US Senate approves controversial nuclear deal with India

Congress gave final approval Wednesday night to a landmark agreement between the United States and India permitting civilian nuclear trade between the two countries. A vote in the Senate, passed 86-13, was the last legislative hurdle in a process that began with a 2005 agreement. The deal ends a three-decade ban on US nuclear trade with New Delhi which was inaugurated after India tested a nuclear weapon in 1974. It will give India access to US civilian nuclear technology and fuel in return for inspections of its civilian, but not military, nuclear facilities. Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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The toD verdict: Hailed as a coup for both India and the US, the agreement's regional implications are less favourable.

Changing the nuclear rules for India may make Pakistan more insecure. Like India, Pakistan never signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (unlike Iran, North Korea, Libya, Israel and South Africa). Pakistani Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani responded soon after the Congressional vote: "Pakistan will now make efforts for a civil nuclear deal and they (the world community) will have to accommodate us," indicating Islamabad may seek a similar arrangement with China. Despite an upcoming round of peace talks, relations between the two countries were strained after India accused Pakistan's intelligence services of participating in the July bombing of its embassy in Kabul.

India's second string of bomb attacks in a week

Serial bomb explosions ripped through India's remote northeastern state of Tripura on Wednesday, killing four and injuring about 80, authorities said. The prime suspect is the Indian Mujahedeen group, which was connected to attacks in Gujarat earlier this year, and last November in Uttar Pradesh.

The attacks are further confirmation of the growing terrorist threat facing the world's largest democracy. Two motorcycle bombs exploded in Gujarat and Maharashtra in western India on Monday night, killing four people and wounding several others. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh recently acknowledged "vast gaps" in intelligence on terror networks operating in the country. Meanwhile the opposition BJP has unveiled its campaign platform for forthcoming national elections. Concentrating on domestic security, the theme signals that politics in India is increasingly pegged to terrorism and counter-terrorism.

British anti-terror law could face EU opposition

A controversial law to give British police the power to detain terrorism suspects for up to 42 days without charge has come under attack from Europe's leading human rights organization. The Council of Europe issued two reports Wednesday questioning whether the proposed law breached European rights conventions. One report concluded that the bill could "lead to arbitrariness, in breach of ... right to liberty and security and right to a fair trial."

The bill, currently working its way through parliament, provoked a fierce debate between proponents of extended detention and civil libertarians. Recently criticised by the United Nations Human Rights Committee, the law could be nullified if a case challenging it is brought before the European Court on Human Rights in Strasbourg.

Petraeus sees dark times ahead

General David H. Petraeus, interviewed in London this week, gave a bleak assessment of the fight against insurgents in Afghanistan and Pakistan. "[T]he going may be tougher before it gets easier," he said. Although some members of the Taliban have come over to the government's side in recent years, the size of the insurgency has swelled since 2006. A recent UN report detailed rising civilian casualties as a result of the ongoing conflict in the country.

Petraeus is due to take up his new post as commander of all American forces in the middle east and Afghanistan on later this month. Credited with reducing the violence in Iraq, he is hoping to replicate that success in Afghanistan, including engaging other countries in the region. The president of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, has said he is seeking help from Saudi Arabia to organise talks with elements of the Taliban.

General David McKiernan, the top US military commander in Afghanistan echoed Petraeus' assessment on Wednesday, saying that more troops and other aid was urgently required.

Rendition in east Africa

A new report from Human Rights Watch claims that at least 10 victims of the 2007 Horn of Africa rendition program still languish in Ethiopian jails, with the whereabouts of several others also unknown. Around 90 people fleeing Ethiopia's offensive in Somalia were arrested by Kenyan authorities and then unlawfully rendered to Ethiopia in early 2007, where they effectively disappeared. The report details US government complicity in the renditions, with several of the detained claiming they were interrogated by US officials in Addis Ababa. The report is released on the day that America's new Africa Command officially launches. Despite a professed focus on soft power, critics are concerned about a growing American military presence on the continent, particularly one that appears overly focused on issues of terrorism. 

Pakistan Taliban leader reported dead

The most senior Taliban leader in Pakistan, Beitullah Mehsud, is rumoured to have died late on Monday after suffering kidney failure. Mehsud is the head of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, an umbrella organisation for Islamist militant groups operating across Pakistan's northwest. Based in the restive tribal agency of South Waziristan, Mehsud has also been accused of organising waves of suicide attacks in Pakistan since last year, including masterminding the assassination of Benazir Bhutto. Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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The toD verdict: Although a new head of the country's principal intelligence agency was appointed on Monday, American officials have expressed their frustration at Pakistan's failure to kill or capture insurgents and tribal fighters who they say assist in the traffic of irregulars and arms into Afghanistan, fuelling the conflict there. The death of such a high profile militant leader could ease tensions between Islamabad and Washington.

However, Taliban spokesmen have dismissed the rumour that Mehsud, an ethnic Pashtun tribesman in his mid-thirties, has died or even that he is seriously ill. One militant spokesman, based in the Swat Valley in northwest Pakistan, said: "I just spoke to a close aide of Beitullah Mehsud and he did not mention any such thing", whilst a second commented that "our leadership is fine and healthy. There's no serious illness". In the United States, a Pentagon official said he could not confirm the suspected death. And even if the Taliban chief's death proves to be true, will it be any more than a propaganda coup?

American drones kill four in Pakistan

A pilotless American drone fired missiles near the town of Mir Ali in North Waziristan on Tuesday, killing at least four people and injuring nine. The missiles were reportedly fired after the drone was shot at. The area is known as a haven for Taliban and al-Qaida fighters who enter Afghanistan. This attack comes amidst growing tensions between the United States and Pakistan over the latter's sovereignty.

Afghan president appeals to Saudi Arabia

The president of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, has said that he is seeking help from Saudi Arabia to organise talks with elements of the Taliban in an attempt to stop the fighting in his country. In a message to mark Eid-al-Fitr - the end of the holy month of Ramadan - Karzai announced on Tuesday that he aimed to urge a ceasefire. He said that he had been appealing to the king of Saudi Arabia to help in the Afghan conflict for two years. However, he denied the report that talks had already taken place. Saudi Arabia was one of the few countries to recognise the Taliban rule of Afghanistan during the 1990s. Karzai said that he would personally protect Taliban leaders from US and NATO troops if they came back to Afghanistan for talks. These announcements sit against a backdrop of rising civilian casualties, as detailed in a recent UN report.

Ambush in Thailand kills three soldiers

Three Special Forces soldiers were killed on Wednesday by militants who ambushed their vehicle as it entered Ban Champakor in Narathiwt's Bacho district in Thailand's restive south. The attackers retreated back into the surrounding jungle after exchanging fire for about five minutes. One day before, an Islamic school in Yaha district came under arson attack. In Bangkok, Prime Minister Somchai Wongsawat has announced his intention to visit the region, where more than 3,400 people have been killed since January 2004

Six soldiers and 60 rebels killed in Sri Lankan clashes

Fighting in the north of Sri Lanka left 60 rebels and six soldiers dead on Tuesday. Two Tamil Tiger boats were sunk off the northeast coast and a second Tamil Tiger runway was caught in the Panikkankulam region. Earlier this month, rebels bombed a key military base in the government-controlled area of Vavuniya. Just yesterday, an explosion rocked the capital Colombo, injuring two people.

