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 <title>open Democracy News Analysis - Malaysia’s democratic tsunami, Bridget Welsh  - Comments</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/malaysia_democratic_opening</link>
 <description>Comments for &quot;Malaysia’s democratic tsunami, Bridget Welsh &quot;</description>
 <language>en</language>
<item>
 <title>jtheory on &quot;Malaysia’s democratic opening&quot;</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/malaysia_democratic_opening#comment-440615</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;Thanks for a good overview of the political situation -- but I&#039;m baffled as to why so many of the news articles I&#039;ve seen (including this one) continue to refer to Malaysia&#039;s racial preference system as &quot;affirmative action&quot;.  Isn&#039;t that, by definition, a system that supports minorities and other disadvantaged groups?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In Malaysia&#039;s system, the people who benefit from the privileges and quotas in basically all aspects of life -- education at all levels, access to grants and scholarships, business ownership, housing discounts and ability to purchase new houses, etc. -- are the largest population group, and possibly have the largest economic share (not according to the official figures, of course).  They run the political party that has been in power since independence, and their religion is the state religion.  To qualify, it helps to be descended from native Malays, but you can also be a recent immigrant from the Middle East, Indonesia, etc... as long as you&#039;re Muslim.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The people being excluded are largely descendants of the Indian and Chinese brought to Malaysia by the British as indentured laborers, and also include poor but non-Muslim native populations like the Orang Asli, and likewise non-Muslim populations that have been in Malaysia since the 16th century.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If the Malaysian government actually wanted to help disadvantaged people in Malaysia, they&#039;d design programs to actually help the poorest and least educated communities, regardless of religion or race.&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
 <pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 14:32:39 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>jtheory</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">comment 440615 at http://www.opendemocracy.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>Malaysia’s democratic tsunami, Bridget Welsh </title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/malaysia_democratic_opening</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;
As the results of Malaysia&amp;#39;s general election
poured in on the evening of 8 March 2008, it became clear that the country&amp;#39;s
voters had delivered an unprecedented blow to the ruling &lt;em&gt;Barisan Nasional&lt;/em&gt; (National Front / BN) led by prime minister
Abdullah Badawi. The severe losses of the incumbent coalition - five (out of
Malaysia&amp;#39;s thirteen) state governments, eighty-two seats in the 222-seat
national parliament, and a major &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/79604&quot;&gt;swing&lt;/a&gt;
against the non-Malay component parties within the multi-ethnic coalition -
mean that the election marks a new political chapter in Malaysian history.
After fifty years of rule by the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) -
the dominant party in the BN coalition - the signs of a shift are unmistakable:
towards a new system of checks and balances, away from the racial politics that
have characterised the country&amp;#39;s &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.cambridge.org/uk/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=0521003563&quot;&gt;history&lt;/a&gt; since independence in 1957, and wider
democracy.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The
government&amp;#39;s hubris&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Bridget
Welsh&lt;/strong&gt; is &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.sais-jhu.edu/programs/asia/sea/sea_faculty/seasiafacultywelsh.html&quot;&gt;assistant professor&lt;/a&gt; in southeast Asian studies at Johns Hopkins
University. Among her
publications is (as editor) &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.selectbooks.com.sg/getTitle.cfm?SBNum=36013&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Reflections:
The M&lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;a&lt;/em&gt;&lt;em&gt;hathir Years&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt; (JHU/SAIS, 2004)
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The reasons for the &lt;em&gt;Barisan Nasional&amp;#39;s&lt;/em&gt; setback have more to do
with the coalition&amp;#39;s lacklustre performance under Abdullah Badawi  than the strength of the opposition. In his
four years in office, Abdullah has managed to maintain the economic growth that characterised the tenure of his predecessor &lt;a href=&quot;http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/2059518.stm&quot;&gt;Mahathir Mohamad &lt;/a&gt;(who governed
for twenty-two years, 1981-2003); but he was ineffective in channelling the benefits to
ordinary citizens. The record levels of inflation, comparatively lower wages,
increased lack of confidence in Abdullah&amp;#39;s management and persistent corruption
translated into massive disgruntlement among Malaysians of all races.
Malaysians were squeezed, as economic gains were seen to be disproportionately &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.brudirect.com/DailyInfo/News/Archive/Mar08/110308/wn04.htm&quot;&gt;directed&lt;/a&gt; toward an increasingly arrogant political
elite, notably leaders of UMNO.  
