New form of government

I am seeking constructive comments on a theoretical new form of government I have been developing called Expert Government.

Its principal feature is that all policy is devised by experts that act only within their specialisations. Expert Government is a single entity with no politicians or parties, just experts and some administrative staff to help them. Otherwise it is dogma free to enable it to adapt to changing needs and circumstances. Structurally its experts are grouped according to their respective specialisations, and all experts have equal influence within their specialism, but none outside of it. Influence is not organised into hierarchies.

The web site has a more information at http://expertgovernment.org.uk/.

There are two significant observations that influenced the principal feature of Expert Government. Firstly, most problems that befall us seem to be within our ability to prevent, because they arise from our own actions. Take for example recent sovereign debt problems. Secondly, humans have constructed very sophisticated and necessarily complex systems that enable advanced civilisation. Those systems are based on the principle of collaboration between many experts acting in their own specialisms. Indeed, it is hard to see how else such sophisticated systems could be organised. Now it is my opinion that a country is also a sophisticated system. I believe that the problems that befall us are because we do not use an organisation of experts for government. Instead the administrators are making decisions. These administrators are not sufficiently aware of all the sophistication and complexity in the system, so problems appear to them to come out of nowhere.

Thanks for reading, and any useful thoughts you may have.

 

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 Firstly, most problems that

 Firstly, most problems that befall us seem to be within our ability to prevent, because they arise from our own actions. Take for example recent sovereign debt problems. gebyatt

You mean UK 'experts' could have bypassed the Greek government and enforced and implemented an austerity plan on the Greek population?

Wouldn't that presume UK

Wouldn't that presume UK experts were first successful in implementing an austerity plan on the UK?  Good luck!

I was pointing out that the

I was pointing out that the sovereign debt crisis is not something under 'our (i.e.British) control, whatever form of government we might have. The EU crisis arises from bonds being issued in euros by countries of varying degrees of solvency. The proposed answer is to issue eurozone bonds, under the control of a federal authority in Brussels, backed jointly by all the eurozone countries. Although adversly affected by the crisis, the UK is not a member of the eurozone and isn't in a position to dictate a solution.

No eric_5. I am suggesting

No eric_5. I am suggesting that UK experts could have prevented UK sovereign debt.

I am suggesting that UK

I am suggesting that UK experts could have prevented UK sovereign debt.

It's fallacious to regard the UK as an island apart, in control of its own destiny.

 It is in control of its own

 

It is in control of its own debt.

 

gebyatt 16 August 2011 -

gebyatt 16 August 2011 - 7:59am It is in control of its own debt.
Government bonds and national currencies are subject to the decisions of the global market. The pound could be put under pressure and its value forced down against other leading currencies. Treasury bonds could be sold off and borrowing costs forced up.
You don't seem to have grasped that the UK is not an island apart but is part of the global economy. Clearly, the UK can take more or less intelligent measures to meet international pressures but it cannot control the situation.

I figured that's where you

I figured that's where you were going, though I was more amused about the notion of experts from the UK implementing policies abroad (assuming  they could) that were politically impossible to implement domestically.. 

On the issue  of Eurozone bonds, how do you suggest they can be backed jointly if the member states are on the verge of financial collapse themselves (ie, Italy & Spain).  The value of the bonds is little more than the paper they are printed on.  What backs up the backers, Asian bond holders?

On the issue  of Eurozone

On the issue  of Eurozone bonds, how do you suggest they can be backed jointly if the member states are on the verge of financial collapse themselves (ie, Italy & Spain). IM

Because eurozone members issue euro-denominated sovereign bonds individually, speculators can pick off the weaker members one by one. It's like the difference between the bonds of individual US states and federal treasury bonds. The obstacle to eurozone, jointly guaranteed, bonds is political and beyond the control of 'experts'.  

It's the parochialism of 'expert government' that I'm underlining.

No the obstacle to Eurozone

No the obstacle to Eurozone jointly guaranteeing Bonds is the German Taxpayer. They wont wear it. 

For far too long we have had Governments in numerous countries which have failed to control their finances properly. Gordon Brown's performance was a damn disgrace. Unless and until Governments start to live within their means we will have boubts of market turbulance. And I am afraid that for Governments to live within their means will mean that their electorates will have to grow up and understand there is no such thing as a free lunch. Someone always has to pay for it. 