Former insurgents incorporated into Iraqi army

From 1 October, more than 80,000 members of the Awakening movement start getting their wages paid by the Iraqi government, instead of the US military as before. The aim is to incorporate these troops, mostly Sunni Arab former insurgents who are now fighting against al-Qaida, into the Iraqi army proper. However, only 20 percent of the Awakening members will be included in this scheme. Amongst critics of this number is the Awakening leader in Ameriya, Abu Ibrahim al-Azawi, who angrily asked reporters: "What about the other 80 percent?" The Awakening movement was created after Sunni insurgency leaders realised that al-Qaida militants were exploiting the local population, holding whole communities in their thrall for their own extremist ideological purposes. However, al-Qaida remains fairly influential in the predominantly Sunni parts of Iraq and there are fears that, if abandoned by the Iraqi government, fighters could turn once more to them.

Global majority deem "war on terror" a failure

A poll for the BBC World Service has revealed that people worldwide think the "war on terrorism" has not weakened al-Qaida. The survey of almost 24,000 citizens found people in 22 out of 23 countries thought attempts to counter al-Qaida had failed to weaken the extremist militant network since the 9/11 attacks.

The toD verdict: Seven years into the war on terror, the poll is a damning indictment of the Bush administration's foreign policy. Most damagingly, the poll reveals that in Egypt and Pakistan, two pivotal states in the confrontation with Islamist radicals, a majority have mixed or even positive views of al-Qaida. Cleary, US strategy has failed to win hearts and minds, strengthening doubts in the tactical merits of the "war on terrorism". Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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The poll also shows that despite the unrivalled might of US military power, many believe that al-Qaida remains undiminished. The report follows a recent Rand Corporation study of over 600 former terrorist groups. It concluded that only 7 percent were destroyed by military force. According to figures from the State Department and the National Counterterrorism Center, the war on terror has been counterproductive. Terrorist activity has increased exponentially in the last seven years, from 531 total terrorist attacks resulting in 3,295 deaths in 2001, to 14,499 incidents and 22,666 deaths in 2007.

A change in strategy is long overdue. Fifty-nine percent of those polled in the United States itself believe that the conduct of US counter-terrorism has had little effect or has even made the militants stronger. Can the change in administration in January 2009 usher in a new and more pragmatic era in the "war on terrorism"?

Bin Laden poetry to be published


Transcripts of Osama Bin Laden reciting poetry at jihadist recruitment events, as well as within more personal contexts, are to be published next month in the academic journal Language and Communication. Discovered at an al-Qaida compound in Kandahar in 2001, the iconic terrorist leader's vast repertoire (consisting of nearly 1,500 audio cassette tapes) is being translated by Professor Flagg Miller who teaches Arabic poetry at the University of California at Davis. The poetry may provide an insight into the psyche of the al-Qaida leader. Some academics, however, deem the tapes too obscene for broadcast.

Three dead in Algeria attack

A suicide attack has killed three people and injured another six near the Algerian capital of Algiers on Sunday. The state news agency reported that a suicide car bomber hit a checkpoint in Dellys at the end of iftar, the meal that breaks the fast during Ramadan. Though there was no immediate claim of responsibility, Algeria has recently suffered persistent suicide attacks by rebels who had adopted the al-Qaida "franchise", dubbing themselves "al-Qaida in the Maghreb". A series of deadly attacks preceded the month-long fast, culminating in a massive bomb blast that killed 48 people on 19 August near Algiers. Despite Sunday's incident, this has been the least bloody Ramadan in Algeria since Islamist violence erupted in the country in 1992.

Two separate bomb attacks in India's west

Two separate bomb attacks in Muslim dominated neighbourhoods of western India have killed at least seven people late on Monday. Police report that five people died and over 100 injured in a blast near a mosque in Malegaon, Maharashtra's state. Two more were killed and 16 injured in an explosion in the Sabarkantha district in the neighbouring state of Gujarat. Nobody has taken responsibility for the explosions, though Hindu-Muslim tensions run high in both states.

The attacks occurred one day after seventeen bombs were discovered in the western Indian city of Ahmedabad. India has been hit by a number of explosions in recent weeks. Just two days ago a similar incident occurred in Delhi when a bomb exploded in a market, killing one person and injuring at least 15 others. Cities in India are on high alert and the government has said it is concerned with preventing religious violence from flaring up.

Situation tense as shooting breaks out on hijacked cargo ship

Shooting broke out between Somali pirates on a hijacked cargo ship on Tuesday. Reports suggest three have died. Pirates seized the Ukrainian ship Faine, loaded with 33 Russian designed T-72 tanks bound for Kenya, last week and have demanded a $20m (£11m) ransom to release it. Pirates from two different clans, one moderate and one radical, seem to have disagreed over tactics. It is suggested that the radicals advocated taking hold of the shipment of T-72 tanks and other weapons. The tense situation has been further complicated by the presence of US navy vessels which were deployed within 10 miles of the ship's hijacking. The waters off Somalia's coast are considered some of the world's most dangerous thanks in large part to the lack of a functioning central government in Somalia during the past seventeen years.

Afghan and Pakistani leaders in show of unity

Pakistani president Asif Ali Zardari stated on Sunday that if his government were to capture Osama bin Laden he would consider handing him over to the United States. Zardari said: "I will go around with my friends and see what they wanted. If they want them tried in Pakistan we will try them in Pakistan. If they want them tried in New York, sure so be it".  

Afghan president Hamid Karzai also modified an important aspect of his rhetoric on the "war on terrorism" for the first time since the 11 September attacks by withdrawing his claim that bin Laden was hiding in Pakistan. He maintained, however, that the al-Qaida leader was not in Afghanistan and had not been there since 2001. Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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The toD verdict: Relations between Kabul and Islamabad under Pakistan's previous president - the disgraced Pervez Musharraf - were frosty at best. Karzai, in an interview with CNN, said that "with the current [Pakistani] democratic government, we have the possibility to work together". He hopes that Musharraf's replacement will be more cooperative in the fight against al-Qaida not only because of the great losses his country continues to suffer at the hands of militants but also because of the killing of Benazir Bhutto, Zardari's late wife, by Islamist assassins at the end of the last year.

Zardari's announcement regarding the potential custody of bin Laden hints at simmering tensions between the United States and Pakistan, stoked by incidents like last Thursday's exchange of fire between US and Afghan troops and Pakistani forces after two US helicopters were shot down near the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.

Zardari warned the US not to carry out unilateral action inside his country, insisting that the Pakistani authorities were more capable of dealing with the terrorist threat. This was followed, on Monday, by US Defence Secretary Robert Gates's note-worthy response to a question in Senate when he argued that the US could take unilateral actions in Pakistan under international laws, saying that the US has every right to save the lives of its troops. Will this battle of rhetoric harden into more deadly confrontations?

Two policemen dead in Maoist attack

Suspected Maoist insurgents killed two policemen and injured five in a landmine blast in Bastar in central India on Monday. The landmines exploded near where the president, Pratibha Patil, was holidaying and has been described by the Indian prime minister Manmohan Singh as a reminder of the grave threat Maoists continue to pose to the country's internal security. Maoists in India claim to be fighting for the rights of farmers and labourers and have killed thousands in an insurrection which dates back to the 1960s.

