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 <title>open Democracy News Analysis - Russia acts as peacekeeper in the Caucasus, Hannah Cooper  - Comments</title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/031108</link>
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 <title>Russia acts as peacekeeper in the Caucasus, Hannah Cooper </title>
 <link>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/031108</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;
Talks are to accelerate between
Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh. A joint
statement by Ilham Aliyev, the Azerbaijani president, and Serzh Sarkisian, his
Armenian counterpart, also called for a &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2008/11/2008112133731167547.html&quot;&gt;&amp;quot;peaceful
resolution&amp;quot;&lt;/a&gt; to the conflict. The statement was made on Sunday
during talks hosted by Dmitry Medvedev, the Russian president, at his
residence in Barvikha near Moscow. The Kremlin would act as guarantor of an
agreement between the two countries.&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: 12pt; font-family: &#039;Times New Roman&#039;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;pullquote_new&quot;&gt;&lt;font color=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sign up to receive toD&amp;#39;s daily security briefings via email by clicking &lt;a href=&quot;https://mail.google.com/mail?view=cm&amp;amp;tf=0&amp;amp;to=terrorism@opendemocracy.net&amp;amp;su=Subscribe&amp;amp;body=Please%20add%20me%20to%20the%20toD%20security%20briefing%20list.%20Thanks.&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;The toD verdict:&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; An enclave in Azerbaijan with a largely Armenian population, Nagorno-Karabakh broke free of Baku&amp;#39;s control in
the early 1990s in a &lt;a href=&quot;http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hLa4PppZARwGBF6c9ylpvGD4fTwA&quot;&gt;war&lt;/a&gt;
that killed nearly 30,000 people and forced two million to flee their homes. A
ceasefire was signed in 1994 but the dispute remains unresolved after years of
negotiations. &lt;a href=&quot;http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7705067.stm&quot;&gt;Hopes&lt;/a&gt; of an end to hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia first emerged in 2001 during a series of
meetings between the former leaders of both countries. However, no agreement was reached. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Along with France and the US, Russia is one of the co-chairs of the
Minsk Group, whose aim is to find a
political solution to the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh. After the summer war with
Georgia, Russia is arguably
trying to underline its &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/11/02/europe/EU-Russia-Armenia-Azerbaijan.php&quot;&gt;influence&lt;/a&gt;
in the Caucasus by taking an active role in the discussions. Moscow is also competing with Washington
for Azerbaijani oil which is currently shipped through western-backed pipelines via Georgia and Turkey, bypassing Russia.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
However, the 200-word declaration that
was produced still &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L2389234.htm&quot;&gt;avoids&lt;/a&gt;
defining the exact status of Nagorno-Karabakh itself. Other sticking points remain unaddressed, such as the ownership of districts outside the
territory that remain in the hands of Armenian forces. Finding a lasting peace
that is agreeable to all will require more than a visit to the Russian
president&amp;#39;s dacha. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Morales
suspends US anti-drugs operations&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Evo Morales, Bolivia&amp;#39;s left-wing president, has halted the
operations of US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) officials, accusing
them of &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/997e7886-a947-11dd-a19a-000077b07658.html&quot;&gt;espionage&lt;/a&gt;.
Addressing a crowd in the coca-producing region of Chapare on Saturday, Morales
accused DEA agents of disrupting government activities and causing unrest, in
addition to implicating them in the clashes with government forces in September that left nineteen people dead. Relations between La Paz and Washington have grown increasingly tense since the former expelled the US ambassador in September. US officials
dismissed Morales&amp;#39; claims, insisting that his government
has &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/news/americas/2008/11/200811235556520812.html&quot;&gt;&amp;quot;failed
demonstrably&amp;quot;&lt;/a&gt; to meet their obligations in countering drug trafficking. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bolivia is the world&amp;#39;s third-largest cocaine producer after
Colombia and Peru. The ratcheting up of rhetoric comes as the drug trade in central and south America once again finds itself under the global spotlight, with the &lt;a href=&quot;/terrorism/article/security_briefings/271008&quot;&gt;arrest&lt;/a&gt;
last week of a Mexican drug cartel leader and suspected &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/02/america/mexico.php&quot;&gt;corruption&lt;/a&gt; within the state bureaucracy.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;US
&amp;quot;war on terror&amp;quot; data suggests ethnic profiling&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
The US government has been accused of &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/31/america/immig.php&quot;&gt;profiling&lt;/a&gt;
Muslim immigrants after the disclosure of data on a US operation in 2004 meant
to disrupt potential terrorist plots before and after that year&amp;#39;s presidential
election. The operation focused on more than 2,000 immigrants from
predominantly Muslim countries, but the clear majority were found to have done nothing wrong.
