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The Great Global Warming Swindle
On Thursday 8 March at 9pm GMT British Channel 4 will screen a new controversial documentary "The Great Global Warming Swindle". The film's main argument is simple - Global Warming has become such powerful political force that alternative views and explanations are suppressed.
The film hears from a number of prominent scientists that dispute the link between CO2 and climate. It also looks at the impacts of CO2 restrictions on the world's poorest people. This wonderful quote comes from James Shikwati, Kenyan director of the Inter Region Economic Network:
"The rich countries can afford to engage in some luxurious experimentation with other forms of energy, but for us we are still at the stage of survival.I don't see how a solar panel is going to power a steel industry, how a solar panel is going to power a railway network, it might work, maybe, to power a small transistor radio."
I admire Channel 4 for having the guts to commission such bold documentary. I have no doubt that it will be smeared by the AGW proponents. Despite the repetitive cries of debate being over, the real debate on Global Warming is just beginning. Channel 4's film must be applauded for questioning the dogma.
More from Channel 4's official website:
http://tinyurl.com/3a4aev
Submitted on Sun, 2007-03-04 22:36
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
If you honestly want to know why the program was wrong you could try any of these sites:
'Channel 4 Now Ashamed of its Experts': http://www.desmogblog.com/channel-4-now-ashamed-of-its-experts
An excellent critique by Sir John Houghton (former co-chair IPCC Scientific Assessment working group 1988-2002) of Channel 4 "The Great Global Warming Swindle" is at the JRI website:http://tinyurl.com/35nz6l
The latest from the climate scientists on 'The Great Global Warming Swindle':
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archi...07/03/swindled/
On the producer's track record:
http://www.gmwatch.org/profile1.asp?PrId=39 (regarding an Exquinox programme) "Durkin's proposal for the programme had earlier been rejected by the BBC because it 'ignored a powerful body of evidence contradicting his [Durkin's] claims'. " I know we must have free speech. But Durkin is guilty of a mental attack, much like a physical mugging...
[Edited by: oD Forum Moderator. Shorter Link provided.]
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
I've supplied some references to sites discussing the dubious science presented in the programme, so lets go back to the roll call. I must admit that even I am shocked at what a bunch of rogues they really are:
- Fred Singer http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1 Exxon Secrets #1 Quote "In a February 2001 letter to the Washington Post, Singer denied receiving funding from the oil industry, except for consulting work some 20 years prior. SEPP, however, received multiple grants from ExxonMobil, including 1998 and 2000. In addition, Singer's current CV on the SEPP website states that he served as a consultant to several oil companies."
He was the last one to speak on the programme, and the UK's Cheif Scientist should be after him for slander: Quote "There will still be people that believe that this is the end of the world. Particularly when you have for example the chief scientists of the UK telling people that by the end of the century the only habitable place on Earth will be the Antarctic. And it may ... humanity may survive thanks to some breeding couples that move to the Antarctic. It's hilarious (chuckle) it would be hilarious actually if it weren't so sad." Roll credits ..."
Oh dear, Sir David King is the UK's Chief Scientist and he has never said any such thing. It was Professor James Lovelock who said it in 'The Revenge Of Gaia'. I'm sure they know the difference, lies but it sounded impressive, so they put it in the programme...
- Patrick Michaels http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=4 Exxon Secrets #4: Quote "Dr. Patrick Michaels is possibly the most prolific and widely- Quoted climate change skeptic scientist. He has admitted receiving funding from various fossil fuel industry sources."
and http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2006/08/climate_fraudit.php#more (enjoy the magic changing graph): Quote "The first approach is the one taken by Pat Michaels, who dishonestly erased scenarios B and C from Hansen's graph."
From DeSmogBlog:
Quote "Numerous media outlets reported that one of your professors, Dr. Patrick Michaels , has accepted upwards of $150,000 from coal interests and coal-burning electric utility companies for his advocacy against the overwhelming consenus on global warming."
- Fred Seitz http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=6 Exxon Secrets #6 Quote "A June 2000 Business Week article referred to physicist Frederick Seitz as "the granddaddy of global-warming skeptics". Seitz was once a director and shareholder of a company that operated coal-fired power plants." Quote "n 1998, Seitz wrote and circulated a letter, asking scientists to sign a petition asking the Government to reject the Kyoto Protocol. Seitz signed the letter and identifed himself as a former president of the National Academy of Sciences. He also directed attention to a report by Dr. Arthur Robinson, which concluded that carbon dioxide posed no threat to climate. The report was not peer-reviewed, but was formatted to look like an NAS journal article. The NAS later issued a statement disassociating itself from the petition and the article."
- Tim Ball (apparently not an emeritus professor) http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1164 Exxon Secrets #1164:
Quote "5 February, 2007
I am not alone in this journey against the prevalent myth. Several well-known names have also raised their voices. Michael Crichton, the scientist, writer and filmmaker is one of them. In his latest book, "State of Fear" he takes time to explain, often in surprising detail, the flawed science behind Global Warming and other imagined environmental crises."- but http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Michael_Crichton]Michael Crichton is "a Harvard Medical School graduate turned writer" who gave a leture "entitled "Aliens Cause Global Warming"", can't he find someone more reliable? http://www.desmogblog.com/channel-4-now-ashamed-of-its-experts
Quote "In its promotional material, Channel 4 was advertising one of its experts, Dr. Tim Ball, as a ?Climatologist and Prof Emeritus of Geography at the University of Winnipeg.? In fact, Dr. Ball retired from a short, unspectacular academic career in 1995. He neither earned ? nor was he given ? the honour of an Emeritus professorship, and the University of Winnipeg has, on at least one previous occasion, specifically requested that he stop presenting himself as such.
Far from being a working scientist or credible expert, Dr. Ball has associated himself in the last decade with a series of energy industry front groups (the Friends of Science, the Natural Resource Stewardship Project ) that fight against any policy that would address climate change.
Even the Calgary Herald, the leading newspaper in the Canadian oil capital of Calgary, has said that Ball is ?viewed as a paid promoter of the agenda of the oil and gas industry rather than as a practicing scientist.?" Quote "But the locations that Channel 4 still mentions suggest that the other ?experts? will include at least a cross-section of other people who are known more for taking money from the energy industry than they are for scientific research."
- Ian Clark http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1280 Exxon Secrets #1280 and from http://www.desmogblog.com/national-post-heralds-another-denier]DeSmogBlog Quote "Dr. Fred Michel, part of a small group of Ottawa scientists (also including Tim Patterson and Ian Clark) acting on behalf of the energy-industry front group the Natural Resources Stewardship Project" ... http://tinyurl.com/2zdynf]Natural Resources Stewardship Project Quote "12 Oct 06, BREAKING UPDATE!
NRSP exposed -- controlled by energy industry lobbyists"...