There is obviously a lot of

There is obviously a lot of resistance here to the idea that many specialists will produce better policy than relatively few generalists. What I am missing from this topic so far is any plausible justification of that resistance.

I offered evidence for my view that many specialists are better at managing a complex system than a few generalists. Has anyone got a counter example?

I offered evidence for my

I offered evidence for my view that many specialists are better at managing a complex system than a few generalists. Has anyone got a counter example?

Abraham Lincoln.

 

Expand.

Expand.

Abraham Lincoln was not a

Abraham Lincoln was not a "specialist."  He was a simple country lawyer with a lot of worldly wisdom and firm principles.  He was not an "expert" in warfare, yet he was Commander-In-Chief of the greatest conflict my country ever experienced, and succeeded.  He was not an "expert" in economics, yet he managed to fund a nation during a time that could have easily ruined our nation.  He was not a "foreign policy" expert, yet he managed to prevent European nations from siding with the South and splitting my country in two.

He WAS an expert wordsmith, not by any special training, or advanced degrees.  And most "educated" people, at the time, derided his speaking abilities as "backwoods, uneducated, buffoonish, and disappointing."  He would not have passed muster if judged by a panel to determine "expertise" in "debating skill." Yet he managed to produce some of the most moving, powerful, simple speeches ever delivered in American history. 

Again, you think decision making, in the hands of "experts" will lead to a better world.  I disagree.  I think decision making is best left to the population, as a whole, affected by those decisions.  I don't disagree that expert advice is often needed.  But I would not want a country run by "hand-picked" experts. 

If Abraham Lincoln was a

If Abraham Lincoln was a lawyer, then he was a specialist. If he was a good lawyer, then he was also an expert.

Abraham Lincoln was a great man, but he did not do everything himself, and I cannot believe that all that was done was luck. He must have depended any a large number of people who were specialists in their fields, also great men. Probably men with experience and skill, men we would call experts.

You resist the truth, but it stares directly at you.

Abraham Lincoln and other experts changed the course of your countries history. They were collaborating experts directing advances in civilisation. They were not political money huggers drunk on power.

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Surely Ulysses S. Grant, a bigger army, a better navy, more advanced weapons and better railroad infrastructure had more to do with winning the American Civil War than Lincoln. Having the odds stacked in your favor doesn't make you a good military strategist.

The British didn’t enter the war because they would not support a nation that condoned slavery. When the war turned in the North’s favor, the British stayed out because they didn’t want to spend resources on the losing side. The only thing Lincoln did to keep Britain out of the war was free the slaves. If you believe this was the reason Lincoln freed the slaves, then you are reducing the most morally significant legislation in American history to a mere business decision.

Lincoln may have had simple roots, but he was not some Joe six-pack. He was an intellectual, and so were the founding fathers of the United States. In fact, the founders had so little faith in the average citizen (Joe six-pack) that they did everything in their power to bar them from the political process. When the nation was founded, voting was mostly limited to citizens who owned land (10-16% of the population). This was made to prevent the average citizen from voting. The founders were terrified of democracy. They saw it as one of the greatest threats to personal freedom. This is why they settled on a republic instead of a democracy (see the Federalist Papers, especially Federalist 10). The founders wanted elite representatives to make the important decisions. The most important decisions, discoveries, and insights throughout history are almost never made by the average mind; they are made by the brilliant, and Lincoln was no exception.

If there’s any more history you’d like to revise, please stay away from American history and theoretical physics since you’re clearly not an expert in either. Thank you.

On consideration, the 'expert

On consideration, the 'expert government' proposal is detached from reality and has no practical value. It is left in ruins by the global climate change problem. This demonstrates that over-riding global questions are not within the control of an individual state but demand global co-operation. The experts have spoken. The report of the IPCC is clear about the nature of the problem. The political will to meet the challenge is lacking. It's inconceivable that the necessary measures can be taken without the setting up of world government (or ad hoc co-operation of similar authority).

Another surreal assumption is that 'experts' would, en masse, accept government posts. In point of fact, experts are only to glad to advise governments, private industry and anyone who is prepared to pay their fees or enhance their reputation but leaving their academic, research and other posts to become 'philosopher kings' is another matter.  

Government experts would

Government experts would create policy based on the evidence. They would be much more likely to act on climate change evidence than politicians. All the people in one country can do is mobilise their country and set an example. It is defeatist to give up because other countries are slow to understand.

