open Democracy News Analysis - Let Obama be Obama , Godfrey Hodgson - Comments

John H on "Let Obama be Obama "

John H — Fri, 28 Nov 2008 17:22:01 +0000

While it is indeed wrong to talk of a 'Jewish lobby' in US politics, it is probably often due to laziness more than prejudice. Such laziness is somewhat mitigated by the vehemence with which Jewish members of the very significant pro-Israel lobby assert their claim to represent all Jews. It is also, however, horribly unfair to Jews who are critical of Israel and find themselves accused of disloyalty or 'self-hatred'.

On the other hand there is a perceived affinity towards Israel on the part of many US Protestants that probably transcends any genuine strategic or pro-democratic considerations. This is partly due to the vicarious Zionism that plays a part in messianic Christian prophesies but it also stems from an identification by early American settlers with the Israelite conquest of Canaan in the Exodus narrative. For an example of this see family bible-study in LIttle House on the Prairie (the book by Laura Ingles Wilder, not the TV show).

davr on "Let Obama be Obama "

davr — Thu, 20 Nov 2008 06:06:21 +0000

I'm hearing a lot of talk by the Republicans to kill President Elect Obama. Are you hearing that where you live? Is this a localized problem or a national conspiracy on the part of the Republicans in the U.S. to kill another U.S. President?

I'm concerned for President Elect Obama and his wife and children. I know from personal experience how vicious and deadly the right wing Fascist Republicans are. I take their threats very seriously. They are not to be taken lightly. They are very capable and experienced at carrying out their threats, as history shows.

The Secret Service has to be especially vigilant in its protection of President Elect and soon to be President Obama. These people are deadly serious in their threats and will go to any lengths to carry them out.

These threats are illegal. Anyone who threatened Bush’s life or any other Republican Presidents life were arrested and thrown in jail. Do we have a double standard in protecting Republican Presidents while ignoring our duty to protect Democratic (and Black) Presidents. It sure looks that way.

If the Republicans succeed in their efforts to assassinate Obama U.S. cities will burn. The country will be bathed in smoke and flame. The minorities will rise up in retribution for their fallen hero.

The Republicans are so hate filled, short sighted and stupid that they would cheerfully ignite such an incendiary situation.

May the Benevolent Power of the Universe protect and keep President Obama and his own.

So be it.

I wish you all well.

nasim6fr on "Let Obama be Obama "

nasim6fr — Thu, 20 Nov 2008 04:52:26 +0000

There is no doubt that Obama can not fix everything in 4 years and there is no question that the power of president is limited as well. But, he can start stepping on the road which will be continued by the next election or other generations to come. Beside all of these, whatever he will do or will not do, his being elected as the president was definitely an important compelling point in the whole world and history. I think it was already a big step forward which will affect other countries as well

vkm on "Let Obama be Obama "

vkm — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 23:29:57 +0000

Godfrey Hodgson raises three interlinked points that are of especial import to people in the Third World, regarding 'American Exceptionalism', Israel and Afghanistan/Pakistan.

'American Exceptionalism' is simply a euphemism for American Imperialism, not far removed from 'Manifest Destiny'; a 'divine mission' that justified the conquest of other peoples, from the Roman Empire, through the Spanish and Portuguese Conquistadors, the Dutch and British empires to Iraq today.

It was in the name of 'freedom' that the US establishment killed three million Vietnamese and devastated their country; in the name of 'freedom' that it devastated Iraq and killed over a million Iraqis.

That Obama espouses 'American Exceptionalism' is certainly not of much comfort. Nor is his espousal of the expansionist aims of Israel - after all, he supports Jerusalem as the capital of that apartheid state. There he is clearly at one with the US establishment, which requires Israel as a 'Colon' state, an enclave within the greater oil-bearing middle-east area.

As for Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan - what restitution will he make to the people of those countries for the immense harm done to them by the US and its allies? And why stay in Afghanistan if not to protect what is dearest to the heart of the US establishment, oil and gas?