- John Christy http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=903 Exxon Secrets #903 Quote "While he now acknowledges that global warming is real and the human contribution is significant" Quote "His findings have been widely disputed. "
- Richard Lindzen http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=17 Exxon Secrets #17 Quote "Ross Gelbspan reported in 1995 that Lindzen "charges oil and coal interests $2,500 a day for his consulting services; his 1991 trip to testify before a Senate committee was paid for by Western Fuels, and a speech he wrote, entitled 'Global Warming: the Origin and Nature of Alleged Scientific Consensus,' was underwritten by OPEC.""
- Roy Spencer http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=19 Exxon Secrets #19 Quote "17 April, 2006
"We are not saying that we don't believe that there can be significant global warming. As John [Christy] said, if you add CO2, something has to change. But things are changing all the time anyway. The big question is: So what? How much is it going to change, compared to other things? And what can you do about it?"" Quote "Tech Central Science Foundation or Tech Central Station" http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=112 ExxonSecrets: Quote "ExxonMobil gave the Foundation $95,000 in 2003 for "Climate Change Support." "and note http://tinyurl.com/35ee9v]Sponsors pull plug on Tech Central Station
- Paul Reiter http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=421 Exxon Secrets #421 Quote "11 January, 2007
I am not a climatologist, nor an expert on sea level or polar ice. But I do know from talking to many scientists in many disciplines that this consensus is a mirage." and try http://tinyurl.com/298z8v]here.
- Paul Driessen (author) http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1038 Exxon Secrets #1038 Quote "Paul Driessen is the author of Eco-Imperialism: Green Power - Black Death (www.Eco-Imperialism.com) and director of the Economic Human Rights Project, a joint initiative of the Center for the Defense of Free Enterprise and Congress of Racial Equality." ... http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=23 ExxonSecrets: Quote "Alan Gottlieb, a former tax felon, founded CDFE in 1974 along with two gun groups" Quote ""We are sick to death of environmentalism and so we will destroy it. We will not allow our right to own property and use nature's resources for the benefit of mankind to be stripped from us by a bunch of eco-facists."" Quote ""Facts don't really matter. In politics, perception is reality.""
- Patrick Moore (co-founder of Greenpeace) http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Patrick_Moore SourceWatch
Quote "In 2000 Moore went to the Brazilian Amazon rainforests for the filming of a documentary by Marc Morano for American Investigator, According to an interview in the New York Post, Moore dismissed concerns about the impacts of logging, mining and clearning for agriculture on the Amazonian rainforests. "All these save-the-forests arguments are based on bad science ... They are quite simply wrong. We found that the Amazon rainforest is more than 90 percent intact. We flew over it and met all the environmental authorities. We studied satellite pictures of the entire area," he said.
"They are just about the healthiest forests in the world. This stuff about them vanishing at an alarming rate is a con based on bad science ... Anyone who has been in the jungle knows that if you want to live there, you'd better take a few machetes. Otherwise, it'll take it all back," he said. "
- Piers Corbyn http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Piers_Corbyn SourceWatch
Quote "He keeps the details of his methodology for making predictions a secret, and has been criticized for making unfounded claims about the power of his predictions, even after they turned out to be inaccurate."
- Carl Wunsch (tricked to appear) http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/swindled/ Quote "Carl Wunsch (who was a surprise addition to the cast) was apparently misled into thinking this was going to be a balanced look at the issues (the producers have a history of doing this), but who found himself put into a very different context indeed."http://tinyurl.com/2ptgfy Quote "I've just received the following email from Carl Wunsch, whcih confirms that Martin Durkin has been true to type:
----- Original Message -----
From: "Carl Wunsch"
To:
Sent: Friday, March 09, 2007 2:31 PM
Subject: Re: Just wanted to check something
Dave,
I've not seen it and the context was not at all what we
had agreed on. Was billed as a balanced discussion of the
threat of global warming As I began to see ads for the program, I realized I'd been duped. I'm wondering if there's some way I can get to see it. If you do register some kind of complaint, can you let me know what it says?
Carl"
- Nigel Calder (author) http://tinyurl.com/2nrwpv
[Edited by: oD Forum Moderator. Shorter links provided.]
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Since this debate is called 'The politics of climate change', I've put some real science on volcanoes under the debate called 'Climate Change', here:
http://tinyurl.com/2nhyna
ie. "Annual emissions from volcanoes are only 1% of the amount emitted to the atmosphere by humans."
[Edited by: oD Forum Moderator. shorter link.]
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
In regards to what is said about energy for the developing world the documentary is entirely on target. Whatever the credibility of the scientists interviewed, this is an obvious fact.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/swindled-carl-wunsch-responds/ quote: "In the part of the "Swindle" film where I am describing the fact that the ocean tends to expel carbon dioxide where it is warm, and to absorb it where it is cold, my intent was to explain that warming the ocean could be dangerous---because it is such a gigantic reservoir of carbon. By its placement in the film, it appears that I am saying that since carbon dioxide exists in the ocean in such large quantities, human influence must not be very important --- diametrically opposite to the point I was making --- which is that global warming is both real and threatening in many different ways, some unexpected." quote: "that suggested they were making a film that was one-sided, anti-educational, and misleading. I took them at face value---clearly a great error. I knew I had no control over the actual content, but it never occurred to me that I was dealing with people who already had a reputation for distortion and exaggeration." There is even a letter he wrote to them once he knew what the film was really about...
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/swindled/#comment-27434
quote: "What we now have is an out-and-out propaganda piece, in which there is not even a gesture toward balance or explanation of why many of the extended inferences drawn in the film are not widely accepted by the scientific community. There are so many examples, it's hard to know where to begin"
(my bolding)
They have blown themselves right out of the water! Into the full glare!
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
They suggested that we will only allow developing nations to use solar power ... what?
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
They suggested that we would only let developing countries use clean energy, three times as expensive as energy derived from burning fossil fuel. If they wish to industrialize, clearly that is not going to work. Are we to provide nuclear to everyone then?
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Thanks for your contributions guys. It is obvious that the arguments of scientists do not need to be countered as long as one can show they have a link to Exxon or some other corporate bad boy. This proves once again that this debate is very little about science and a lot about ideology. In such ideology 2+2=4 by Exxon is wrong while 2+2=5 by Greenpeace is correct. Well done! Hooray to Spanish inquisition! No justification needed just smear the infidels!
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Firstly, I'd like to say a well done to Martin Durkin - it seems every time the man produces a film, a handful of environmentalists come out to denounce him only so they can have him censured or banned.
Witness Geoff_8 over at the other forum on climate change. Here, we really see what some environmentalists are all about - petty authoritarianism.
