common cause&lt;/a&gt; with it. Santa Cruz
has been the main growth-pole in Bolivia in recent decades,
stimulated mainly by agribusiness and hydrocarbons. Civic leaders there and
other resource-rich departments argue that more of the wealth these sectors
generate should return to them.  For
generations, the assertive &lt;em&gt;Comité
Pro-Santa Cruz&lt;/em&gt; has demanded greater autonomy from the central government in
La Paz, even on
occasion threatening secession.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The &lt;a href=&quot;http://upsidedownworld.org/main/content/view/795/31/&quot;&gt;row over the constitution&lt;/a&gt; apart, the government has infuriated local prefects
by threatening to apportion some of the rents these receive to pay for a new
national pensions scheme. The so-called &lt;em&gt;Renta
Dignidad&lt;/em&gt; (dignity pension) would afford a monthly pension to all those over
the age of 60.  This sort of universal
entitlement for the elderly is immensely popular in Bolivia, but the &lt;em&gt;Renta Dignidad&lt;/em&gt; also &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.energypublisher.com/article.asp?id=12603&quot;&gt;aims&lt;/a&gt; to cut the resources available to the
prefects from increased taxes on hydrocarbons. For the opposition, therefore,
the policy seems a cynical exercise by the government to win public support at
its expense.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
However, other more moderate voices may seek
to challenge the government by orchestrating a &amp;quot;no&amp;quot; vote in the referendum on
the constitution. In fact, there are two referenda planned. The first will be
on the issue of landownership in the lowlands - itself a direct challenge to
the wealthy landowners of Santa Cruz and the Beni. This will take several months to organise. If approved,
it will then be subsumed into the constitution, and this then will be put
before voters in a second referendum. It therefore seems unlikely that Bolivia&amp;#39;s
constitution will be definitely settled much before the latter part of
2008.  
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The opposition will hope that, as in Venezuela, the
majority will in the end vote &amp;quot;no&amp;quot;. For his part, Morales will be counting on
his ability to maintain his popularity over this period. But the conflicts over
the constitution have done little to enhance his government&amp;#39;s reputation. And
with inflation rising and real incomes failing to keep up, the opposition
parties will hope they can broaden their support.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
If the government&amp;#39;s calculation proves sound
and the answer is &amp;quot;yes&amp;quot;, the electoral momentum would carry it through to a
period of fresh elections - probably in 2009 - for president, vice-president
and members of congress.  Bolivia&amp;#39;s
struggle for power therefore promises to be extended as well as bitter.   
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;rating-item&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;rating&quot; id=&quot;rating_mean_35365&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;rating-intro&quot;&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;rating-intro-text&quot;&gt;Average rating&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;star avg on&quot;&gt;&lt;a style=&quot;width: 100%;&quot; onclick=&quot;return false;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;star avg on&quot;&gt;&lt;a style=&quot;width: 100%;&quot; onclick=&quot;return false;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;star avg on&quot;&gt;&lt;a style=&quot;width: 100%;&quot; onclick=&quot;return false;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;star avg on&quot;&gt;&lt;a style=&quot;width: 100%;&quot; onclick=&quot;return false;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;star avg&quot;&gt;&lt;a style=&quot;width: 100%;&quot; onclick=&quot;return false;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;num-votes&quot;&gt;(&lt;span id=&quot;rating_num_votes_35365&quot;&gt;3&lt;/span&gt; votes)&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;form action=&quot;/crss/node/35365&quot;  method=&quot;post&quot; id=&quot;rating_form_35365&quot; class=&quot;rating&quot; title=&quot;Rating: 5.0&quot;&gt;
&lt;div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;form-item&quot;&gt;
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 &lt;select name=&quot;edit[rating]&quot; class=&quot;form-select rating-options&quot; title=&quot;Rate this&quot; id=&quot;rating_options_35365&quot; &gt;&lt;option value=&quot;0&quot;&gt;---&lt;/option&gt;&lt;option value=&quot;100&quot; selected=&quot;selected&quot;&gt;Excellent!&lt;/option&gt;&lt;option value=&quot;80&quot;&gt;Great!&lt;/option&gt;&lt;option value=&quot;60&quot;&gt;Good&lt;/option&gt;&lt;option value=&quot;40&quot;&gt;Quite good&lt;/option&gt;&lt;option value=&quot;20&quot;&gt;Not so great&lt;/option&gt;&lt;/select&gt;
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 <comments>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/bolivia_constitution#comment</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/editorial_tags/democracy_power">democracy &amp;amp; power</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/taxonomy/term/51">Creative Commons normal</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/editorial_tags/globalisation">globalisation</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/globalization-institutions_government/debate.jsp">institutions &amp;amp; government</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/taxonomy/term/1191">John Crabtree</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/editorial_tags/the_politics_of_protest">the politics of protest</category>
 <pubDate>Mon, 10 Dec 2007 16:43:24 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator />
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