Nuclear security organisation set up in Vienna

A new organisation, the World Institute for Nuclear Security (WINS), was set up in Vienna on 29 September with an aim to improve security at nuclear sites around the world and to prevent atomic theft and nuclear terrorism. The organisation was the initiative of Sam Nunn, who leads the Nuclear Threat Initiative, and it will focus on larger management issues rather than the nitty-gritty of cameras and locks. Its director is Roger Howsley, previously director of security for British Nuclear Fuels.

17 killed in Damascus bomb attack

Seventeen civilians were killed and 14 wounded on Saturday in the Syrian capital of Damascus in the bloodiest attack in Syria in two decades. A car packed with 200kg of explosives blew up near a security checkpoint on the road to Damascus airport, next to a Shia shrine which draws tens of thousands of pilgrims from Iran, Iraq and Lebanon each year to pray at the tomb of Zeinab, daughter of the Shia holy figure Imam Ali and granddaughter of the prophet. The attack has drawn worldwide condemnation, including from the United States, which has on numerous occasions accused Syria of fuelling unrest in Iraq.

Troops killed in Lebanon

Following the bomb attack in neighbouring Syria, a car bomb killed at least four people and injured around 30 more in the Lebanese city of Tripoli on 29 September. The bomb, controlled remotely, targeted a military bus in the Bahsas region. Most of the casualties were reported to have been soldiers. This explosion is the second bomb attack on Lebanese troops in Tripoli in two months; on 13 August, a bomb killed at least 18 people, including nine soldiers, as they boarded a bus. Tripoli has previously been the site of clashes between pro-government Sunni fighters and armed men from the pro-Syrian Alawite Shia sect, though no group has yet claimed responsibility for the attack.

Clash with Pakistani troops kills 15 insurgents

An attack by government troops on a Taliban and al-Qaida stronghold in Pakistan on Monday reportedly killed 15 militants. No mention was made of government casualties. The attack, which took place in the Bajaur region near the Afghan border, was part of an ongoing series of clashes between the military and insurgents which have been encouraged by the United States. Bajaur is the most northerly of Pakistan's wild tribal regions, one of many which have fallen under the control of militants opposed to the Afghan and Pakistani governments.

Zardari addresses UN General Assembly

Pakistani president Asif Ali Zardari is set to address the UN General Assembly later today. He will inform the assembly of the challenges facing Pakistan, most notably the growing threat of violent extremists. Zadari's speech is set against the backdrop of the deteriorating security situation in the country. Islamabad's international airport was on high alert this morning following threats of an imminent suicide bomb attack just days after a massive bomb devastated the Marriott hotel in the capital city, killing 53 people and injuring more than 260.

The toD verdict: The return to democratic rule in Pakistan was widely expected to stem the rising tide of violence in Pakistan. Recent events have undermined this belief both domestically and internationally. Any attempt to effectively tackle the rise of militant extremism in Pakistan requires the support of the population. But there is broad anger amongst Pakistanis at the country's close ties to Washington and its role in the war on terror. Indeed, the group claiming responsibility for the Marriott attack called on Pakistan to stop cooperating with the US.

Zardari's relatively pro-western stance, coupled with continued cross-border attacks by US forces on al-Qaida and Taliban strongholds in Pakistan's tribal regions could spell political turmoil for the government in the future. Pakistan's military - never far from Pakistani politics - insists that it will defend the country's territorial integrity, placing it on a potential collision course with US forces. Pervez Musharraf, Zardari's much-maligned predecessor, was undone by this poisonous cocktail of international and domestic pressures. Can Zardari fare better?

Myanmar
blast

At least six people were injured when a small bomb exploded in Myanmar's main city Yangon on Thursday morning. The incident took place at a bus stop near the Sule Pagoda on the first anniversary of the brutal government crackdown against anti-junta protests. No one has yet claimed responsibility for the blast. Similar blasts are often blamed on ethnic rebels and armed insurgents. Recently, however, government officials have blamed democracy activists and members of the opposition NLD.

The attack is the latest in a series of explosions this month. On 11 September, two bombs exploded at a video café in Kyauk-kyi township, killing two and wounding ten. Those blasts followed an explosion days earlier on a bus in the capital Yangon which injured three people.

Mass arrest of Nigerian militants

A raid by Nigerian police has led to the arrest of nearly two hundred suspected militants in the Niger Delta. The move is seen as a tough counter-offensive by the government after an escalation of violence in this resource-rich region.

Following a similar military raid earlier this month, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta declared "war" on the Delta's oil industry. Sources say fighting has killed more than one hundred people and cut Nigeria's oil production by roughly twenty percent.

Despite MEND's declaration of a temporary ceasefire on Sunday, the military commander in Rivers State was reported as saying the military knew the location of all militant camps there, and that a campaign to destroy them would be mounted. On Thursday morning MEND accused the army of launching air attacks on its allies' camps.

More Christian homes burn in Orissa

Communal violence continued in the eastern Indian state of Orissa on Thursday. Hindu crowds, angered after police shot dead an anti-Christian protester in the town of Raikia on Tuesday, rioted in the Tikabali and Daringbadi areas of Kandhamal district, vandalising a church and attacking dozens of houses.

Anti-Christian violence has rocked Orissa for several weeks now, killing at least twenty people and forcing thousands of Christians into government camps. The violence was sparked by the shooting of a Hindu religious leader. Although a senior Maoist leader took responsibility, Hindu groups have accused Christians for the death, highlighting tensions between the two communities over the conversion of lower caste Hindus to Christianity.  

Drug cartels strike in Mexico

Militants threw two grenades into crowds of revelers in the Mexican town of Morelia yesterday, during celebrations meant to mark Mexico's independence day. Authorities were quick to accuse operatives of the country's numerous drug cartels, against whom President Felipe Calderon has waged an escalating offensive. Morelia - Calderon's home town - sits in the state of Michoacan, which continues to witness deadly clashes between gangs and the army.

Torch passed from Petraeus to Odierno

Gen. David Petraeus stepped down this week as commander of US troops in Iraq to take a higher regional command. Petraeus has been credited for improving the situation in the country since last year's controversial "surge". His principal achievement was tactfully creating the "awakening councils" in Anbar province, where formerly hostile Sunni militants were co-opted to fight against foreign and extremist fighters in the restive region. Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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But as Petraeus has admitted himself, all gains are reversible. The Shia-led government in Baghdad has taken an increasingly strident line against factions of the Sunni "awakening". Petraeus' replacement, Gen. Ray Odierno, is not held in as high esteem by many Iraqis; while in charge of the 4th Infantry Division, Odierno was known for his aggressive and blunt approach, using tanks, heavy artillery and mass arrests. If the alleged successes of last year spring from Petraeus' subtlety, then Odierno's record is far from encouraging.

Christian factions spar in Lebanon

As Lebanese politicians attempt to cobble together a unity government, rival Christian factions Marada and Lebanese Forces fought in north Lebanon in violence that left at least two people dead. Marada is tied to the pro-Syrian Hizbollah, while Lebanese Forces back the anti-Syrian alliance led by Saad al-Hariri. 