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
This declining economic legitimacy was
compounded by a shocking record of managing ethnic relations, particularly of
the concerns of the non-Malays. Chinese, Indian and &lt;a href=&quot;http://go.hrw.com/atlas/norm_htm/malaysia.htm&quot;&gt;East Malaysian&lt;/a&gt; voices were ignored and often insultingly
dismissed as rising Malay chauvinism went unchecked within Abdullah&amp;#39;s party. In
fact, he harnessed racial identity to buttress his position within the party,
rejuvenating the racially implemented affirmative action policy of the &amp;quot;new
economic policy&amp;quot; (&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.unrisd.org/unrisd/website/document.nsf/0/A20E9AD6E5BA919780256B6D0057896B?OpenDocument&quot;&gt;NEP&lt;/a&gt;) and lost the confidence of the non-Malay community
in the handling of the sensitive expansion Islamic governance. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The failure of Abdullah&amp;#39;s leadership on
non-Malay issues was best illustrated by the debacle of the Hindraf affair, an
unprecedented &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.mysinchew.com/node/7133?tid=4&quot;&gt;protest&lt;/a&gt;
in November 2007 by Indian Malaysians (organised by the Human Rights Action
Force coalition) drawing attention to poverty and the discrimination against
their community. The BN government arrested the leaders and immediately
scheduled elections after this event, hoping to win on the back of the Malay
vote this election. This was a serious miscalculation. To add insult to injury,
Abdullah used this &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=10711393&quot;&gt;election&lt;/a&gt; to try to strengthen his base within his own
party, by promoting loyal new candidates and dropping established and popular
veterans. These misjudgments provoked a revolt within UMNO, that even pledges
of resources and concerted attempts at rift-mending could not resolve. Internal
BN factionalism was exacerbated by rushed negotiation over seats with the
component parties in the coalition that only served to weaken the electoral
machinery of the incumbent government further.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;
From Kenya to Armenia, Russia to Spain,&lt;strong&gt; openDemocracy&lt;/strong&gt; authors assess the
outcome of elections around the world in the first weeks of 2008:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Irfan Husain,
&amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://pakistan%e2%80%99s%20judgment%20day/&quot;&gt;Pakistan&amp;#39;s judgment day&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (22 January 2008)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
James Ker-Lindsay, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/globalisation/institutions_government/cyprus_walk&quot;&gt;Cyprus: walk,
don&amp;#39;t run&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot;
(22 February 2008)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Gérard Prunier, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/democracy/kenya_behind_the_crisis&quot;&gt;Kenya: histories of hidden war&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (29 February 2008)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Andrew Wilson, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/globalisation/institutions_government/russia_medvedev&quot;&gt;Russia&amp;#39;s post-election balance&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (3 March 2008)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Armine Ishkanian, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/democracy_power/caucasus/armenia_elections&quot;&gt;Democracy contested: Armenia&amp;#39;s
fifth presidential elections&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (4 March 2008)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ivan Briscoe, &amp;quot;&lt;a href=&quot;/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/spain_s_election_lessons&quot;&gt;From the shadows: Spain&amp;#39;s election
lessons&lt;/a&gt;&amp;quot; (10 March 2008)
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The
opposition&amp;#39;s snowball &lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The three main opposition political parties -
the Anwar Ibrahim multi-racial &lt;em&gt;Parti
Keadilan Rakyat &lt;/em&gt;(National Justice Party / PKR), the Chinese-based
Democratic Action Party (DAP) and the &lt;em&gt;Islamic
Parti Islam sa-Malaysia&lt;/em&gt; (Islamic Party of
Malaysia / PAS) - collectively benefited from the overall unhappiness with the
government. The bonds between the opposition have been forming Since the heyday
of the &lt;em&gt;reformasi&lt;/em&gt; era in 1998-99 -
during which Anwar Ibrahim (then Mahathir&amp;#39;s deputy prime minister) was arrested
and convicted in a political witchhunt (he was released from prison in 2004,
and his ban on standing for political office expires in April 2008). They may
differ in their ideological outlook, but in this election they entered into a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/79515&quot;&gt;non-aggression&lt;/a&gt; pact and (with a few minor exceptions in East Malaysia) did not compete against each other. Each
section of the opposition openly encouraged its supporters to vote for its
anti-government partners - irrespective of the party involved, and regardless
of race. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Anwar Ibrahim served as a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.malaysia-today.net/2008/content/view/4152/84/&quot;&gt;bridge&lt;/a&gt; between the ideologically divided PAS and DAP
and transformed his party from one relying on Malay vote to a multiracial one.