As far as Geoff is concerned, what is needed here is a good dose of 'soft censorship' - he invites readers to complain to Ofcom about the documentary film. I mean, I think Al Gore's film is complete and utter rubbish, but I wouldn't dream of complaining to the authorities about it - yet this is precisely how low some in the environmentalist movement have gone.
Indeed, some fools even complained about the film, and invited it readers to complain to Ofcom before the documentary was even broadcast to the public. According to these numbskulls, the political party (now disbanded) that I was proud to be a fully paid-up supporter from as far back as 1986, the Revolutionary Communist Party, was supposed to be the people behind this film. This is nothing but conspiracy mongering being taken to new heights.
The new astute editor of Spiked Online, Brendan O'Neill deals extremely well with this bunch of deadbeats in his article 'Apocalypse my arse'.
Of course, Ofcom and the Independent Television Commission (ITC) might now very well force Channel 4 into not commissioning anymore controversial films from Durkin - but, this seems to be what people like Geoff wants to see - no more controversial films about climate change. I wonder if Geoff invited people to complain about Channel 4's 'Wank Week'?
As for Geoff's 'roll call', unlike George Monbiot, Al Gore or even Sir David Attenborough, all the names on the list are actual experts and professors.
Geoff bemoans the fact that some of the contributors were not scientists - yet George Monbiot's documentary film was screened a few days before the screening of TGGWS, and again a couple of hours afterwards.
So, to be fair to Channel 4, they screened a controversial film, but they made sure it was squashed in between two doses of Monbiot.
So what is the point in complaining that several of the interviewees 'were not scientists at all'? There is an irony in apparently 'exposing' people who do not have a relevant scientific PhD - in that case why don't we just silence all the environmentalists who don't have a relevant background in environmental or planetary science? Of course, that would mean silencing most of the leading thinkers in the environmental movement, as well as every two-bob hack from The Independent newspaper.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
If anyone is going to show Martin Durkin's The Great Global Warming Swindle, then to maintain balance they should also show Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth. Perhaps Channel 4 should be required to show An Inconvenient Truth? Now that is a very good idea... Perhaps those who have not complained already will request just that.
However, when showing either of them it would only be responsible to make the scientific basis clear.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Inconvenient_Truth
quote "Gore's basic claimthat global warming is realis supported by current research.
Gore's subsequent claimthat global warming is largely human-causedis also supported by current research.
Gore presents specific data that supports the film's thesis, including:"(There is loads there...)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Global_Warming_Swindle
quote "The documentary received a substantial amount of coverage in the British press, both before and after its broadcast.
One scientist featured, Carl Wunsch said he had been "completely misrepresented" by the programme,[3][4] calling it "grossly distorted" and "as close to pure propaganda as anything since World War Two."[5] Wunsch was reported to be considering legal action, and a complaint to OFCOM, the UK broadcast regulator.[5] Filmmaker Durkin responded by saying, "Carl Wunsch was most certainly not "duped" into appearing in the film, as is perfectly clear from our correspondence with him. Nor are his comments taken out of context. His interview, as used in the programme, perfectly accurately represents what he said."[5]
A critique by Sir John Houghton (former co-chair IPCC Scientific Assessment working group 1988-2002) assesses 9 of the main assertions by the programme and disagreed with most of them, and described the programme as "a mixture of truth, half truths and falsehood"[6] He accepted some statements in the film were factual, but challenged most."
(no scientific basis section (yet?), the claims are there, and are the peole involved)
An Inconvenient Truth is still on Amazon's top DVDs list. On amazon.co.uk number 7 (it's been out since December 26th)! On amazon.com number 8 (it's been out since November).
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Geoff_8,
So, the fact that The Great Global Warming Swindle was sandwiched in between two slots of Monbiot wasn't enough for you. Now, it appears that you would like to force, in someway, Channel 4 to only screen programmes that you approve of - this aptly highlights how petty and authoritarian you really are deep down.
I noticed there was one fact about the documentary that you omitted to mention - the fact that professor Timothy Ball, who appeared in the film, has now received death threats - which most probably came from Al Gore fans.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
I suppose this is the politics topic.
I've tried to discuss more of the science here:
http://tinyurl.com/2wbrgk
[Edited by: oD Forum Moderator. shorter link provided.]
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
I believe that there will be some at least who would like to know what David Miliband (the UK Environment Secretary for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs) has to say about The Great Global Warming Swindle.
http://www.davidmiliband.defra.gov.uk/blogs/ministerial_blog/default.aspx
"Below I have set out what Defra scientists say about the 11 main allegations in the programme." ie. the above link.
"I am convinced well beyond reasonable doubt that the swindle is not being perpetrated by the vast, vast majority of scientists in the world. There will always be people with conspiracy theories trying to do down the scientific consensus, and that is part of scientific and democratic debate, but the science of climate change looks like fact to me. If the effect of the programme, instead of making people think, is in fact to make them disregard the accepted science (in other words stop thinking) then that would be a real swindle."
http://www.defra.gov.uk/
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
I think people can make up their own mind on the subject. The film can now available on Google Video:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-4520665474899458831
Or high quality Bit Torrent here:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2007/03/great-global-warming-swindle.html
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> Firstly, I'd like to say a well done to Martin Durkin
> - it seems every time the man produces a film, a
> handful of environmentalists come out to denounce him
> only so they can have him censured or banned.
They hardly have to, Durkin usually sinks himself with his own slimey tactics, propaganda, and deliberate misrepresentation of the science involved,
> According to these numbskulls, the political
> party (now disbanded) that I was proud to be a fully
> paid-up supporter from as far back as 1986, the
> Revolutionary Communist Party, was supposed to be the
> people behind this film. This is nothing but
> conspiracy mongering being taken to new heights.
Most of the people involved have some connection to the RCP (Living Marxism etc.), the lovely people who also spent so much time trying to prove that people were not being held in prison camps during the Bosnian conflict. It really doesn't surprise me that you were a member...
> The new astute editor of Spiked Online,
> Brendan O'Neill deals extremely well with this bunch
> of deadbeats in his article
Spiked Online of course is also another ex-RCP project, so you'd be expected to support it...
> Of course, Ofcom and the Independent Television
> Commission (ITC) might now very well force
> Channel 4 into not commissioning anymore
> controversial films from Durkin
I would hope that they don't bow to any such pressure. As I said there is nothing wrong with controversy, criticism and questioning, but Durkin isn't really interested in honest critique, he's a dismal propagandist.
> As for Geoff's 'roll call', unlike George Monbiot, Al
> Gore or even Sir David Attenborough, all the names on
> the list are actual experts and professors.
(and all the rest of your argument about scientific qualifications)
The point is that these people are just about all the sceptics have got. The environmentalists in contrast are simply piggy-backing off the vast majority of the world's climate scientists. If you want a 'how many professors have you got' argument, you are on to a loser from the start. Look how many scientists are represented by the IPCC report. Look how many sceptics there are. Look how many of the sceptics are actually experts in the field rather than paid provocateurs and PR people.