Soldiers vanish in Mauritania

Mauritanian officials suspect al-Qaida's north African outfit - Al-Qaida in the Maghreb (AQIM) - of kidnapping twelve soldiers near the mining town of Zouerat. AQIM has mostly confined its activities to Algeria, and analysts fear that the ambush is a sign of the group's growing influence. Opposition figures in Mauritania were quick to seize upon the attack as evidence of the failure of the military junta to secure the country's borders since coming to power in an August coup d'etat. 

Hamas move against crime clan

In its ongoing bid to bring order to the Gaza Strip, Hamas raided the compound of the Dagmush clan, a large family with deep ties to criminal and militant activity in the strip. Fighting on Monday and Tuesday left at least twelve people dead, including a one year-old child. The Dagmush were responsible for the abduction of BBC journalist Alan Johnston.

Turmoil in the Niger Delta

For the fifth consecutive day, militants in the oil-rich south of Nigeria targeted oil installations. The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta claims to have blown up a Shell pipeline in Rivers state. An ongoing insurgency in the region continues to threaten the flow of oil from west Africa.

Security forces targeted in Swat

A suicide bomber attacked a compound housing soldiers and paramilitaries in the Swat valley in north Pakistan. Soon after the initial blast, militants bombarded the compound with rocket and mortar fire. At least ten people have been killed. The attack comes as top US military officials visit Islamabad to discuss greater coordination in addressing the insurgency that continues to destabilise both Pakistan and neighbouring Afghanistan. The Swat valley was formerly home to the pro-Taliban leader Maulana Fazlullah who fought bitterly against government forces in the region last year. 

Pakistani PM escapes assassins

The Pakistani government has confirmed that Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani was unharmed after assassins targeted his motorcade on Wednesday. The convoy of vehicles was travelling to meet the prime-minister at the airport, and he was not in his car when the assassins struck. Two shots hit the bullet-proof windshield of the black Mercedes on the driver's side, but failed to penetrate. The attack comes just three days before Pakistan's presidential election on Sunday, amidst political turmoil caused by the recent resignation of President Musharraf and the subsequent collapse of the governing coalition which forced him from power.

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The assassination attempt comes only eight days after a similar attempt on a senior US diplomat in Pakistan, and only nine months after the assassination of Benezir Bhutto, whose widower, Asif Ali Zardari, is now tipped to win the upcoming elections and become the next president of the country.

Against this backdrop of escalating political violence, the government this weekend announced a ceasefire in its conflict with the Taliban for the Muslim holy-month of Ramadan, worrying coalition forces in Afghanistan who believe the Taliban could use the opportunity to regroup. However, the Pakistani army is apparently continuing airstrikes in the volatile Swat valley region. The army claims to have killed 30 militants on Wednesday.

Any ceasefire over Ramadan would risk antagonising the US, which may be tempted to take action itself. Today, the Pakistani army accused coalition forces of crossing the border from Afghanistan into Pakistan in a raid which killed at least 20 civilians. US-led coalition forces have often carried out airstrikes against militants in Pakistani territory, but this raid would mark the first time that ground troops were deployed across the border without Pakistan's consent. Both NATO and coalition spokespeople have denied any knowledge of the raid.

Commission concludes IRA has disbanded

The International Monitoring Commission (IMC), an independent body formed to assess the Northern Ireland peace process, has concluded in a report released today that the IRA has effectively disbanded. However, the report goes on to say that the IRA's ruling body, the army council, has not yet been dissolved. There has been a wave of violence in Northern Ireland in recent weeks, including shootings and riots blamed on dissident republican groups which splintered away from the IRA. Although a power-sharing deal has now been reached, the resulting peace is still fragile and vulnerable to what analysts term "spoilers".

Philippines ceasefire crumbles further

The president of the Philippines has dissolved a government peace panel which had been mandated to end the country's forty-year conflict with Islamic separatist groups in the south. The conflict, which has claimed over 120,000 lives, flared up last month when a deal granting greater autonomy to the country's Muslim south was rejected by the government. Two Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) commanders, angered by the deal's collapse, then allegedly went "rogue" and began attacking civilian villages in retaliation.

The government has declared that the main body of rebel forces are still covered by the ceasefire. President Gloria Arroyo, however, has said that the military's offensive against the rogue MILF elements will continue throughout the Muslim holy-month of Ramadan, but that troops will be ordered to respect Muslim civilians (about 5% of the population of the mainly Roman Catholic country).

Journalists targeted in Russia

Separate attacks in Russia's troubled North Caucasus region this week have left two journalists dead and one in hospital. Islamic TV reporter Telman Alishaev died in hospital this morning after being shot in his car on Tuesday by two men. Miloslav Bitokov, a newspaper reporter, was beaten up by three men and left with a fractured skull outside his home on Tuesday evening.

The attacks came only days after the death of Magomed Yevloyev, who ran a website critical of the Russian authorities in Ingushetia and died on Sunday after being shot in the head by police. Yevloyev was arrested and then "accidently" shot in the head when he allegedly tried to take an officer's rifle away from him, before his body was dumped in the street outside a hospital. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe has described the killings as "a further deterioration of media freedom in Russia."

Ninety Afghan civilians killed in coalition airstrike

The UN has found "convincing evidence" that 90 civilians, including 60 children, were killed in the US airstrike last Friday targeting senior Taliban commander Mullah Sadiq. Coalition spokespeople initially claimed 30 militants had died in the attack, and that there had been no civilian casualties. However, after an Afghan government investigation reported close to a hundred civilians deaths, coalition officials released a revised death-toll which included five civilians, all members of Mullah Sadiq's family.

The latest figures from the UN, however, support the Afghan government's findings. Initial investigations by the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) have concluded that "some 90 civilians were killed, including 60 children, 15 women and 15 men."

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The United States Institute of Peace released a report in August investigating the changing way the war in Afghanistan is being fought. There has been a massive increase in the use of aerial munitions over the course of the conflict, from an average of 5,000 pounds of munitions being dropped per month in 2005 to a peak of 168,000 pounds in December 2007. Related to the increasing reliance on air power is a rise in the number of civilian casualties, which rose in Afghanistan by 62% in 2008 compared to the first six months of 2007.

Despite the rise in civilian casualties, some US and allied commanders in Afghanistan have expressed frustration at what they feel are restrictive rules governing when and how airstrikes can be employed. The Afghan government, meanwhile, has expressed frustration that airstrikes are being employed at all - with President Karzai arguing in a speech earlier this month that "the only result of the use of airstrikes is the killing of civilians."

Fighting in Afghanistan has intensified in recent months to such an extent that British troops are now being killed at a faster rate than during the height of the Iraq war. The Taliban, too, are suffering heavy casualties: nearly fifty Taliban militants were killed on Tuesday, according to Afghan officials. But to achieve lasting success in Afghanistan, the US-led coalition will have to wean itself off its reliance on air power.

Darfur plane hijackers surrender

Two men who hijacked a Sudanese flight and took hostage 95 passengers and crew have surrendered after a 22-hour standoff. The flight, originally bound for the Sudanese capital of Khartoum, was diverted at the hijackers' request to an airfield in Libya. According to Libyan officials, the hijackers claimed to be members of the Sudan Liberation Movement (SLM), although the leader of the SLM, Abdulwahid Elnur, has denied his movement was involved.

The plane was hijacked not far from a refugee camp which was raided by the Sudanese military on Monday. At least 33 people were reported to have died in the raid, with some reports saying as many as 70 were killed. Up to 300,000 people have been killed since the conflict between ethnic minority rebels and the Sudanese government began in 2003.