Government would comprise the experts that do apply. It is desirable but not necessary that they are the greatest examples in their field. The division of government into many specialisms with many specialists in each is the important factor. Hopefully some experts would find the time, perhaps toward the end of their careers, to do something for their country.

You've summed up in two

You've summed up in two paragraphs a glaring problem with your concept.

"Government would comprise the experts that do apply."

In other words, government would be getting the "dreg" experts that can't find higher paying jobs in the private sector. 

"It is desirable but not necessary that they are the greatest examples in their field. The division of government into many specialisms with many specialists in each is the important factor. Hopefully some experts would find the time, perhaps toward the end of their careers, to do something for their country."

You're setting up a government of mediocrities. Expertise implies -- demands -- currency. A government made up of retirees, many years past their prime and many years past the most current trends in their respective fields, is pre-programmed to be a failure.

You ignore the most important

You ignore the most important concept, which is partitioning of government into many specialisms with many specialists in each. This is the principal feature of what I refer to as ‘specialism structured government’. The use of experts is an aspiration, it is not essential. I personally believe that many experts would be public spirited enough to come forward to help their country. Handled correctly people could see a tenure in government as an endorsement of their expertise and of their commitment to their country; perhaps even the pinnacle of their career. Certainly the current system seems worse to me, in which we select a few people from a short list based on their desire to get access to money and power. That is the mad scheme.

Abraham Lincoln made many

Abraham Lincoln made many decisions outside his "legal specialization." 

 In my opinion, I am not resisting truth, but nonsense.  Political determination best resides with the citizens, not your so-called "experts."  Those governing may rely on experts for advice, but the final decisions should be made by the chosen representatives of the people.  People grant governments authority.  Expertise, in any field, does not give you the right to decide the fates of men.

Great advances in

Great advances in civilisation were never made by votes. They were made by people with great vision and dedication to their fields.

Was Abraham Lincoln merely mouthing the words of a visionary, or was he the visionary? Are you saying he was not expert in what he constructed?

Tell us why authority vested in votes is so great.

I personally believe that

I personally believe that many experts would be public spirited enough to come forward to help their country.

With all due respect, that's because you are a crackpot with no obvious knowledge of government, practical or theoretical. The best advice you could be given is to take up another hobby that will help you pass the time without making yourself a laughing stock.

Are you a politician, or are

Are you a politician, or are you an expert on the role politics plays in government?

  gebyatt:  Government

 

gebyatt:  Government experts would create policy based on the evidence. They would be much more likely to act on climate change evidence than politicians.

 

 

You seem to continue thinking a group of experts would reach unanimous consensus, or rather, they must agree because they are all experts and, therefore, must reach exactly the same conclusions based on the same evidence.  That is simply not the case. 

Anyone who thinks experts know best, even in their fields of specialization, has never been an expert in any field.  Anyone who thinks “experts,” by dint of their superior knowledge, will all reach unanimous agreement and know the correct course of action in any give situation has never been an expert.  The only thing "expertise" provides is equal (or nearly equal) footing, and the foundation to begin civil discussions (at best) or all-out-screaming-match arguments (at worst).

Here is a specific example…  Probably, by universal approbation, the leading expert in theoretical physics, during the last century, was Albert Einstein and the second leading physicist was Niels Bohr.  According you your thinking, gebyatt, these two great experts should know more than anyone on the planet, be able to look at the evidence, and, since they are the two premier experts in the field, agree on the answer to a question in theoretical physics (their acknowledged field of expertise).  However, they were in complete disagreement, throughout their entire careers, over the answer to one simple question:  Does God play dice with the Universe?  (In other words, do things, at the very small level, happen randomly, unpredictably, and by chance?  Or, given enough information, can everything that happens be predicted?)  Einstein said God does not play dice, Bohr said God does.  It now seems the foremost expert on the planet, Einstein, was wrong.  How could that happen?  How could the best expert on earth be wrong?  But, more to the point, how could the second best expert on the planet disagree with the first best?  They’re experts.  They should know.  They should agree.  The answer is simple, yet you fail to grasp it.  An expert in some field is not granted, automatically, the knowledge, or wisdom to know the best way to handle a situation, or the knowledge to reach "The Big Conclusion."  And, other experts, in exactly the same field of expertise, will disagree. 