The argument about climate change is not an equal argument between environmental campaigners and sceptical scientists, but an argument within science with the vast majority of the scientists, based on their research and modelling work, in support of the proposition that the current observable wave of climate change is anthropogenic. The fact that environmentalists base a campaign on this, or indeed that sceptics like you find it contradicts your political ideology is neither here nor there with regards to the science itself. I know that the RCP had this fanatical devotion to the ideology that scientific progress must mean mastery of nature and unlimited human development, but science actually has no fundamental goal other than understanding.
What we decide to do with this understanding is the subject of competing arguments and ideologies. And the solutions to dealing with the fact that it seems increasingly certain that the anthropogenic hypothesis is correct could be from anywhere in the politiical spectrum from the anarcho-primitivism that Durkin and other ex-RCPers (and US neo-liberals) frequently and wrongly argue is the goal of environmentalists, through revolution, eco-modernisation (of which Richard Lawson is one proponent), market solutions, etc. right through to authoritarianism.
The important thing is that these prefered political solutions and ideologies cannot validly be read back onto arguments about the scientific findings themselves. Thus whatever your feelings about the environmental movement (and I share some of your misgivings about its politics and solutions), this cannot be presented as if it says something about the science of global warming. I am afraid that Durkin willfully confuses all of these things in order to pursue his particular agenda and you are in danger of doing the same.
Message was edited by: David Wood
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Dave,
Have you actually seen the film? I see many smears in your reply but you are not actually addressing the film, rather the political affiliations of those involved. Play the argument, not the man, Dave.
The only argument you put up is a pretty tired one. IPCC represents consensus of the world's top scientists and therefore... Well who created this consensus of the world's best scientists? You will find it was the IPCC's press release. UN is a political body and IPCC is a political body. There is not a single scientific paper out there that proves that CO2 is responsible for the current warming. There is no proof what so ever that the 20th century warming is anomalous. All models are computer programs that are simply as good as the assumptions that go into them. If one assumes that CO2 will warm up the Earth that is what the models will show. Yet we are asked to dramatically alter the course of human civilisation at it's finest time in history to avert a hypothetical disaster based on this weak science? No thanks.
If you don't believe me just how weak the science is, have a look just how much we know about the various forcing of the climate. Have a look at this graph that appeared in the IPCC's latest Summary for Policymakers:
http://www.ipcc.ch/present/graphics/2001syr/large/06.01.jpg
Out of 12 forcing only one has a High level of scientific understanding. Only one! If you look at the uncertainty of say "Aerosol indirect effect" you can see that it is possible that it could be presently negating almost all of the CO2 forcing. Add sulphates, land use (albedo) and biomass burning and human impact on temperatures could be actually negative. We just don't know. This is how solid the science is.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> Have you actually seen the film?
Yes. Have you?
IMHO, it was a curious mixture of RCP/LM propaganda (which is why the RCP links are relevent, because you have to understand why for example Durkin keeps bringing up the complete red herring that environmentalists want to keep Less Developed Countries poor and mmixing in all sort of wierd bits of propaganda...), old arguments which have already been dealt with (see realcimate for more details) and one relatively new, untested and perhaps untestable, hypothesis about solar forcing. There is nothing really to deal with... if only the programme had been what was promised and been a proper critique that had real evidence from credible researchers. We need questioning and maverick science. What we got was tedious hectoring polemic and cut-n-paste propaganda.
>I see many smears in
> your reply but you are not actually addressing the
> film, rather the political affiliations of those
> involved. Play the argument, not the man, Dave.
As you can see I was replying specifically to items raised by Courtney and which are relevent to the construction of this programme (see above). Being a working researcher, I am the last person to resort to ad hominem arguments when it comes to science. Accusing me of this will not wash. This programme was not piece of peer-reviewed science, not even a summary of peer-reviewed science, it was a piece of polemic. Calling these 'smears', rather than simply information, is in itself a political term based on your ideology.
> The only argument you put up is a pretty tired one.
> Well who created this
> consensus of the world's best scientists? You will
> find it was the IPCC's press release.
Tired but still true. You willfully misrepresent the process if research, collation of research, summary and production of the reports (because this is not the first one). The IPCC tries to sum up the state of play in research and produces a figure on the probability of climate change being anthropogenic etc. - currently running at 90%. This is not 'created' by press release. The final stage of the report process is where governments argue about what to say on the implications of the science, adn that indeed is political. But here all the indications are that the published version is quite conservative, and that more contentious or challenging implications have been removed or watered-down. But that says nothing about the science itself.
> UN is a
> political body and IPCC is a political body.
So? Just putting the label 'political' on something does not make it a terrible thing, or invalidate the science which these bodies summarise. If the politics of the bodies in question can be shown to have influenced the scientific results - and this means just abotu every serious scientific journal and all the world's climate science research being utterly corrupt and worthless - then sure, that would be news. However you have no such evidence.
> There is
> not a single scientific paper out there that proves
> that CO2 is responsible for the current warming.
Perhaps you need to learn something about science before you make a claim like this, or at least be more careful with your language. If you are waiting for proof of something in this regard or in any science relating to complex systems you will wait forever. It's not possible. It is simply possible to get more and more likely to be true.
> There is no proof what so ever that the 20th century
> warming is anomalous. All models are computer
> programs that are simply as good as the assumptions
> that go into them. If one assumes that CO2 will warm
> up the Earth that is what the models will show. Yet
> we are asked to dramatically alter the course of
> human civilisation at it's finest time in history to
> avert a hypothetical disaster based on this weak
> science? No thanks.
This argument could have applied to earlier IPCC reports which were more reliant on modelling. This report is based far more on empirical datasets and far less on modelling.
And human civilisation at its finest time in history? You seem to be basing your arguments on political ideology and trying to read this ideology back onto the science in a way that is not valid. I might agree with you on your judgement about civilisation, but I cannot allow this to skew my rational judegement when it comes to sceinticis evidence.
In addition, to repeat, what we decide to do does not mean the end of progress or a retreat from civilisation - quite the contrary, and, this is just my personal view here: I am optimistic for an age of clean and abundant energy, genetic, nanotechnological innovations, quantum computing, space exploration and so on. In fact overcoming the strain the industrial revolution has put on our climate requires this if the human race is to progress. At the moment we have a civilisation that has got about as far as it can get with fossil fuel-powered systems. We need to move a decisive move forward to cleaner, cleverer, more efficient, more widely-available, more customisable, more personal technologies.
Things will change, they always do, but you can no more preserve 'civilisation at its finest time' in aspic, any more than you'd want to accept the anarcho-primitivist message and go backwards. There's absolutely no need to think that understanding the evidence of climate change means stopping civilisation! That really is just rhetoric...