Violence sweeps Pakistan amidst political crisis

A senior US diplomat in northwest Pakistan escaped an attempt on her life on Tuesday when two men armed with AK-47s shot at her armoured vehicle. Just hours later at least seven people were killed and 20 injured when a bomb exploded at a street-café in Islamabad. Another bombing at a political rally in south-western Pakistan injured 20.

Meanwhile, in the northwest of the country, security forces claim to have killed 40 militants in heavy fighting. Analysts are concerned that the collapse of the ruling coalition in the wake of President Musharraf's resignation will only distract the government from the increasing violence.

Religious strife engulfs parts of India

The murder on Saturday of Swami Lakshmanananda, a Hindu religious leader in the Indian state of Orissa, has sparked clashes between Christians and Hindus which have left at least 11 people dead. Police believe Maoist rebels were behind the assassination, which has been publicly condemned by Christian groups, but religious tensions in the region have boiled over into violence.

Meanwhile, Muslim protests in Indian Kashmir, which began in response to earlier Hindu protests over the government not granting land to a Hindu shrine, have grown into calls for Kashmiri independence from India. Police have on several occasions caused fatalities by firing into crowds of protestors. The UN has called for calm and asked India's security forces to "respect the right to freedom of assembly and expression."

Death-toll rises in Philippines fighting

Ten days of fighting between the Philippines army and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) has left at least 187 people dead, including 60 civilians, according to human rights monitors. The violence, some of the worst in recent years, erupted last week when a peace-deal between MILF and the government collapsed. Rebels in the Muslim-majority mineral-rich Mindanao region have been pushing for independence from the largely Christian Philippines for four decades, in a conflict which has claimed at least 120,000 lives.

Pakistan in crisis after bombings

The Taliban have claimed responsibility for Thursday's attack on an arms factory in Pakistan, in which at least 64 people died. The attack, one of the deadliest in recent years, came nine days after the Taliban declared "open war" in response to the Pakistani army's assault on Taliban and tribal militants, which they claim is in breach of de-facto ceasefires. A third suicide bomber who allegedly failed to detonate his explosive-vest was detained by police attempting to flee the scene.

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Pakistan is heading towards political crisis. The government narrowly avoided collapse on Friday over the issue of whether or not to restore judges removed by Musharraf's purge of the Supreme Court last year. The resolution of this divisive issue has been merely postponed.

Given President Musharraf's departure this week to avoid the looming crisis surrounding his impeachment, the key question for some analysts is who will replace him as the dominant voice of Pakistan's foreign policy. Diplomatic relations with India had thawed under Musharraf, but at a time of increasing Hindu-Muslim violence in Kashmir and repeated violations of the Kashmir ceasefire, relations between the two nuclear-armed states are now suddenly much tenser.

Al-Qaeda claims responsibility for Algeria bombing

Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, the North-African wing of al-Qaeda, has claimed responsibility for a series of bombings which killed more than 50 people in Algeria earlier this week. The attacks represent the worst violence in Algeria in years and, according to Al-Qaeda, came in response to the killing of 12 Islamists in an ambush by Algerian authorities earlier this month.

Philippines peace-deal falls apart

Just hours after the Philippines government rejected a controversial peace-deal with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), fighting between government forces and MILF rebels has left dozens dead. The peace-deal would have expanded the territory of an autonomous Muslim region in the mineral-rich south of the country, but fierce opposition from powerful Christian interests and a challenge in the Supreme Court convinced the government to pull out of the agreement. At least 120,000 people have died in the forty year conflict, which has prevented the exploitation of some of the richest mineral and hydrocarbon resources in Southeast Asia.

Fighting escalates in Somalia

Fifty-five people have been killed and 150 wounded in fierce fighting between Islamist militants and local clan-members for control of a strategic port town in the south of Somalia. In the capital, Mogadishu, at least twenty people were killed in a series of clashes between Islamists and Ethiopian troops, including a mortar attack on a crowded marketplace. Ethiopian troops entered the country in late 2006 and have found themselves bogged-down in a bloody insurgency which has claimed 8,000 civilian lives.

Meanwhile, off the coast of Somalia, three ships were hijacked in an unprecedented series of raids by pirates. It is unclear whether the ships - one German, one Iranian and one Japanese - were targeted by the same group. Piracy along Somalia's coastline has become so bad in recent months that the UN issued a mandate in June, authorising foreign navies to patrol Somali waters.

Al-Qaida’s “number three” killed in Pakistan

A senior al-Qaida leader was reported to have been killed in Pakistan on Tuesday. Abu Saeed Masri, also known as Mustafa Abu Yazid, was thought to be the head of al-Qaida operations in Afghanistan and number three in the organisation as a whole. His death will strike a blow against al-Qaida in Afghanistan, but given the decentralised nature of the terrorist group, it remains to be seen whether it will be more than a symbolic victory in the wider "war on terror." 

Masri was apparently killed in heavy fighting between militants and the Pakistani army along the border with Afghanistan. The Pakistani Taliban, allied with Al-Qaeda, has declared "open war" in response to the military offensives of the Pakistani army. The Taliban also claimed responsibility for a bombing that killed up to 14 people and destroyed a truck carrying Pakistani air force staff on Tuesday. A Taliban spokesman said attacks would continue unless the army ceased operations in the Swat valley region of Pakistan.

The toD verdict: The security situation in Pakistan is deteriorating rapidly. Whilst the Pakistani government tries to Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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impeach President Musharraf, al-Qaida is reportedly trying to exploit the political turmoil in Pakistan to strengthen its position in the region - analysts have described a "resurgent" al-Qaida, rebuilding its network in Pakistan's tribal regions and striking at targets in Afghanistan, before retreating again across the border where it is difficult for NATO forces to pursue them.

The frustration felt by NATO forces in Afghanistan at this situation has led to unilateral attacks across the border, angering Pakistan. The latest such attack reportedly occurred on Wednesday when at least 10 militants were killed in explosions at two training camps, as a result of an alleged US missile strike, according to Pakistani officials.

Pakistan's offensive against militants in the region is aimed, among other things, at demonstrating to the west that Pakistan can deal with insurgents within its borders. Yet the problem for Pakistan is that these offensives stir up a hornet's nest of militant activity, prompting more unilateral attacks from the US. It will be a difficult cycle to break, but if not properly dealt with, it could easily escalate out of control.

Report reveals billions spent on Iraq contractors

A report from the U.S. Congressional Budget Office reveals that the US spent $85 billion on "private security contractors" in Iraq between 2003 and 2007, and is likely to have spent over $100 billion by the end of the year, representing one dollar in every five spent on the entire war. There is currently one private contractor in Iraq for every member of the US armed forces, which is a ratio at least 2.5 times higher than during any other major US conflict in history. Private contractors have boosted troop numbers and allowed the US to avoid instituting an unpopular draft, but contractors remain controversial after alleged abuses and disputes over their legal status.

Tripoli blast kills 14, wounds 40

At least 14 people have been killed when a bomb went off near a bus carrying soldiers in Tripoli, Lebanon's second largest city. It is thought the blast was targeting Lebanese military personnel; the bomb was planted in a bag at a military gathering point and nine of the dead and many of the wounded were soldiers. No group has claimed responsibility, but there is speculation that the attack may have been retribution for the Lebanese army's actions last year against Fatah al-Islam, an al-Qaida-inspired militant Islamist movement.