All expertise does is give two people the training to disagree, and argue, on a more-or-less equal footing.  As I’ve said before, I have the schooling, experience, and professional career to qualify me as an expert in wildlife management.  So, if you were to disagree with some position I take on, say…  Should we implement a minimum antler spread on whitetailed deer?  I would bury you.  I could smash any argument you have, either way, because you are not an expert.  However, anyone with similar schooling, experience, and career qualifications could debate with me on an equal footing, and we would probably end the argument with an agreement to disagree. 

A person who is "expert" in economic policy is no more qualified to set economic policy for a country than an elected politician, because there WILL BE other economic experts who disagree with the positions of the first.  Unless you understand that, you will never understand the fatal flaw in "Expert Government."  

 Gebyatt, you put waaaay too much faith in experts.  My advice to you is to seek out many experts, with many different opinions, and formulate your own truths.  Just like elected officials SHOULD do.  Or, maybe you can find a group of people to try an experimental “Expert Government.”  I’ll bet you might be able to find upwards of ten or twelve other crackpots.  Find some deserted south seas island and try ‘er out.  One of you can be an expert coconut finder, one an expert hut maker, one an expert conch shucker, etc.  Let us know how it turns out.

 

I not only agree with you

I not only agree with you that experts / specialists would not agree with each other, I intend that there should be selection criteria that encourage diversity of opinion. Specialists / experts with diverse opinions will naturally tend to generate moderate positions to reach an acceptable compromise. This is why I require many specialists / experts in each specialism. One principle I state on the front page of my site is the need to reserve extreme action for extreme circumstances. This also tends to encourage moderate positions. It is my belief that extremism is usually damaging except to manage extreme circumstances.

By definition, experts do “know best” about their specialism. Some people equate the terms ‘expert’ and ‘academic’. There are experts that have deep theoretical specialism, and those with deep practical specialism. The best experts would embody both, but this may be impossible in many disciplines. In that case some selection criteria should foster diversity of practical and theoretical specialism. I agree with you that experts will not always know the “correct course of action”, but I think they are always best placed to make a best effort. The preeminent concern of politicians, or at least a powerful concern, is winning elections. This can hinder impartial assessment of a matter, even in the unlikely event that a politician is expert on a matter. This is an inescapable problem of a system with an inherent adversarial design. Your example concerns a rare case at the extreme limits of human knowledge. Most matters are considerably more tractable. Nonetheless, to extend your example; would a politician be better placed to advise on performing pertinent physics experiments? Einstein and Bohr may have disagreed and had to compromise, but all the politicians in the world could not even begin to answer such questions with any likelihood of success.

Concerning your area of specialism, do you feel that decisions in it are best left to politicians, even though you presumably know much more about it then they do? I think that most specialists would feel that their decisions, and particularly those of their experts, would be better. I imagine that you might say that the specialists / experts could advise the politicians. If the specialists / experts know the best decisions themselves, then they do not need the politicians and should not give them the opportunity to corrupt the decision. I imagine that you might say that someone is needed to coordinate cross-cutting concerns. I would say that that should not be a politician, but a selection of specialists from each relevant discipline. We do not need politicians. In your specialist area it seems that you think it matters how expert one is, and indeed I would not even try to debate on your subject. Yet you deny this of economics. I imagine that experts in economics might have the opposite view to you. Like in the earlier example, the experts may disagree about economics, but a guess from a politician is much worse than any compromise position from experts.

The experiment you suggest is already in place. Almost all the products and services in this world are created using this principle. Government is the last significant throwback to authoritarianism. Politicians are privileged elite that gain their authority by convincing the easily led that voting for someone who does not know anything about what they are deliberating on is a good idea. A vote has no effect on the policy of parties and a negligible effect on which party gets to be in government. Which party gets to be in power is almost irrelevant anyway, as neither understands what they are talking about. Almost half of the people in the UK have figured this out and so don’t even bother to vote. Out of those that do vote, most vote the same way each time regardless of party policies. Some simply vote for the opposition each time to reduce corruption. In effect the thought that goes into a vote is also negligible. For many, voting and the watching the results get announced have descended into a distraction, an evening’s entertainment. The subsequent political coverage is just a soap opera. People in the future will look back and marvel at how ridiculous this system is, and how we could have adhered to it for so long.

gebyatt 24 August 2011 -

gebyatt 24 August 2011 - 9:47pm,
Your nonsensical view is based on the belief that 'experts' making their best guesses for an individual nation state could defy the reality of global conditions. Zimbabwean 'experts' might well help Mugabe to escape justice but can nothing to make Zimbabwe a prosperous and democratic country.