> We just don't know. This is how solid the
> science is.
Not only have I read the summary, I've read much more than that. I wonder what puts you in a position of expertise that can trump all of this work? Do tell us...
For the rest of you, just trundle over to the real scientists at realclimate to explain what was wrong with the Swindle programme's 'scientific' analysis.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Being a working researcher, I am the last person to resort to ad hominem arguments when it comes to science. Accusing me of this will not wash.
Actually, I don't have to accuse you. You do a pretty good job to illustrate the point yourself.
So? Just putting the label 'political' on something does not make it a terrible thing, or invalidate the science which these bodies summarise.
No? GW is a multi-billion dollar industry. Lucrative careers have been made by many on the back of the GW doomsday cult. The issue goes away and plenty of people will be out of jobs and even disgraced. This is quite well illustrated by comparing reality vs. rethoric of the latest IPCC report. Despite 2007 report being less alarming than 2001 report, it is billed as the most alarming yet.
The "impartiality" of IPCC was further illustrated when R.K. Pachauri, the IPCC chairman, told Reuters: "I hope this report will shock people, governments into taking more serious action as you really can't get a more authentic and a more credible piece of scientific work. So I hope this will be taken for what it's worth." This is the sort of stuff reminiscent of Colin Powell's performance in the UN prior to Iraq war.
Perhaps you need to learn something about science before you make a claim like this, or at least be more careful with your language. If you are waiting for proof of something in this regard or in any science relating to complex systems you will wait forever.
Wow Dave! Inspired stuff. There is no proof of doomsday, there can be no proof of doomsday, yet we must prepare for the doomsday. And why exactly? You are just reinforcing my point that the science is as weak as it comes.
Not only have I read the summary, I've read much more than that. I wonder what puts you in a position of expertise that can trump all of this work? Do tell us...
I noticed how you ignored my charge that out of 12 forcings mentioned in 2001 report only one has high level of scientific understanding. Only one! In 2007 report they separate various greenhouse gasses removed a couple of negative forcings. Hey presto: two out of nine have high level of understanding. Two out of nine! This is solid stuff. Would you trust a pilot that knew how to use only 22% of controls in the cockpit?
We need to move a decisive move forward to cleaner, cleverer, more efficient, more widely-available, more customisable, more personal technologies.
At last something we can both agree on, Dave. Still I want to do this for the right reasons, not because I am shit scared of the sky falling on my head, as the case is now. Bad science has already produced bad public hysteria and this cannot serve as the basis for sound polices. There is only one good way to do this: a broad international commitment on R&D into clean energy. But all we get are ambitious populist CO2 reduction targets that will not be met, higher taxes, increased calls for protectionism more government regulation, and general insistence that we use less, make do, mend and generally lower our inspirations. You may be sensible enough to yearn for the continuation of technological age, as I do, but majority of those that drive the GW agenda are neo-Malthusian fantasists whose massage is strongly anti-human and anti-progress.
GW issue can damage the credibility of science and the UN more than any issue in the past. The global temperatures have been flat or declining since 1998. If this trend continues the same ignorant masses that are now demanding the war on gasses will turn against the UN and will never trust another scientist again. What do you think will happen in 10 years when disaster doesn't come? Or in 20 years when it will still be as distant as it is now? Don't you think there will be some questions? Don't you think people will want to know why scientists were telling us they were sure, while they didn't have much idea about 80% of climate forcings or why did they oversold this incomplete weak science as definitive proof? And trust me, this is exactly what is going to happen. People cannot be fed propaganda year after year and be expected to believe it.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
has everyone forgotton something??????
C6 H12 06 + 6O2 => 6 CO2 + 6H2O + 36ATP
Every breath that 6,525,170,264 people are taking is producing CO2. thats 900 breaths in an hour per person, lets do the math...
900 breaths per hour is 21,600 breaths per day (on avg)
or 7,884,000 breaths per year, per person.
so thats 51,444,442,361,376,000 breaths on avg each year in the world.
Each 'respiration' produces 6 atoms of carbon dioxide. Now i don't know the weight of CO2, but i'm pretty sure that as humans, only, we produce one heck of a lot of CO2 just by being here, and what about the other animals?!
~ dan
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> So? Just putting the label 'political' on
> something does not make it a terrible thing, or
> invalidate the science which these bodies
> summarise.
>
> No? GW is a multi-billion dollar industry. Lucrative
> careers have been made by many on the back of the GW
> doomsday cult. The issue goes away and plenty of
> people will be out of jobs and even disgraced.
Look, this is not evidence of anything. It is just you reading into the fact that global warming has become, by necessity, a major topic of research, the idea that the research must have been created in order to create generate that funding. It doesn't matter if it was worth trillions, you still couldn't logically read back from this that the money was the reason for the scientific results.
I do wonder how old you are. I say this because I remember a time not so long ago when scientists researching this area were regarded as a bit on the edge of things, when the media thought it was all a bit crazy and governments had absolutely no interest. The research was not created by campaigners or business people or states, but by honest scientific work, and it continues to be. Your cynicism about the motives of people involved is simply that and most of you other language - 'doomsday cult' etc. is simply rhetorical analogy and pretty worthless. The reason things have changed is because the scientific results have become more convincing.
Of course the whole thing could still be shown to be partially or completely wrong by further research - that's science for you. But if, as you claim, you are truly someone who appreciates the benefits that science and technology have brought humanity you have to accept things you don't want to hear sometimes that science is telling you - assuming you don't have a god-like view of everything, which I am pretty sure you don't. Scientific results do not fit ideologies - that should tell you more about the dangers of ideology than science.
> This
> is quite well illustrated by comparing reality vs.
> rethoric of the latest IPCC report. Despite 2007
> report being less alarming than 2001 report, it is
> billed as the most alarming yet.
This sounds like you've cut'n'pasted it from some website...
> The "impartiality" of IPCC was further illustrated
> when R.K. Pachauri, the IPCC chairman, told Reuters:
> "I hope this report will shock people, governments
> into taking more serious action as you really can't
> get a more authentic and a more credible piece of
> scientific work. So I hope this will be taken for
> what it's worth." This is the sort of stuff
> reminiscent of Colin Powell's performance in the UN
> prior to Iraq war.
... as does this. But again, so what? The Chairman of the IPCC is confident of the credibility of the science in the report! Tell us something surprising next time, will ya?
> There is no proof of
> doomsday, there can be no proof of doomsday, yet we
> must prepare for the doomsday. And why exactly? You
> are just reinforcing my point that the science is as
> weak as it comes.