Rioting continues in Jammu and Kashmir

Violent street protests continued in the Indian-administered half of Kashmir on Wednesday. The violence has steadily escalated following a series of tit-for-tat protests from both Hindu and Muslim communities, beginning with Hindu protests at the end of June when the Indian government reversed its decision to grant land near a Hindu shrine to a religious group. The violence spread to other parts of India, and Tuesday was the bloodiest day since the unrest started, with 15 people left dead. A curfew is now in effect, with police threatening to shoot anyone violating it. The Indian Prime Minister has called for urgent cross-party talks to resolve the crisis.

Turkish soldiers killed in landmine ambush

Nine Turkish soldiers were killed in Turkey's eastern Erzincan province on Wednesday when their vehicle hit a landmine. Turkish military sources are blaming the Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK), the separatist Kurdish movement, for the attack. Turkey has been embroiled in a low-intensity conflict with the PKK since 1984, in which some 40,000 people have been killed.

China's media blackout after Xinjiang attack

Chinese police have instituted a media blackout in Kashgar, Xinjiang province, after Monday's attack in which two men drove a lorry into a group of paramilitary policemen. Sixteen policemen were killed when the attackers crashed into them and started throwing homemade explosives.

After the attack, internet access was shut down across the city. Checkpoints were put in place, and police were reported to be going from house to house in Uighur neighbourhoods, checking ID cards with portable scanners against electronic databases of dissidents. Foreign journalists are reportedly under surveillance, with plainclothes police assigned to follow them around the city. Police entered the hotel room of one AFP journalist and ordered him to delete photographs he took at the scene of the bombing.

The government of Japan has threatened to lodge a formal complaint after two Japanese journalists were beaten-up and their equipment smashed by Xinjiang border police. Official Chinese media reports that the border police have apologised and offered to buy the journalists new equipment, but assert that the incident was the fault of the journalists for "forcing their way into a military area."

The toD verdict: Today, President Bush announced he had "deep concerns" about human rights in China. Last month, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice warned China not to use the threat of terrorism to crack down on political opponents. Yet warnings from the US administration won't carry a lot of weight with China, particularly as China sees the US using the "war on terror" to justify behaviour - from Guantanam Bay to rendition flights - which is at best legally grey and at worst criminal.

Furthermore, despite warning China against repressive policies in Xinjiang, the State Department generally publicly supports China's war on terror, and accepts claims that links exist between Uighur militants and al-Qaida. In fact, there has been an overall hardening of US policy towards the Xinjiang issue since 11 September, which some experts see as a bid by the US for warmer relations with China.

Most of the violence in Xinjiang has been on a relatively small scale, which does not suggest groups like the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) are as large or well-funded as China claims. It is difficult for experts to reliably assess what is actually happening in Xinjiang, however, because of restrictions on reporting from the area.

Kurexi Maihesuti, vice-chairman of the Xinjiang regional government, has denied that China had been heavy-handed in its war on terror, saying that the government "hasn't been over the top in cracking down on the damaging actions of terrorist forces and groups... Any country in the world would step up security ahead of such an important event as the Olympics."

President of Mauritania overthrown in coup

President Abdallahi, the first freely-elected President of Mauritania, is being held prisoner by the country's military, who have announced they have taken control of the government in a coup. President Abdallahi had recently sacked several senior army officers, many of whom have now taken part in the coup against him. There are no reports of violence.

Mauritania is one of the world's poorest countries, and has been plagued by a series of military coups (the last in 2005) since independence from France. The recent increase in global food prices has put a severe strain on Mauritania and its government, causing the President to replace the entire cabinet earlier this year.

Second day of Kashmir protests

Hundreds of Muslim protestors in Srinagar, the capital of Indian-administered Kashmir, have clashed with security forces for the second day running. The protests were sparked by earlier Hindu protests against the government after it reversed its decision to build shelters for Hindu pilgrims at a shrine in Jammu-Kashmir. Two Hindu protestors were shot dead on Monday, and fourteen police and paramilitary soldiers were injured. Tensions are high between Hindu and Muslim communities in the region after a 14 hour gun-battle between Indian and Pakistani soldiers last month breached the Kashmir ceasefire. There were reports of small-arms fire along the Kashmir border today.

Pakistani militants killed attempting to bomb school

Three Islamist militants were killed when their own bombs detonated accidentally as they tried to plant them in a girl's school in Pakistan's Swat valley region on Wednesday. The region has seen heavy fighting since last week, with nearly 150 people having been killed in clashes between pro-Taliban militants and Pakistani security forces. Elsewhere in the valley, one militant and a civilian were killed in fighting.

India and Afghanistan pledge alliance against terror

India has pledged an additional $450 million in aid to Afghanistan, taking the total to over $1 billion, as the two countries vowed that terrorism would not break their close relationship. The pledge came during a visit to India by Afghan president Harmid Karzai.

Prime minister Manmohan Singh described the recent terrorist attack on the Indian embassy in Kabul as "an attack on the friendship between India and Afghanistan" and said such incidents would not get in the way of the "abiding commitment to Afghanistan's efforts to build a democratic, pluralistic and stable polity".

The toD verdict: Not-so-hidden between the lines of yesterday's statements is a message to Pakistan that the actions of its rogue intelligence services will not de-stabilise the partnership between India and Afghanistan.

It has been widely reported that agents from Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) were in direct contact with the militants who carried out the India embassy bombing on July 7. The spy agency's links to the Taliban are deeply rooted and date back to before 9/11. If indeed the attacks were aimed at severing India's economic and diplomatic support for Karzai's government, then they have grossly backfired.

Singh's thoughts are on India's domestic terrorist threat, too, since the recent bombings in Ahmedabad also bear traces of ISI involvement.

Indonesian jihad leader resigns Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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The spiritual leader of the Council of Indonesian Jihad Fighters (MMI) has quit his post, citing ideological differences with other council members. Abu Bakar Ba'asyir is believed to be one of the founders of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), a terrorist organisation with links to a series of bombings across South East Asia. Prosecutors in Indonesia have struggled to connect him to the wide range of terrorist incidents with which he has been associated, although he served 25 months in prison for "approving" the 2002 Bali bombings. Ba'asyir has always denied the existence of JI, and any involvement in terrorism. His resignation from MMI could be the result of personal disagreements, or it could be confirmation that he disapproves of terrorist tactics. In a statement on his personal website, he wrote: "Ever since I was appointed as the Amir Mujahidin (leader of the Jihad fighters), I've seen this as a mistake. I was forced to temporarily take the offer in the hope of improving its shortcomings in the future." He says his attempts to persuade MMI leaders to follow Islamic teachings had failed.

Syrian general assassinated

Rumours continue to circulate around the assassination of a top Syrian army chief at the weekend. It is believed Brigadier General Mohammad Suleiman was killed while relaxing on a beach near the resort of Tartous by a sniper firing from an offshore yacht. His alleged connections to Hizbollah are seen by some as motive for Israel to have carried out the assassination. Other reports say he was involved in upgrading Syria's military, including its alleged nuclear program. Syria has denied US allegations that it has an illegal nuclear facility. Israel raided a site, widely believed to be part of a nuclear program in September 2007.