Why would politicians making

Why would politicians making their best guesses be any better?

Why would politicians making

Why would politicians making their best guesses be any better?

They don't, Dummy. There is absolutely no shortage of expert advice.
For example, it's clear that the way to meet the euro crisis is to issue euro bonds, backed by all the euro members. Frau Merkel won't do it because Germany would be the biggest contributor.

Politicians have expert

Politicians have expert advice do they? Just let the experts make the decisions then. The politicians add nothing. You could not spot a good idea in a good ideas shop. I have listened to enough insults from berks like you. If you can’t manage a rational debate and need to descend into insults I don’t want to hear from you.

gebyatt,  The Dunning–Kruger

gebyatt, 

The Dunning–Kruger effect is a psychological condition in which unskilled people make poor decisions and reach erroneous conclusions, but their incompetence denies them the metacognitive ability to recognize their mistakes.

The Dunning–Kruger effect can

The Dunning–Kruger effect can only be applied to me if I do not know what I am talking about, you have not demonstrated this. I note that it, like the god-complex, can be readily applied to politicians who demonstrate on a frequent basis how they clearly have little idea of what they are talking about. Perhaps you are a politician, or want to be one. Perhaps you are just unable to accept ideas outside those with significant approbation from others, a person with little creative ability or capacity for critical thinking. Rather than try to insult me, directly or by reference to an unproven association with a cognitive deficit, you could manage a reasoned argument. You have not demonstrated any such capacity so far. If I am deluded and you are so aware it must be easy for you with your superior grasp of reality to demonstrate why the basis of my idea is wrong. Suspiciously you dodge the critical issue. You have no answer, because there is no sound criticism. Perhaps you are feeling the effects cognitive dissonance about now. You feel challenged by an idea you cannot refute but that does not conform to your familiar world view.

Pop-psychology does not advance this debate. Try to use reason. If you cannot refute the basis of my idea then you should try to stretch to the possibility that you need to alter your world view. Understanding does evolve. Those with ideas that depart significantly from the norm are sometimes right and where they are it is important. Regardless of the outcome of developing those ideas it is also important that people do test out new ideas. They should be encouraged for efforts rather than dismissed by those who dare nothing. Prove to me that I am not right, or accept the possibility, or leave this discussion to those that can manage a reasoned debate.

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“According you your thinking, gebyatt, these two great experts should know more than anyone on the planet, be able to look at the evidence, and, since they are the two premier experts in the field, agree on the answer to a question in theoretical physics (their acknowledged field of expertise)”

“All expertise does is give two people the training to disagree, and argue, on a more-or-less equal footing.”

The reason Bohr and Einstein couldn't agree despite being experts in their fields was because there was no evidence to support either of their claims. In the absence of evidence, their disagreement was not scientific; it was philosophical. Bohr was arguing that randomness is a fundamental property of the universe. Einstein believed there must be a hidden variable responsible for the randomness. At the time, neither assertion could be confirmed by experimentation. That was until 1964 when John Stewart Bell devised an experiment that could test the hidden variable theory. Experiments carried out during the 70s and 80s crushed the hidden variable theory. Einstein, who died in 1955, never lived to see these experiments. We can’t know whether or not Einstein, in the light of evidence, would have abandoned his position and adopted Bohr’s, but one of his quotes may provide some insight.

“A man should look for what is, and not for what he thinks should be”

Truth is not determined by who the better arguer is. It is the evidence that counts. I would advise you to take the time to research things you know nothing about before using them to produce faulty anecdotes.

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Those of you who think this

Those of you who think this idea is lacking some sense of reality need bringing up-to date.

Take a look at these sites to see how far behind you are:

http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/helloworld/27104/?ref=rss

http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/08/floating-microcountries.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29

http://chartercities.org/blog/191/a-new-city-in-honduras

If you still think that change and new ideas are not going to happen, when I have just shown you that they are, then you are a Luddite, an anchor to those of us who want progress.