The example of Haiti indicates what lies in the future for the Third World. The US invaded that country and removed its democratically elected leader, putting in his place a regime of cut-throats, murderers and thugs. Will Obama change things there? It is hardly likely, as his political allies are closely linked to the sinister Ton-Ton Macoute regime of the Duvaliers.

Unlike the Rev Jesse Jackson, Obama is not a man of the people, but a man of the establishment. And the sooner people understand that, the better.

Lawrence Efana on "Let Obama be Obama "

Lawrence Efana — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 19:04:06 +0000

Courtship is a part of western political culture, dramatised now that it is clearer to see after all that we live in glass houses. The powers we do not well comprehend caution being more careful about how we cast stones. Indeed Hodgson has this special way of reflexively communicating its message: comparing across a sample of experiences in the history of American presidents.

Obama, definitely knows this is a complex honeymoon period and luckily he is up-to-the-task, with a heart full of love and understanding. Nothing to shake him too much for the powers above, which made all possible never sleep. Whatever the storms of not being left alone, he will weather with efficiency, deligence, love, spirit of service, dynamism, and above all great understanding.

Where needs arise he will "sieze" the peace to be different on change theme as his mission for America and the world. It is a journey on the road to sustainability, well-being, enough sense of moderation, alertness, more accommodating world views, flexibility matched by enough toughness - a mixture of things to make for a progressive world that peace is possible. The road and the journey give no room for much rest and that he knows - an element of the awareness that overflowed as one of the qualities voters discovered from his heartbreaking political and at times spiritually intoned campaigned speeches.

Lawrence Efana [Finland]

DeanOR on "Let Obama be Obama "

DeanOR — Tue, 18 Nov 2008 22:18:04 +0000

Obama is being Obama, as far as I can tell. My own take on it is that as the community organizer addresses himself to an ever larger community, our own little corner of the community becomes relatively less influential. I think we'll still be listened to, which is a huge improvement, but we are only one of many parts. I don't know if he'll be mostly centrist or mostly progressive or a bit conservative, but he'll be a great improvement over the angry authoritarian wrecking crew we have had in charge.

And there is the Dem majority in Congress. I'm a Democrat, but I remember years of protesting policies of a one-party liberal Democratic federal government that was elected by a landslide and escalated a terrible war while also giving us some great progressive legislation. In my early childhood, there was also the progressive FDR New Deal. I was having dinner with a younger friend not long ago who mentioned that her mother was "born in a concentration camp"; I realized that she was talking about the imprisonment of Japanese Americans in the FDR years.

It's always a mixed bag, but after initially thinking Obama's Hope and Unity was crap, I've become more hopeful, as has much of the world. He's a very smart guy and effective organizer who often leans left, and I think he actually has a soul, unlike the evil Cheney, W, and friends.

Let Obama be Obama , Godfrey Hodgson

Mon, 17 Nov 2008 01:50:28 +0000

"Let Reagan be Reagan!" That was the slogan of Ronald Reagan's conservative followers. They were afraid that their leader's sharp ideological thrust was being blunted by timidity and moderation. The shrewder among them were also aware that, while a president of the United States is very powerful, he is not omnipotent.Godfrey Hodgson was director of the Reuters' Foundation Programme at Oxford University, and before that the Observer's correspondent in the United States and foreign editor of the Independent.

His books include The World Turned Right Side Up: a history of the conservative ascendancy in America (Houghton Mifflin, 1996);

The Gentleman from New York: Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan(Houghton Mifflin, 2000);

More Equal Than Others: America from Nixon to the New Century (Princeton University Press, 2006)

A Great and Godly Adventure: The Pilgrims and the Myth of the First Thanksgiving (PublicAffairs, 2007)

Among Godfrey Hodgson's openDemocracy articles on America's election year:

"The United States election: time for ‘change'" (10 January 2008)

"America's change election: reality or mirage?" (11 February 2008)

"The lost election year" (15 May 2008)

"Barack Obama: at the crossroads of victory" (11 June 2008)\

"A game of two halves" (15 July 2008)

"Welcome to the party: American convention follies" (18 August 2008)

"America's foreign-policy election" (28 August 2008)

"America's economy election" (17 October 2008)

"Yes he can!" (6 November 2008)

Now, in the interval between Barack Obama's election and his inauguration, there is a deep yearning, in America and abroad, for Obama to be Obama.