This involved painful decisions, including an open rejection of the NEP and
consistent calls on Malaysian identity, not individual racial identity. It
worked, as all opposition parties gained ground.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The campaigns of the opposition were
fundamentally different from earlier elections. Their ambition was defined and
modest, with an aim of breaking the BN&amp;#39;s two-thirds&amp;#39; majority in parliament
which gives the party a stranglehold on government. This approach snowballed
into broader national support - partly because it was a stark contrast to the
hubris of the BN government, whose posters projected &amp;quot;only one choice&amp;quot;, when in
fact there was an alternative to choose from. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Another source of opposition influence was
Abdullah&amp;#39;s own political liberalisation in areas such as civil society and
political assembly, which had created conditions for more mobilisation by his
critics. It was the opposition&amp;#39;s ability to bypass the government-linked
establishment media - through the internet, blogs, emails and send messages
(SMS) - that enable it to get its messages across more effectively. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
They had &lt;a href=&quot;http://web5.bernama.com/ssig/index.php?option=com_content&amp;amp;task=view&amp;amp;id=16912&amp;amp;Itemid=95&quot;&gt;thirteen days&lt;/a&gt; to do so, the longest campaign in &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.footprint-adventures.co.uk/mapmalay/malays3.gif&quot;&gt;Malaysia&amp;#39;s&lt;/a&gt; history, and were able to respond to the BN&amp;#39;s
campaign themes. On the defensive, the BN increasingly was caught in a lie,
from the crowd levels at opposition rallies to its figures on the economy. The
BN was not able to move beyond its paternal mindset towards an increasingly
sophisticated and informed electorate. Their ads touting &amp;quot;be grateful for what
you have&amp;quot; grated on a public facing tight economic circumstances and (in
the case of non-Malays) exclusion. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The final self-inflicted wound for the BN
came in the last stages of the campaign, when it launched an all-out personal
attack on &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.anwaribrahim.com/&quot;&gt;Anwar Ibrahim&lt;/a&gt;; this backfired in the Malay community, the
very ethnic base that the BN was depending on to win in a polity that has
traditionally voted along ethnic lines. This reaction became part of a general
trend as Malaysians &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.malaysia-today.net/2008/content/view/4161/84/&quot;&gt;abandoned&lt;/a&gt; the pattern of ethnic voting, with all groups
voting for the opposition in large numbers; the largest anti-government swing was
in the Indian Malaysian community, which has traditionally been loyal to the BN
coalition.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;A
Malaysian farewell&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The final worry of the campaign was the
electoral process. Malaysian elections have usually been free, but not fair.
The push for electoral reform since 2004, which included a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=10150330&quot;&gt;mass rally&lt;/a&gt; of over 40,000 in November 2007, put this
issue centre-stage. The opposition intentionally asked its voters to vote late
in the afternoon to reduce the opportunity for the BN to replace registered voters
with &amp;quot;phantoms&amp;quot; or &amp;quot;clones&amp;quot;. This BN practice did happen, but not to expected
levels - in part due to failings in the BN machinery. Concerns about irregularities
remain an issue; but they have been overshadowed by the sheer force of
opposition gains, which is a testimony to the power of Malaysians&amp;#39; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.malaysia-today.net/2008/content/view/4160/84/&quot;&gt;discontent&lt;/a&gt; with their rulers.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The election results will bring greater
democracy to Malaysia.
A  stronger opposition will bring more
checks and balances at the national level; and in state governments the push
for transparency, against &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/03/11/news/Malaysia.php&quot;&gt;corruption&lt;/a&gt;, and potentially for the introduction of
local elections will open Malaysian elections further. The move toward
multiracialism also offers the space for widening of civil liberties across
racial boundaries. These steps won&amp;#39;t be easy, but the 8 March polls signify a
rupture with the closed racialised politics which have dominated the country
for decades. 
&lt;/p&gt;
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 <comments>http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/democracy_power/politics_protest/malaysia_democratic_opening#comment</comments>
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