If you still think that

If you still think that change and new ideas are not going to happen, when I have just shown you that they are, then you are a Luddite, an anchor to those of us who want progress. gebyatt

What's new about tax evasion? The 'seasteading' idea is about setting up 'states' in international waters in ships, oil platforms or other structures or unclaimed islands outside the jurisdiction of sovereign states. The attractions of making laws to suit yourself are obvious.

Agreed. L. Ron's entire bogus

Agreed. L. Ron's entire bogus religion began as a tax-evasion manuever. His "Sea Org" remains the heart and soul of his dangerously expanded cult. It's too bad the US and other governments didn't put a stop to it and jail him when they had the chance -- would have saved thousands of people a lot of misery.

L Ron Hubbard, the inventor

L Ron Hubbard, the inventor of Scientology, is a recent pioneer of quasi states, operating outside the jurisdiction (in intention anyway) of recognized sovereign states. "He created the Sea Org "fleet", in early 1967 it began an eight-year voyage, sailing from port to port in the Mediterranean Sea and eastern North Atlantic. The Church of Scientology sent him $15,000 a week and millions of dollars were transferred to his bank accounts in Switzerland Couriers arrived regularly, conveying luxury food for Hubbard and his family or cash that had been smuggled from England to avoid currency export restrictions.<>Along the way, Hubbard sought to establish a safe haven in "a friendly little country where Scientology would be allowed to prosper," From about 1970, Hubbard was attended aboard ship by the children of Sea Org members, organized as the Commodore's Messenger Organization (CMO). They were mainly young girls dressed in hot pants and halter tops, who were responsible for running errands for Hubbard such as lighting his cigarettes, dressing him or relaying his verbal commands to other members of the crew.." .Wikipedia.  

I had seen that Sea Org page

I had seen that Sea Org page on Wikipedia, but I did not take any time look into the details as Scientology is of no concern to me. What you have said demonstrates to me the shortcomings of human nature interacting with hierarchical influence structures, and to some extent the problems of a non-secular authority. These are all features I have taken some trouble to exclude from my design for government.

Anyway, as per your mode you miss the two points I was making in my last post. Firstly, it easy to rubbish the efforts of others in the smug belief that one is endorsed by the status quo, but having contributed nothing to its formative ideas or progress. It is much more difficult to develop original ideas and refine them. As you can see I and others are trying, you are merely trying in a different sense of the word. Secondly, change is not impossible. I note that you do not comment on the Charter Cities effort. Perhaps it is not amenable to brand of cynicism and criticism because it appears to be making progress.

I wonder what character flaw of yours gives you the satisfaction to be so negative about others ideas. Perhaps you should turn your pop-psychology on yourself and let us know what makes you so brilliant while my efforts and those of others are worth so little.

I wonder what character flaw

I wonder what character flaw of yours gives you the satisfaction to be so negative about others ideas.

A real put-down for anybody doubting the splendour of the Emperor's new clothes.

 

Perhaps you should turn your

Perhaps you should turn your pop-psychology on yourself gebyatt

It's actually a serious academic study although, like many such studies, it does not uncover a new phenomenon but examines a commonly observable trait. 

Kruger, J. M., & Dunning, D. (1999). Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one’s own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77, 1121-1134

I did not make any comment on

I did not make any comment on the Dunning–Kruger effect, their study, or any papers they published on it. It pointed out the unjustified use of it by you. I note you still provide no justification. Nonetheless, thank you for the information. While I no doubt will recall it from time to time, I can’t say I would be crass enough to tell someone they might be afflicted by it, with or without justification.

It seems to me you get some satisfaction from insulting people. Is there a term for your condition?

You cast aphorisms around

You cast aphorisms around very readily, but if these are the Emperor's new clothes then you are providing the fashion commentary.

I see no evidence that this

I see no evidence that this theory makes any compensation for corruption. The current democratic systems make specific compensation for corruption, self interest, and flat out greed by forcing politicians and different groups of interest to fight against one another. It's certainly not perfect, and is still quite corrupt in many areas, but it seems that "expert government" would make absolutely no compensation for corruption. In a matter of years the whole system would be an abomination.

I'm near-expert with computers and I care about my country, have ethical standards, etc.. however, if you put me in a position of leadership where I could be make an unquestioned decision, It probably wouldn't take much to make me cast a vote in favor of a "contributor".

There's obviously an interesting debate going on here regardless. There should be more discussions like this.