Let him be the apostle of change he has always claimed to be. Let him sweep away the miasma of foreign and domestic disasters that persuaded so many Americans to vote for him. Let him end the war in Iraq, close Guantánamo and fire the torturers, but let him also end the growing inequality of American life.

Many would go further, and hope, too, that he will end the deregulation and the dismantling of the powers of government to protect the people that have led so directly to the economic crisis.

At the same time there is an awareness that Obama will not be able to do all that his supporters expect of him, or indeed all that he would like to do.

Even the strongest of presidents have complained of the limitations on presidential power. "Every president", said Lyndon B Johnson, "has to establish with the various sectors of the country what I would call ‘the right to govern'". On another occasion he put it more bluntly. "The only power I've got is nuclear, and I can't use that!"

Franklin D Roosevelt, the most effective president in the last century, expressed his frustration with the bureaucracies who nominally served him. "To change anything in the N-a-a-v-y", he drawled, "is like punching a featherbed!".

So it seems timely to take a look at the specific constraints that will bind Obama so that he may not "be Obama", as so many want him to be.

The limits of power

There are obvious financial and economic constraints imposed by the economic crisis. Obama has said that the economy will be his first priority. Whatever strategy or mix of strategies he adopts to make the recession as shallow and as short-lived as possible, resources for bold initiatives are bound to be limited.

There are, too, the constraints imposed by his own personality. Barack Obama is an unusually complicated man. He is indeed in many ways a radical. He is also a conservative. Three values, in particular, that are massively important to him are at the heart of what has been historically the conservative personality.

He is a religious man: not a Muslim, as some in his family were, and as his enemies pretend, but a Christian, one who has chosen the Christian faith consciously and as a mature adult.

He is a patriot and an American exceptionalist. Like other great American radicals before him, from Abraham Lincoln to Martin Luther King, the motivation to which he constantly appeals is the idea that in America, more than elsewhere, higher standards of political and social morality must be observed. Good for him: at the same time he will not instinctively look for political ideas abroad.

As he shows in the charming affection he shows to his wife and his daughters, he has the strong sense of family that is natural to a man whose family, though loyal and affectionate, was in several respects dysfunctional.

So we should not expect him to be driven by an instinctive wish to overturn the applecart. He is sincere when he says he wants change. He will not want to try to change everything.

Like every politician, and especially every politician who has captured his party's nomination not as the beneficiary of a long-earned legitimacy but as an insurgent, Obama is constrained by the ideas and values of the immediate circle of his supporters and advisers. To be sure, because he has raised so much money in small amounts, often over the internet from hundreds of thousands of donors, he is not in hock to big business and special interests. But he has made friends and incurred obligations on his astonishingly brief rise to the top.

He will do much for African-Americans and also for Hispanic-Americans. But he is hardly their prisoner. In Illinois, the traditional "race men" neither liked nor trusted him. Even the Reverend Jesse Jackson, a more substantial figure than envious black members of the Illinois legislature, was even recorded in a moment of un-Christian annoyance uttering an earthy insult directed against him.

More restricting, perhaps, are the feelings of a group that supported him less enthusiastically than African-Americans: working-class, or "blue-collar" voters. Obama will be under pressure to adopt at least some protectionist measures to calm the fears of industrial workers who have lost their jobs or are afraid of losing them to foreign competition.

One reason, among several, why he has been talking to Hillary Clinton about a job in his administration - perhaps as secretary of state - is to buckle to himself two groups she was more successful at reaching out to in the campaign than he was: blue-collar workers, and women.

One constraint on the power of every president, especially underestimated outside the United States, is the power of Congress. Obama's coat-tails, as they say, were quite long. Democrats will have a more substantial majority in the House of Representatives than speaker Nancy Pelosi has been able to count on since the mid-term elections of 2006.