Most of these immigrants were legally resident in the US and the majority were
not charged; the charges made were mostly for immigration
violations. Whilst the operation was being carried out, government officials
from the immigration agency had publicly announced an intention to follow up on
leads to disrupt terrorism plots, but maintained that the investigations were
being carried out &amp;quot;without regard to race, ethnicity
or religion.&amp;quot; However, the National
Litigation Project at Yale Law School found that 79 percent of the suspects were from Muslim-majority countries.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Bomb
blasts unsettle Iraqi capital&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Two bombings on Monday killed at least six, injuring twenty
others, in the centre of Baghdad. The &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2008/11/20081137518948529.html&quot;&gt;explosions&lt;/a&gt;
took place near the office of the police crime investigation unit in the
central Karrada district, coming in quick succession of one another. At least
10 policemen were among those hurt in the attack. One of Iraq&amp;#39;s deputy oil &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L3607960.htm&quot;&gt;ministers&lt;/a&gt; was
also wounded close to his home. Despite the fact that overall the number of
bombings in the Iraqi capital has fallen in the last year, this attack follows
a bombing last week outside an ice-cream shop
that killed five people and wounded seventeen.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Unrest
in Indonesia as bombers&amp;#39; executions draws near&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Three small petrol bombs &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L2463298.htm&quot;&gt;exploded&lt;/a&gt; in
the Molucca islands in Indonesia early on Monday, damaging the governor&amp;#39;s
office and house but leaving no casualties. Security in some parts of the
country has been heightened in recent days ahead of the imminent execution of
three Muslim militants for their role in the 2002 Bali bomb attacks which
killed 202 people, mainly foreign visitors. A district court has accepted an application that asks for the Supreme Court to reconsider the death sentences. This
is a small victory in delaying the impending &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24594228-601,00.html&quot;&gt;executions&lt;/a&gt;.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Violence&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;strong&gt; continues in Pakistan&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
Suspected US &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2008/11/200811112305561959.html&quot;&gt;missile
strikes&lt;/a&gt; on targets in Pakistan&amp;#39;s tribal belt killed 32 people on Friday,
reportedly including two al-Qaeda operatives. A number of Arab
fighters are also thought to have been killed. Officials said that Mullah Nazir, a top Taliban commander, was
wounded in one of the attacks. None of these deaths have been
independently confirmed and are still in doubt. Two days later, on Sunday, a
suicide bomb at a checkpoint near the Afghan border killed at least eight
Pakistani paramilitary troops. The &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2008/11/200811255223119922.html&quot;&gt;explosion&lt;/a&gt;
occurred in the tribal area of South Waziristan when a suicide truck bomber rammed his vehicle into a convoy. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
These events coincided with the arrival of General Petraeus, the Chief of US
Central Command (CENTCOM), in Pakistan on Sunday to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.dawn.net/wps/wcm/connect/Dawn%20Content%20Library/dawn/news/pakistan/general-petraeus-arrives-to-discuss-war-on-terror-wk&quot;&gt;discuss&lt;/a&gt;
the &amp;quot;war on terror&amp;quot; with government and military authorities in his first foreign
visit since assuming the command of CENTCOM on 31 October. General Petraeus is
an advocate of the American strategy of self-defence, which promotes the idea
that the US can attack a target in any country, without notifying that government,
if there is a threat to American interests. Relations between the US and
Pakistan are already cool because of continued cross-border air strikes on the part of the Americans, and it remains to be seen wheter  Petraeus&amp;#39; appointment will smooth current tensions.
&lt;/p&gt;
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 <comments>http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism/article/security_briefings/031108#comment</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/themes/terrorism-theme">openSecurity</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/taxonomy/term/51">Creative Commons normal</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/authors/hannah-cooper">Hannah Cooper</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/subdomains/terrorism">Security briefing</category>
 <category domain="http://www.opendemocracy.net/terrorism_opendemocracy_tags/security_briefings">security briefings</category>
 <pubDate>Mon, 03 Nov 2008 13:07:12 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Hannah Cooper</dc:creator>
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