Thank you Anonymous Firstly,

Thank you Anonymous

Firstly, the main concern of Expert Government is to improve the efficacy of government; corruption and inadaptability are secondary concerns. Secondly, the design does have features to minimise corruption. The need to improve those features is not a reason to abandon the principal concept in Expert Government. Also it is a mistake to believe that voting for representatives is the only possible way to address corruption. The starting point for a design of government is to get the requirements in the right order.

The reason for my priorities is that civilisation is becoming more complex, but current forms of government do not adequately address that progression. It is my opinion that more damage is now being done due to ineffective government than corrupt government, and that this trend will continue until everyone can see this. For example, recent financial mismanagement brought the world to its knees. Many people are still suffering from the effects. Indeed the issue is not yet resolved. Regardless of what caused it, it is clear that ineffective controls by government allowed it to happen. The people who did understand the problem did not have the authority to apply the necessary controls to prevent it. Instead authority was with politicians. While corruption probably contributed to the lack of control, the more significant issue is that they did not understand what they were supposed to be controlling. Even if they were not corrupt they could not have been effective. Voting out politicians does reduce corruption, but it is at best curative, not preventative, and it does nothing to make them more effective. Our main concern must be to get effective government and then apply anti-corruption measures. The common concern about corruption is an understandable response to an authoritarian past, but people need to take a new look at the priorities for government in a complex world.

  Regardless of what caused

 

Regardless of what caused it, it is clear that ineffective controls by government allowed it to happen. The people who did understand the problem did not have the authority to apply the necessary controls to prevent it. Instead authority was with politicians. Gebyatt

This is completely wrong. The financial crisis originated with the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the United States and was spread globally through the international banking system. Monetary policy is decided in the United States by the Federal Reserve and not by politicians. The financial crisis was actually caused, unintentionally of course, by the experts, the central bankers, the bankers of the global financial community and mortgage providers.   

Politicians have expert

Politicians have expert advice do they? Just let the experts make the decisions then. The politicians add nothing.

The job of a politician is - in theory - to represent the will of the public.

Let's take a concrete example: the Public Smoking Ban.

Medical specialists can tell you just how bad second hand smoke is. But that doesn't tell you whether smoking in public should be made illegal. The trade-off between health and liberty is not a technical issue.

The job of politicians in this instance is to gauge the public mood and determine - however imprecisely - where that trade-off should be made.

Now, you could argue that moral philosophers would be able to judge such matters - but the idea that you could put together a bunch of utilitarians, virtue ethicists, theologians, Kantians, libertarians, etc. and expect them to come up with an acceptable compromise (when starting from fundamentally different premises) seems a little unrealistic.

Let us focus on the main

Let us focus on the main issue only first, rather than get side-tracked into discussing many others.

Representative democracy is clearly an improvement on many other forms of government. However, representative democracy is progressively less effective at managing countries because of the increasing complexity of civilisation.

Provision of products and services based on collaborating independent specialisms (i.e. businesses and other organisations) works very well. Its basis is the best way we have of managing a complex system. A system based on collaborating independent specialisms is not overseen; its success is an emergent property of its design. That design devolves authority to very many collaborating independent specialisms, each employing many specialists or ideally experts. I have used this design as the basis of Expert Government.

We have entered into a new era of complexity, in which a small number of individuals are not able to manage civilisation effectively. The correct policies for government should emerge from the actions of many specialists, each working only within their specialism. The top-down approach is no longer viable; it is an artefact of the past when systems were simple enough for that to work.

I want a reasoned argument on my understanding of the effects of the increasing complexity of civilisation and how to address them. Other issues are less important and to be discussed later. I note everyone has studiously avoided this critical argument so far. I hope you will address it. For example, the will of the public is irrelevant to the issue around the increasing complexity of civilisation.

gebyatt, As your phenomenal

gebyatt,

As your phenomenal ignorance of the causes and development of the global financial crisis demonstrated, you are unqualified to propose solutions to problems you don't understand.

Yes - specialists are better

Yes - specialists are better at formulating policy than generalists. That is why politicians consult them when deciding how to best approach issues.

But you cannot just sweep aside the issue of democratic representation. Before you can decide how best to run society you must first decide what kind of society you want it to be - what are the roles of liberty, equality, etc. These are things that cannot easily be established by "specialists" (as three thousand years of moral and political philosophy amply demonstrate). 