Easy with the Doomsday rhetoric there... that's hardly the language of credible argument. I thought you might just be overstating your case for effect, but you really don't understand science at all if you think proof will be forthcoming... what is your understanding of the nature of positive proof when it relates to complex systems? I'm interested if you think you have some alternative idea of the way that the entire basis of scientific research should work. Perhaps you should write to some major journals to tell them...
> I noticed how you ignored my charge that out of 12
> forcings mentioned in 2001 report only one has high
> level of scientific understanding. Only one! In 2007
> report they separate various greenhouse gasses
> removed a couple of negative forcings. Hey presto:
> two out of nine have high level of understanding. Two
> out of nine! This is solid stuff. Would you trust a
> pilot that knew how to use only 22% of controls in
> the cockpit?
That's just an analogy and like most arguments by analogy works by shifting attention away from the issue itself. This is a conservative statement of the state of knowledge. You'd expect that if you understood the way scientific research works. It is only big news if you don't. We always need more research...
> At last something we can both agree on, Dave. Still I
> want to do this for the right reasons, not because I
> am shit scared of the sky falling on my head, as the
> case is now.
Don't be silly. See, this is the problem with your kinds fo arguments - you think there has to be one ideologically right reason for things to be done, i.e.: your own.
> Bad science
Again this is rhetoric and ignorance. If science produces results you don't like this doesn't make it 'bad'.
> has already produced bad
> public hysteria and this cannot serve as the basis
> for sound polices.
It's funny... see, I don't notice any public hysteria. I don't notice the public being that bothered at all actually. Not half bothered enough in fact. And certainly, of those people taking action, they seem to be doing it in a rather low-key fashion. The shrill responses seem to come rather from those who exaggerate and claim that there is 'hysteria'...
And the whole point of the IPCC is to provide sound scientific bases for policy proposals and therefore avoid media hype and whatever the public may think. Of course the public may decide to vote one way or another in democracies and we just have to deal with that too. I don't notice any radical 'green' policies getting that many votes as it happens.
> There is only one good way to do
> this: a broad international commitment on R&D into
> clean energy.
That's essential of course, but you can't wait for this commitment to occur - private corporations, individual states are going to have to force this along.
> But all we get are ambitious populist
> CO2 reduction targets that will not be met, higher
> taxes, increased calls for protectionism more
> government regulation, and general insistence that we
> use less, make do, mend and generally lower our
> inspirations.
I am struggling to see how you portray these as 'populist' - again, I wonder how old you are and how much you know of the history of the environmental movement and its general lack of acceptance until recently. The popularity, such as it is, is very recent and quite mainstream rather than radical in terms of ecological ideas.
In addition, why do you associate what I presume you mean as aspirations, with 'more'. We're entering an age in which economic growth will depend less and less on creating more material things and more on symbolic and informational goods. It seems to me that you are still struggling with a rather nineteenth century idea of what constitutes human progress (like our friends the RCP). Progress consists of the progressive fufilment of a multitude of aspirations, not least of which are things like increasing peace, equity, and so on. Efficiency, which in economics has always been the other major goal, consists precisely of doing more with less. So that too is progress. It's quite bizarre that you manage to spin it as if it were a human duty to consume more...
> but
> majority of those that drive the GW agenda are
> neo-Malthusian fantasists whose massage is strongly
> anti-human and anti-progress.
Oh, that's just so much crap. Again just cheap rhetoric and ideologically-driven posturing. You'd be much better off if you weren't so cynical and suspicious. You have no evidence for this statement, it's just a belief and one based on a very narrow idea of what constitutes progress and what it means to be human.
> The global
> temperatures have been flat or declining since 1998.
Blimey, there's conclusive proof for you! Not...
> If this trend continues the same ignorant masses that
> are now demanding the war on gasses will turn against
> the UN and will never trust another scientist again.
No-one is demanding a war on gasses! And I am sorry, but the ignorant masses are certainly not. The mass of scientifically illiterate people are in my experience are not particularly interested in any of this...
> What do you think will happen in 10 years when
> disaster doesn't come? Or in 20 years when it will
> still be as distant as it is now? Don't you think
> there will be some questions? Don't you think people
> will want to know why scientists were telling us they
> were sure, while they didn't have much idea about 80%
> of climate forcings or why did they oversold this
> incomplete weak science as definitive proof?
I am sure we will all be doomed then, doomed I tell you! For someone who is so much against the spreading of doom, you seem to be remarkably good at doing so when it suits you!
It's interesting that you think things are distant... plenty of changes already are occuring and visibly so, even to the untrained eye. The thing is that human beings are quite self-delusional and will fit all sorts of things into an ideological pattern, the black-hole of belief eventually sucks rationality in. We get used very quickly to living with the unusual, the emergency - large ice-sheets crack, glaciers retreat etc. but is that 'normal' or not? People will walk past someone who falls over in the street, but that doesn't mean the person didn't fall over... I prefer to stick with evidence whether that tells me what I would like to hear or not. I will be very happy indeed if the evidence starts to demonstrate that anthropogenic climate change is not happening, or is not as bad as predicted etc. Who wouldn't be?
I would hope that no credible researcher would be so ideologically committed to an idea that they were closed to the possibility of them being wrong. The main difference between you and me as far as I see it, is that I am happy to be wrong individually if that means greater collective knowledge and progress. I am not sure that you are prepared to be wrong. You seem awfully committed to the absolute certainty of your beliefs. And that I am afraid is probably where you problem with science lies, even whilst you claim to support it.
>And
> trust me, this is exactly what is going to happen.
Why should I 'trust you'? You come on with no evidence, with no credibility, with a lot of rhetoric, attacking a body which has plenty of evidence and credibility, that you condemn precisely for their demand that we trust them and all you can offer ultimately is 'trust me instead'.
Message was edited by: David Wood
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> has everyone forgotton something??????
...
> Each 'respiration' produces 6 atoms of carbon
> dioxide. Now i don't know the weight of CO2, but i'm
> pretty sure that as humans, only, we produce one heck
> of a lot of CO2 just by being here, and what about
> the other animals?!
Oh, no! Quickly... why don't you tell the IPCC of your startling insight? I'm sure they'll be really pleased to hear from you as I am sure no climate scientist has ever considered the fact that animals breathing produce CO2. And, oh no! We are using up all the oxygen too... we'll all suffocate...
Sorry, to be so sarcastic, but was it really worth signing up here just to post that?
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Dave,
Are you having a shit day or something? You sound hysterical. This is often a sign of intellectual weakness. You seem to be unable to respond to any of my arguments without making emotional appeals and repetitively questioning my credibility and my ideological deposition. Strangely when dealing with IPCC you say things like: "Scientific results do not fit ideologies - that should tell you more about the dangers of ideology than science." Yet when I ask absolutely fair dinkum question about IPCC's level of understanding of climate forcings (as stated in their own report), my ideology is all that matters.