War of words over South Ossetia

Increasingly aggressive rhetoric suggests a deteriorating security situation around Georgia's breakaway region of South Ossetia. Separatists claim that six civilians were killed and 22 injured during attacks by Georgian forces on the regional capital of Tskhinvali on Friday and Saturday. The rebels have refused to meet with Georgian representatives, and vowed violent retaliation if the attacks continue. Meanwhile, Russia, who have frequently supported the separatist cause, says it will "not allow itself to remain indifferent" should the shelling continue. Tblisi accuses Russia of wishing to perpetuate instability in the region in order to derail both the EU-sponsored peace process and Georgia's bid to join NATO.

Turkey and Iran bomb Kurdish rebels in Iraq

Turkish jets attacked position in northern Iraq belonging to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) in retaliation for the bombings in Istanbul on Sunday which killed 17 people. Firat News, a pro-Kurdish news agency, claims the air-strikes were followed by shelling from Iran. Turkey's military has admitted in the past that the two countries have co-ordinated military strikes against Kurdish rebels positions in northern Iraq.

The toD verdict: Turkey has launched attacks on PKK bases in Iraq since December 2007, including a week-long ground offensive in February 2008, when it claimed to have killed at least 240 Kurdish militants. The Turkish government hopes these most recent air-strikes, in the wake of the Istanbul bombings, will send out the message that it is responding forcefully to the PKK.

The PKK, however, has denied that it carried out the bombings on Sunday, instead blaming the attack on secularists trying to topple Turkey's government - currently led by the "Islamist-leaning" Justice and Development Party (AKP). There is a general feeling of uncertainty in Turkey as to exactly who carried out the bombings, with some analysts blaming the attacks on a shadowy ultra-nationalist organisation, the "Ergenekon network," which wants to return Turkey to military rule. Keep up to date with the latest developments and sharpest perspectives in a world of strife and struggle.

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It is the timing of the attacks which has made people suspicious. The governing party was formed by members of the Islamic Welfare Party when it was banned and removed from government by the Turkish military in the late 90's for being "anti-secular." Now, with Turkey still coming to terms with the aftermath of the Istanbul bombings, the constitutional court has announced it intends to proceed with a case against the AKP, accusing it, like the Islamic Welfare Party, of being "anti-secular." If the court rules against the AKP it could be banned, leaving Turkey without a government.

All of this adds up to a very tense political situation in Turkey. The strikes on Iraq, almost certainly carried out without permission from Baghdad, only add to the tension in a region already on the edge.

18 bombs defused in 24 hours in India

An unexploded bomb was discovered in the port city of Surat in the western Indian state of Gujarat on Wednesday, taking the total number of devices successfully defused in the state this week to nineteen. Yesterday, police rushed to defuse a series of eighteen bombs, one after another, which had been planted throughout the city. Forensic experts suspect faulty circuitry prevented the bombs from detonating.

A series of bombings in the city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat over the weekend killed over 40 people, and there are concerns that bombs which failed to detonate then may still be hidden. Two separate Islamic militants groups have claimed responsibility for the bombings on Tuesday, one group suggesting that the bombings had been in retaliation for the 2002 Gujarat riots which left over one thousand people dead, mostly Muslims.

Iraqi forces launch major operation

Iraqi security forces on Wednesday began conducting a sweep of Diyala province, including house-to-house searches, checkpoints, and a ban on all unofficial traffic. Nearly 50,000 Iraqi soldiers, backed by US intelligence, logistics and fire-support, are involved in the operation which Iraqi officials in the region expect to last about two weeks. The US military, which has been training Iraqi forces since the 2003 invasion, hopes the operation will demonstrate their capability to deal independently with the insurgency ahead of any proposed US troop pull-out.

Rival factions clash in Nigeria

Rival militant factions in Nigeria have clashed in a suspected turf war, killing at least four people, including one soldier and a civilian, according to security officials on Wednesday. Analysts are concerned that the clashes may signal a rupture between several militant groups affiliated with the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND), possibly leading to the further deterioration of an already messy security situation in Nigeria's oil-rich delta region. The instability threatens to push up global oil prices, with Royal Dutch Shell confirming on Monday that MEND had made good on their recent promise to attack major oil-pipelines in the region. Shell announced it would be unable to meet some supply contracts because of the pipeline attack, which marks the fourth time this year Shell has been forced to delay contracts because of attacks.

Pakistan army fights Swat valley offensive

More than 25 Taliban militants have been killed in overnight battles with the Pakistani army in the Swat valley region of north-western Pakistan, according to an army spokesperson on Wednesday. Pakistani authorities had signed a peace deal with local Taliban leaders in May, but the Taliban accuses Pakistan of breaking the agreement and violence in the region has increased. On Tuesday, Taliban fighters raided a police post and took 30 officers and paramilitary soldiers hostage. Pakistan has come under increasing pressure from the Bush administration because of the peace deals it has been making with the Taliban, and because of alleged ties between Pakistani intelligence and militants in Afghanistan. There has been speculation recently that the US is preparing to take unilateral action against Pakistan's militants.

Worst breach yet of Kashmir ceasefire

Monday night saw the Kashmiri front reignite into the worst breach of the ceasefire between India and Pakistan since it was agreed in 2003. A 12-hour gun battle across the disputed frontier left one Indian and four Pakistani soldiers dead. The Indian army say the battle was started by Pakistani troops crossing the border and opening fire.

"Between 10 and 12 Pakistani soldiers crossed the Line of Control and entered the Kupwara sector (in Indian Kashmir), and after a verbal duel they shot dead a soldier," said spokesman Lt. Col. Anil Kumar Mathur. "We've sought a meeting with the Pakistani army to protest the violation of the cease-fire."

The toD verdict: The last few days have highlighted the range of internal and external threats facing India. Manmohan Singh's government just barely scraped through a vote of no-confidence last week related to its civilian nuclear deal with the United States, and the tumultuous process left it with a blemished reputation and a restless political situation.

Then, over the weekend, came the devastating series of bomb attacks in Ahmedabad and Bangalore that left at least 50 people dead and around 150 injured. The Indian Mujahideen, who claimed responsibility for the Ahmedabad attacks, say the blasts were in retaliation for the region's ethnic clashes in 2002 between Hindus and Muslims, in which around 2,000 Muslims were killed.

Analysts have been quick to point blame at Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency. It is widely believed these attacks are the culmination of a long-term plan by the ISI to create home-grown Islamist cells within India, initially funded and organised in Pakistan and Bangladesh, but increasingly autonomous.

Despite the slow success of the peace process between India and Pakistan, last night's gun battle across the Kashmiri border is evidence of the continued external threat from India's volatile neighbour. India is paying the price for the disarray in Pakistani politics and the failure of Islamabad to keep a tight rein on its army and intelligence services.

Palestinian security forces torture each other, says report

A human rights agency says opposing Palestinian security forces are torturing rivals and that the vast majority of arrests are politically motivated. Both Hamas and Fatah have acknowledged problems, but say they are being dealt with. The two groups have been engaged in a violent struggle for power since Hamas seized control of the Gaza Strip in June 2007. A perfect illustration of the point was made just yesterday as both sides made dozens of tit-for-tat arrests throughout the West Bank and Gaza. Amid ongoing uncertainty about whether and how Palestinian reconciliation should take place, such human rights violations are likely to continue.