To use a rather crude metaphor, approaching the issue of specialists without first looking at representation is like trying to decide the best route from A to B without addressing the issue of *how* you plan to get there (car, bus, plane, etc). 

Anonymous You ignore my

Anonymous

You ignore my premise about increasingly complex civilisation requiring increasingly sophisticated authority structures. To make progress in this discussion I will have to assume that you are making a tacit admission that it is correct, because you did not criticise it.

You admit the axiom that to know more about a subject better enables one to deliberate on matters concerning it. However, it is a non sequitur that representative democracy is the best possible form of government because specialists are used somewhere in it. A critical factor is who has authority. You seem to have accepted the basis of representative democracy – that receiving a mandate from those people who voted makes those selected the best to wield authority. A voter is not qualified to make that selection, because it is not possible for one person to sufficiently understand enough of the factors to make a well informed decision, even if they had access to the necessary information, and the inclination to do the research. I assert that asking many voters does not counteract that deficiency. Can you offer a cogent reason why it does? There are many reasons I can give why voting for representatives is a poor scheme. In this BBC radio programme http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b0132l7l/Iconoclasts_Series_4_Episode_1/ Prof Gordon Graham notes that much research exists that indicates the deficiencies of voting. Perhaps you could point to some research that demonstrates the counterpoint. Whether you can or not, I contend that placing authority with elected representatives will not provide effective government. Authority in a representative democracy is given to a few people who do not deliberate only within their specialism. As such their actions will be unskilful relative to many more specialists / experts acting only in their specialisms and vested with authority. The advisor style of specialists / experts in a representative democracy have no authority to enact policy, their views can be overridden for political expediencies. In fact I watched a movie just two nights ago “based on the true story of Joseph Wilson and Valerie Plame” who not only got their expert advice ignored for political reasons, but lost their jobs and were publicly vilified at the hands of the Bush government in the home of democracy. In fact I recall the real events this film is based on being in the news. The many extra specialists / experts vested with authority would also allow consideration of more finely divided matters for better results. I must point out that Prof Graham is not associated with me in any way, and probably would not want to be. His ideas about constitutionalism are broader than mine, but I think my form of government does fit within the scope of his ideas.

It is not my place to decide on the nature of society, nor should it be a matter for the state. This is a matter for the people as a whole. As I have indicated, my form of government includes a Covenant that sets outs the rights and responsibilities of the people and the state. Anyone can suggest changes to it, but they are enacted only by referendum. Obviously enough resistance to change needs to exist to prevent it from being changed frequently on trivial grounds, but it must respond to prolonged sea changes in public opinion. The Covenant is designed to provide strategic direction for the state, so that it conforms to the will of the people. Counter to your assertion, only specialists can establish the details of the Covenant. They will need to research what norms already exist in society, what changes people feel are needed, and what good ideas are used elsewhere and throughout history. This is an important and non-trivial task that must be delegated to many specialists, or ideally experts.

An effective state is the objective, not voter representation. The latter is a means for obtaining the former. You are prioritising the means over the objective. You need to open your mind to the fact that there may be a better means of obtaining an effective state. Effective governance has become the important issue of our era. As the complexity of civilisation increases, the old forms of government do not manage it well. I developed Expert Government from two formative ideas that nobody has yet found fault with – the preeminence of specialism structuring for managing complex systems, and that increasingly complex civilisation requires increasingly sophisticated authority structures to be effectively managed.

As someone mentioned earlier in this thread, Expert Government has some similarities to Technocracy. Labels like these are somewhat crude, bundling together forms of government based on some shared ideology. To really understand one needs to look at the detail. However, this shows that this idea is not without precedent. Certainly the need has been recognised before, and the broad idea that authority should be given to experts has been proposed, although Technocracy delegates authority more narrowly to “scientists and engineers”, amongst other differences. So I do not feel that people can just make sweeping assertions that this a crazy idea. I believe it is a more refined form of government than Technocracy. I also think that two broadly similar ideas for forms of government arriving independently only decades apart may in the future be seen as the start of a trend when other similar ideas arrive.

This idea is not about an elite knowing how to run things better than everyone else. That has long since ceased to be possible. It is about the acceptance of a state in which policy is not directed from the top of hierarchies, but emerges from independent specialisms. If any individual could understand the business of all government then it would be too simple. A critical factor in its design is the set of rules that allow it to self-regulate, responding to changing needs, circumstances, and understanding.

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