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 <title>open Democracy News Analysis - Pakistani PM unhurt by assassins, Josef Litobarski  - Comments</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/030908</link>
 <description>Comments for &quot;Pakistani PM unhurt by assassins, Josef Litobarski &quot;</description>
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 <title>Pakistani PM unhurt by assassins, Josef Litobarski </title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/030908</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;
The Pakistani government has confirmed that Prime Minister
Yousuf Raza Gilani was unharmed after assassins targeted his motorcade on
Wednesday. The convoy of vehicles was travelling to meet the prime-minister at
the airport, and he was not in his car when the assassins struck. Two shots hit
the bullet-proof windshield of the black Mercedes on the driver&amp;#39;s side, but &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1838238,00.html&quot;&gt;failed&lt;/a&gt;
to penetrate. The attack comes just three days before Pakistan&amp;#39;s
presidential election on Sunday, amidst political turmoil caused by the recent resignation
of President Musharraf and the subsequent collapse of the governing coalition which
forced him from power.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;The toD verdict:&lt;/em&gt; &lt;span style=&quot;font-size: 12pt; font-family: &#039;Times New Roman&#039;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;&lt;font color=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sign up to receive toD&amp;#39;s daily security briefings via email by clicking &lt;a href=&quot;https://mail.google.com/mail?view=cm&amp;amp;tf=0&amp;amp;to=terrorism@opendemocracy.net&amp;amp;su=Subscribe&amp;amp;body=Please%20add%20me%20to%20the%20toD%20security%20briefing%20list.%20Thanks.&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;The assassination attempt comes only eight days
after a similar &lt;a href=&quot;http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jIE0IUn4WIiaMBpjG8SI_6H5RXzgD92Q30180&quot;&gt;attempt&lt;/a&gt;
on a senior US diplomat in Pakistan, and only nine months after the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/dec/27/pakistan.benazirbhutto&quot;&gt;assassination&lt;/a&gt;
of Benezir Bhutto, whose widower, Asif Ali Zardari, is now &lt;a href=&quot;http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/postglobal/needtoknow/2008/09/zardaris_pakistan_lessons_from.html&quot;&gt;tipped&lt;/a&gt;
to win the upcoming elections and become the next president of the country.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Against this backdrop of escalating political violence, the government
this weekend &lt;a href=&quot;http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g__2rIQCfwphyZcKcMmh-f3qaT9A&quot;&gt;announced&lt;/a&gt;
a ceasefire in its conflict with the Taliban for the Muslim holy-month of
Ramadan, worrying coalition forces in Afghanistan who believe the Taliban
could use the opportunity to regroup. However, the Pakistani army is apparently
continuing airstrikes in the volatile Swat valley region. The army&lt;a href=&quot;http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jefyTguYiNug7i8OE7cjsmORJbpA&quot;&gt; claims&lt;/a&gt;
to have killed 30 militants on Wednesday.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Any ceasefire over Ramadan would risk antagonising the US, which may
be tempted to take action itself. Today, the Pakistani army &lt;a href=&quot;http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/09/03/pakistan.attack.afghanistan.deaths/?iref=mpstoryview&quot;&gt;accused&lt;/a&gt;
coalition forces of crossing the border from Afghanistan
into Pakistan
in a raid which killed at least 20 civilians. US-led coalition forces have
often carried out airstrikes against militants in Pakistani
territory, but this raid would mark the first time that ground troops were
deployed across the border without Pakistan&amp;#39;s consent. Both NATO and
coalition spokespeople have denied any knowledge of the raid.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Commission concludes
IRA has disbanded&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The International Monitoring Commission (IMC), an
independent body formed to assess the Northern Ireland peace process, has
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/sep/03/northernireland.ireland&quot;&gt;concluded&lt;/a&gt;
in a report released today that the IRA has effectively disbanded. However, the
report goes on to say that the IRA&amp;#39;s ruling body, the army council, has not yet
been dissolved. There has been a wave of violence in Northern Ireland in recent weeks, including
shootings and riots &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2008/sep/01/ulster.violence&quot;&gt;blamed&lt;/a&gt;
on dissident republican groups which splintered away from the IRA. Although a
power-sharing deal has now been reached, the resulting peace is still fragile
and vulnerable to what analysts term &amp;quot;spoilers&amp;quot;.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Philippines&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;strong&gt; ceasefire crumbles further&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The president of the Philippines has &lt;a href=&quot;http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5iKth-zlSh35OzIzl2OA51prPldvQ&quot;&gt;dissolved&lt;/a&gt;
a government peace panel which had been mandated to end the country&amp;#39;s
forty-year conflict with Islamic separatist groups in the south. The conflict,
which has claimed over 120,000 lives, flared up last month when a deal granting
greater autonomy to the country&amp;#39;s Muslim south was rejected by the government.
Two Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) commanders, angered by the deal&amp;#39;s collapse, then allegedly went
&amp;quot;rogue&amp;quot; and began attacking civilian villages in retaliation.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The government has declared that the main body of rebel
forces are still covered by the ceasefire. President Gloria Arroyo, however,
has said that the military&amp;#39;s offensive against the rogue MILF elements will continue
throughout the Muslim holy-month of Ramadan, but that troops will be ordered to
respect Muslim civilians (about 5% of the population of the mainly Roman Catholic country).
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Journalists targeted
in Russia&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Separate &lt;a href=&quot;http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j2_tf2GBpLX9BGb-0Ex5wSA1undQD92V8G4O0&quot;&gt;attacks&lt;/a&gt;
in Russia&amp;#39;s troubled North Caucasus region this week have left two journalists
dead and one in hospital. Islamic TV reporter Telman Alishaev died in hospital
this morning after being shot in his car on Tuesday by two men. Miloslav
Bitokov, a newspaper reporter, was beaten up by three men and left with a
fractured skull outside his home on Tuesday evening.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The attacks came only days after the death of Magomed
Yevloyev, who ran a website critical of the Russian authorities in Ingushetia
and &lt;a href=&quot;http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jIr9Lb5zOJfKmuMhCxacWkuzAsqAD92U0S181&quot;&gt;died&lt;/a&gt;
on Sunday after being shot in the head by police. Yevloyev was arrested and
then &amp;quot;accidently&amp;quot; shot in the head when he allegedly tried to take an officer&amp;#39;s
rifle away from him, before his body was dumped in the street outside a
hospital. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe has described
the killings as &amp;quot;a further deterioration of media freedom in Russia.&amp;quot;
&lt;/p&gt;
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 <comments>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/030908#comment</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/themes/terrorism-theme">openSecurity</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/taxonomy/term/51">Creative Commons normal</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/authors/josef-litobarski">Josef Litobarski</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/subdomains/terrorism">Security briefing</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism_opendemocracy_tags/security_briefings">security briefings</category>
 <pubDate>Wed, 03 Sep 2008 14:34:47 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Josef Litobarski</dc:creator>
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