PKK denies involvement in Istanbul blasts

The Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) have denied responsibility for the explosions that killed 17 people in Istanbul on Sunday. "The PKK has nothing to do with this event," the group's leader, Zubeyir Aydar, told a pro-Kurdish news agency, responding to yesterdays' accusations by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The possibility has been raised that the shadowy secularist group Ergenekon could be behind the attacks. There are no certainties in Turkey at the moment - these are tumultuous times, in which the Constitutional Court is about to make a landmark decision on whether the ruling Justice and Development Party has threatened Turkey's rigidly secular code of conduct. Further shocks to system are likely in the coming weeks.

Petraeus speaks too soon

It was unfortunate timing for General David Petraeus, America's top general in Iraq, when he told Reuters that security forces controlled virtually the whole of the country. His interview coincided with one of the bloodiest days of the year in Iraq, with suicide bombers killing an estimated 61 people and injuring around 250 in Baghdad and Kirkuk. The attacks targeted a Shia pilgrimage in the capital, and a Kurdish protest in the northern city of Kirkuk. "I think it's accurate to say that Iraqi and coalition forces control the vast majority of the country," Petraeus said. "There are clearly areas in which al Qaeda or other extremist elements have what you might call small sanctuaries." Sadly, small sanctuaries are all that is needed to carry out large attacks.

Militants to strike Nigeria pipelines

The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) has announced it intends to attack Nigeria's main oil pipelines sometime in the next 30 days. The threat comes in response to a claim by the head of NNPC, a state-run oil company, that $12 million has been paid to militant groups by the company to prevent pipeline attacks. MEND hopes the attack will prove it has not received any money.

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Global oil prices have been falling recently, amid concerns that a slow-down in the US economy will reduce demand. Nonetheless, oil prices are volatile, especially in the middle of the hurricane season in the U.S., and any disruption to Nigerian oil-production could push up prices. Nigeria is the largest oil producer in Africa and the 11th largest in the world.

Oil pipelines are relatively easy targets for militants to attack, as they stretch across great distances making them difficult to defend. NNPC admitted it had begun paying local militant groups for protection after it lost $81 million in two months because of attacks. Nigerian oil production in general is down by about 25 per cent because of regular attacks on oil pipelines.

MEND claims to represent the many inhabitants of the oil-rich Niger Delta who have not benefited from the government's exploitation of the area. It has responded angrily to the suggestion that it was paid not to attack the pipelines, saying in an e-mail: "MEND will never sell its birthright for a bowl of porridge."

Sri Lanka rejects ceasefire as fighting continues

The Sri Lankan government has rejected a ceasefire with the rebel Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). The two sides have been fighting since the government pulled out of a Norwegian-brokered truce agreement in January. The Tigers offered the ceasefire to coincide with a meeting of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) being held in Sri Lanka later this month. Sri Lanka claims it is winning the war with the LTTE, and has wiped out two-thirds of the rebel's military capabilities, but independent verification of government claims is difficult whilst journalists are banned from the conflict zone.

‘Most active' ETA cell arrested in Spain

Spanish police have arrested nine members of the Basque separatist group ETA and dismantled the "Vizcaya" cell, which they suspect was responsible for most of the bombings carried out by ETA since it called off a ceasefire in June 2007. The arrests represent a considerable blow to the separatist organisation, whose suspected leader, Francisco Javier Lopez Pena, was arrested in France earlier this year.

Roadside bomb injures soldiers in Thailand

A unit of five Thai soldiers was caught in a roadside bomb blast on Wednesday as they patrolled on foot in the south of the country. Two of the soldiers were injured and rushed to hospital. The Muslim insurgency and government response in southern Thailand has claimed more than 3000 lives since 2004, with an escalation in the violence since the September 2006 coup, despite the government's attempts at conciliation. Meanwhile, tensions were still high on the Thai-Cambodia border as talks between the two countries failed. The stand-off, which concerns the ownership of territory on which a temple is built, has now entered its ninth day.

Taliban leadership suffers double blow

A senior Taliban leader in Afghanistan has been killed by NATO forces, only hours after another senior leader was captured by Pakistani security forces. Western officials are hopeful that the arrest signals a change in Pakistan's approach to the Taliban. Pakistani efforts against the Taliban have recently been criticised by the U.S. Some analysts have even suggested the U.S. might be preparing to take unilateral action, in the form of predator drone strikes against Taliban targets in Pakistan.

Missile test a “demonstration” for Iran’s enemies

Iran's Revolutionary Guards test-fired nine long and medium ranged missiles on Wednesday, including an upgraded Shahab-3 missile with a range of 2000km, enough to strike at targets in Israel or at US bases in the Persian gulf. Brigadier General Hoseyn Salami, a commander in the Revolutionary Guard, described the test as being intended to "demonstrate Iran's resolve and might against enemies who in recent weeks have threatened Iran with harsh language." The US administration has condemned the tests, describing them as "inconsistent with Iran's obligations to the world."

Emergency declared in Mongolia

More than 300 people have been injured and five killed in street protests in the Mongolian capital of Ulan Bator, it emerged on Wednesday. A state of emergency has been declared and curfew is in effect, with parts of the capital sealed off by police. Over eight thousand protestors gathered after the preliminary results of the parliamentary elections were released on Tuesday and the government had announced victory. Government buildings were looted and set on fire and police dispersed protestors with teargas and rubber bullets. However, international observers have declared the poll to have been largely free and fair.

Paramilitary offensive shakes Pakistan’s tribal belt

Government officials in Pakistan claim they have destroyed a major militant headquarters in the restive Khyber tribal region on the fourth day of the paramilitary offensive against Islamist extremists.

The site belonged to the group Lashkar-e-Islam, who prompted the campaign by the paramilitary Frontier Corps after making incursions into the regional capital of Peshawar last week. Armed members of the group were reported to be roaming the streets of the city's wealthier districts and raiding surrounding villages.

South Africa “not invited” to Zimbabwe crisis talks

Southern African leaders will meet on Wednesday in Swaziland's capital, Mbabane, to discuss the current election crisis in Zimbabwe. Noticeably absent from the meeting will be South Africa's president, Thabo Mbeki. Whilst the Southern African Development Community (SADC) claims an invite was sent to Mbeki, his spokesperson, Mukoni Ratshitanga, denied that the president had actually been invited. Mbeki, who was appointed by the SADC more than a year ago to mediate between Zimbabwe's President Mugabe and opposition leader, Morgan Tsvangirai, has frustrated many SADC members over his insistence on non-confrontational, behind-the-scenes "quiet diplomacy."

Nigeria oil rebels call ceasefire

The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) have made a surprising U-turn, announcing a unilateral ceasefire, effective from midnight tonight, and calling for the resumption of peace talks with the Nigerian government.

In a statement signed by senior spokesman Jomo Gbomo, the MEND said: "We are respecting an appeal by the Niger Delta elders to give peace and dialogue another chance." The move comes just days after the group made an unprecedented attack on Royal Dutch Shell's Bonga oil facility, 75 miles offshore, forcing it to shut down its 225,000 barrels per day production.

This week's guest editors

openGlobalRights editors

Our guest editors James Ron, Leslie Vinjamuri, Sophie Arie and Archana Pandya introduce this week's theme of:

Emerging powers and human rights.

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