It is just you reading into the fact that global warming has become, by necessity, a major topic of research, the idea that the research must have been created in order to create generate that funding.
Very interesting? Let's imagine for a second that it is proven that Sun is behind the current warming trend. Now, we can't do much about the Sun, can we? What do you think will happen to the funding for GW-related research and IPCC itself? They were something like 6000 people at the latest UN climate summit in Kenya. One of my mates works on greenhouse gas projects with the EPA. Would anyone spend money on researching say impact of GW on polar bears knowing full well that even if the impact is devastating, there is nothing us humans can do about it. I think not, do you? And therein lies the self-interest of climsi community to make not global warming but ANTHROPOGENIC GW the dominant hypothesis. Referring back to the same graph IPCC's level of understanding of the Sun's impact by IPCC's admission is LOW, yet they had enough balls to say they are ever more confident that the Sun has nothing to do with recent climate change.
Easy with the Doomsday rhetoric there... that's hardly the language of credible argument.
Sorry, Dave but such is the language of IPCC. "Climate change threatens billions" according to the latest IPCC report. I can see Armageddon coming on any minute now. Except I don't, it's always happening some place else like Tuvalu, Alaska or Antarctica.
Again this is rhetoric and ignorance. If science produces results you don't like this doesn't make it 'bad'.
Stop being a knobhead, Dave. The science is weak, because it is weak, not because I don't like it. I used to believe in GW until I decided to evaluate it critically. For most AGW proponents it is the article of faith and ideology. It also tends to attract the left-wing types in droves, as is perfectly taps into their middle-class guilt. You know: we kill the planet, we murder Africans, the terrorists want to kill us because we are so horrible, we are the cancer of the Planet. And so on.
While we are on the subject of science, perhaps you know the answer to these; soon as you say it is so solid:
Do we know the average temperature of the planet? What is it?
Do we know what the ideal average temperature of the planet should be?
Is planet?s temperature always stable or does it fluctuate?
Did Earths climate change in the geological past?
How do we know that even if we do all that scientists ask us to do the climate will not just change anyway?
I don't notice the public being that bothered at all actually. Not half bothered enough in fact.
That's because they are not half as gullible as the scientist would like them to be. They already survived the population time bomb, running out of all resources, Acid rain, Y2K, bird flu and so on. I would argue that public has a lot of common sense, while academia loves to flirt with fashionable theories.
And the whole point of the IPCC is to provide sound scientific bases for policy proposals and therefore avoid media hype and whatever the public may think.
Of course, of course, Dave. They are very shy: "I hope this report will shock people, governments into taking more serious action as you really can't get a more authentic and a more credible piece of scientific work.? As shy as they come.
It seems to me that you are still struggling with a rather nineteenth century idea of what constitutes human progress (like our friends the RCP).
Dave, I am not sure what you are getting on here but it seems that you have a rather poor understanding of how the world works. You may like art and books, others may like fast cars and easy women. Not everyone has the same idea. I like reading, my wife likes shopping. You like chess; I like beer and pork scratchings. The world is a complicated place, your idea of progress may not be your neighbour's idea, yet you see fit to comment on what you think the aspirations of the world should be. Who made you the spokesman for humanity? You love trees, I love wood chopping. You cannot legislate nor impose morality, Dave. I was born in the Soviet Union and know exactly where such delusions lead.
It's quite bizarre that you manage to spin it as if it were a human duty to consume more...
Did I actually say anything of the sort? Don't put words in my mouth please, Dave.
It's interesting that you think things are distant... plenty of changes already are occuring and visibly so, even to the untrained eye.
Dave, changes occur all the time, get used to it. Not all change is bad. More critically change, even a bad one is not in itself a proof that it is our fault. I am getting old and I will die one day. That is really bad, I don't like the idea, but I can't do much about it, can I? The proposition here is not that the climate is changing, this is hardly controversial, but that it is our fault through CO2 emissions. This is far from proven.
You seem awfully committed to the absolute certainty of your beliefs.
No true, Dave. All it would take is some solid evidence, not dubious CO2 climate correlations, not far from perfect climate models and not simplistic morality tales of bad humans polluting and killing the planet.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> Are you having a shit day or something? You sound
> hysterical. This is often a sign of intellectual
> weakness.
Dear, oh dear. Sorry, Iljay but I will not be drawn into a low-level exchange of insults. Hysteria does seem to be your most common accusation at almost everything with which you disagree. You might want to consider why you feel the need to pathologise people who criticise your views and approach.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Oh Dave, such thin skin you have... Pity you run away from the rest of my post. I thought it was rather reasonable.
Particularly since I pretty much overlooked the childish jibes about my age (maturity), evil ideology, not understanding the science, cutting and pasting, my primitive understanding of the world (it always seems to be only within the grasp of enlightened Left-wing types) and so on. To borrow a leaf from your own book, Dave: how old are you?
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Back to the issue in question. Eigil Friis-Christensen, who was presented by the recent 'Great Global Warming Swindle' as a sceptic and supporter of their position has come out with a public complaint about the makers' fabrication of key data, in this case regarding the supposed correlation of climate change and solar activity:
http://folk.uio.no/nathan/web/statement.html
It seems that the two biggest and most credible names in the prog (remember that most of the names were corporate PR hacks or non-scientists) have both now made complaints about misrepresentation and fabrication.
I would be very interested to see how Iljay and others can spin this one.
BTW, FYI - I am 35 years old. I also have a BA from Oxford in Modern History, an MSc in environmental studies (and a PhD in an unrelated field). I've also worked for NGOs working in environment, poverty reduction and disaster relief. This is relevent here because I asked you your age simply because you seemed to have so little grasp of the history of the global warming debate and how recently and reluctantly states have come to accept the scientific evidence, and how public opinion and attitudes to the environment have changed. I find it hard to beleive that someone who had either a clear memory or knowledge of the massive way in which science, atttiudes and politics of the environment have changed over recent years could say some of the things you did in all seriousness. There seems to be a real attempt to rewrite history to suit ideology rather than looking at what actually happened...
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> but
> majority of those that drive the GW agenda are
> neo-Malthusian fantasists whose massage is strongly
> anti-human and anti-progress.
"Oh, that's just so much crap. Again just cheap rhetoric and ideologically-driven posturing. You'd be much better off if you weren't so cynical and suspicious. You have no evidence for this statement, it's just a belief and one based on a very narrow idea of what constitutes progress and what it means to be human." David Wood.
Just much crap? Cheap rhetoric? Ideologically driven posturing?
Think again...
I would consider Sir David Attenborough to be a rather popular and mainstream commentator on GW - yet I still find his ideas perverse in the extremes . Or how about this bunch of misanthropic environmentalists ? According to these people, having a baby is only proof of a mental disorder - and besides, babies damage the environment, don't they? Ok, they may be a bit extreme, but not as extreme as some in the environmental movement. They all have something in common; they assume that the interests of people are far less important than the health of an inanimate object.