In the Senate, the new president will have fifty-seven or fifty-eight votes (depending whether the comedian Al Franken can win a seat in Minnesota that is still undecided). To apply the cloture rule and end debate, you need sixty votes. On many issues, Obama will be able to win the handful of Republican votes he needs to pass legislation he wants. But not on all.

Also in openDemocracy on the United States election:

openUSA has published daily commentary and analysis of the 2008 election - both from the United States itself and around the world - and links to the best campaign coverage

The current highlights include an email exchange between KA Dilday and Anthony Barnett on the meaning of Barack Obama's candidacy

Plus:

Sidney Blumenthal, "The strange death of Republican America" (4 November 2008)

Party loyalty and party organisation in the United States are not so mechanistic that a president, even one with an arithmetical majority in both houses of Congress, can count on getting what he wants. Here he will run into the most important constraints of all.

Between ideal and reality

There are issues where the will of the American people, especially as organised by long-established and well-funded lobbies, sets rather tight limits on what a president can do. Two examples are healthcare reform and Israel.

Barack Obama is committed to reform of the American healthcare system, and in particular of access to it. Poll data suggest that a large proportion of the American population wants reform. Hillary Clinton is if anything even more committed. Public opinion, however, shies away from a national healthcare system. Some kind of universal health insurance, with exceptions allowing those who are content with their existing health policies, is the most that could pass Congress (see Lawrence R Jacobs & James A Morone, "American sickness: diagnosis and cure", 16 October 2007).

The situation with regard to Israel is somewhat similar. A lot of prejudiced nonsense is written around the world about the "Jewish lobby" in American politics. A majority of American Jews vote the Democratic ticket, and Jews are at least as strongly represented on the left as on the neo-conservative right.

Still, over at least three decades, the American people have been persuaded that Israel is America's staunchest and even its most democratic ally (a questionable proposition, but one widely held in the United States). Jewish organisations, especially the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (Aipac), have worked very hard to raise money for congressmen's election campaigns and to keep them briefed on the Israeli view of middle-east politics.

As a consequence, while it will be a key goal for the Obama administration to make progress towards peace between Israel and the Palestinians, there are in practice quite strict constraints on how far or how fast it is likely to move (see John C Hulsman, "Memo to Obama: the middle east needs you", 9 November 2008).

This applies even more to America's relations with Iraq, Iran and Pakistan. Senator Obama came out early and clearly against the Iraq war. But he did so in part because he saw it as a foolish distraction from what he has continued to insist was the more urgent and legitimate task of fighting Islamist extremism in Afghanistan and in its last redoubt in the tribal areas of Pakistan. As a result, one of the first and most dangerous crises the Obama administration will face will be over Pakistan.

As a candidate, Obama continued to insist (including in a speech at the Aipac conference in June 2008) that Iran must not be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons. At the same time, he has said he would be willing to talk directly to the Iranian government about the issue. He has also insisted that the Taliban must be defeated in Afghanistan, and that he is willing to enter Pakistan territory, with military force if necessary, to eliminate al-Qaida leaders.

What he can do

The president-elect has said repeatedly that before anything else he will focus his energies on attempting to reduce the duration and the severity of the economic crisis. Wisely, he has given few hints as to how he would go about that. He has however insisted that help should be directed, far more than has been done by the Bush administration, towards regular citizens struggling to keep their homes and their jobs, as opposed to the Wall Street investment firms from which the Bush administration has recruited both its economic philosophy and the personnel with which it is trying to cope with the crisis. Obama is unusually free from obligations to the mirror-glass towers of finance capitalism. But he is not an opponent of capitalism as a system.

All these constraints are superimposed on the institutional isolation of the presidency as it has evolved in the American constitutional system of separated powers, the isolation that doomed even such titans as Roosevelt and Johnson to frustration.

We can expect a serious, progressive administration. It is committed to ending the uglier aspects of the Bush administration's foreign policy and to trying to save the country from the worst economic consequences of the conservative ascendancy. We should not, however, expect miracles. We must hope that Obama can swim. He will not be able to walk on water.

Average rating

(5 votes)