How about the animal rights activist Jon Ablewhite who thought it was perfectly fine to dig up and interfere with the dead corpse of Gladys Hammond - for what? All in the name of the rights of guinea pigs who have no voice? Such eco-worriers have a degraded view of humanity.
The proposition that there are too many people on the Earth is a stance made from the point of view of little in the way of hard evidence, yet we hear it all the time. From Jeffery Sachs' lecture entitled 'Bursting at the seams' , to Sir Nicholas Stern's review, which states that greater 'effort is required to encourage lower rates of population growth' . Long after Thomas Malthus ideas have been redundant and discredited, neo-Malthusians like Stern and Sachs are regurgitating the same old myths with next to nothing in the shape of real evidence to substantiate such claims.
Indeed, the UK Secretary of State for the Environment, David Miliband, cannot stop himself from repeating the mantra that if 'the world were to have the same living standards as we have in the UK, then we'd need three planets to support us'. However, where is his evidence for that? From Miliband's perspective, Africans cannot be expected to live like us over here in the future - it stands to reason from this point of view that Africans need to drastically reduce its population size before any real progress can be made.
When it comes to people and numbers, environmentalist can only imagine one type of arithmetic - minus. For them, inanimate objects have acquired far more importance than even life or death struggles like war. War, as a human problem is relegated to second place - trees, oceans, mountains and deserts have more intrinsic value. If this isn't a form of anti humanism, then I'm afraid it is you Mr Wood who is in denial.
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
>> I would consider Sir David Attenborough to be a
> rather popular and mainstream commentator on GW - yet
> I still find his
> [url=http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article8
> 5953.ece] ideas perverse in the extremes [/url].
Sorry I couldn't access that piece so I have no idea what you consider perverse...
>Or
> how about this bunch of [url=http://www.vhemt.org/]
> misanthropic environmentalists [/url]? According to
> these people, having a baby is only
> [url=http://www.vhemt.org/biobreed.htm#wrongpeople]
> proof of a mental disorder [/url]- and besides,
> babies damage the environment, don't they? Ok, they
> may be a bit extreme, but not as extreme as some in
> the environmental movement.
A bit extreme? They are either a surreal joke or complete nutters and so far out of the fringes of kookdom that I can't believe you have referenced them in a serious discussion as if they represented anything but themselves... straw man no.1
>
> How about the animal rights activist
> [url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/staffordshire/
> 754291.stm] Jon Ablewhite [/url] who thought it was
> perfectly fine to dig up and interfere with the dead
> corpse of Gladys Hammond - for what? All in the name
> of the rights of guinea pigs who have no voice? Such
> eco-worriers have a degraded view of humanity.
I am sorry, but what so animal rights extremists have to do with the mainstream environmental movement? Or even the environmental movement more generally? In fact I don't think you'll find any sane person who'd support this...
Straw Man No.2.
> The proposition that there are too many people on the
> Earth is a stance made from the point of view of
> little in the way of hard evidence, yet we hear it
> all the time.
So, let's start from first principles then. What is your basic problem with this idea? Do you think there can never be (either empirically or morally) any limits on human numbers or human consumption at all? What's the basis for this assertion - come on, let's have a real discussion, rather than this pale rhetoric...
> Long after Thomas
> Malthus ideas have been redundant and discredited,
> neo-Malthusians like Stern and Sachs are
> regurgitating the same old myths with next to nothing
> in the shape of real evidence to substantiate such
> claims.
Malthus had his own agenda (which was largely shaped by an obsession with sex and how to prevent it)... but your claims seem equally empty here. This is all rhetoric. If you are complaining about a lack of evidence, where's yours?
> David Miliband
Hardly an environmentalist of any kind - he's a Labour Party minister... you are really struggling here.
Straw Man No.3.
> When it comes to people and numbers, environmentalist
> can only imagine one type of arithmetic - minus. For
> them, inanimate objects have acquired far more
> importance than even life or death struggles like
> war. War, as a human problem is relegated to second
> place - trees, oceans, mountains and deserts have
> more intrinsic value.
That is exactly the kind of silly rant of which I was complaining.
Where's the content? For example, here's the evidence that environmentalists don't think war is important - I think you'll find that the environment and peace movements have always been deeply inter-related, and that one of the main reasons why resource issues are of such concern is that they generate conflict.
You are just huffing and puffing at your own straw men. If you want some serious discussion, you'll have to do better and start taking your own advice by providing some serious evidence, or at least be prepared to put the bases of your own beliefs upfront for discussion with the same support you expect from others. Believe it or not, you cannot assume that yours is not the default or 'common sense' position...
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
I would be very interested to see how Iljay and others can spin this one.
Actually the guys from www.climateaudit.org, the same bunch that destroyed the Hockey Stick, have already done a pretty good job on this one. So I am not going to bother.
I particularly like: Climate scientists didn't bother checking the Hockey Stick, but they are showing great diligence in going through The Great Global Warming Swindle.
The same scientists didn't speak out much about Al Gore's sci-fi project Inconvenient Truth when he exaggerated sea level rises by about a factor of 20 or failed to mention that ice core records show that temperatures increases first and CO2 levels follow.
Carl Wunsch didn't complain that anything he said was misrepresented, he complained that the film doesn't match his stance on the GW issue. Big difference.
Dave, if you want to get petty and talk about credibility of the film, be my guest. But I will just ask again, how in this light should we view UN's endorsement of the Hockey Stick graph without actually checking it.
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1513#more-1513
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> Dave, if you want to get petty and talk about
> credibility of the film, be my guest.
It's hardly petty in the context of this thread! What else woudl you want a thread entitled 'The Great Global Warming Swindle' to be about?
> But I will just
> ask again, how in this light should we view UN's
> endorsement of the Hockey Stick graph without
> actually checking it.
>
> http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1513#more-1513
Perhaps you should check some real climate scientists on the myths and realities of the hockey stick graph first:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/myths-vs-fact-regarding-the-hockey-stickquot/
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
Dave, realclimate.org was actually set up by Mann and Co. to defend the hockey stick. There is no question in anyone's mind about the objectivity of the site. The term "real climate scientists" comes from the Real Climate's own blurb. There are plenty of other "real climate scientists" that have different opinions. Take Richard Lindzen from MIT for example:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17997788/site/newsweek/
US National Academy of Sciences have looked into the Hockey Stick controversy and concluded that climate reconstructions are unreliable for the period before 1600. This means that it can only be claimed with certainty that the current decade is the hottest in 400 years. Not a difficult feat knowing that the Earth went through the Little Ice Age during the same period. Of course it should be warmer!
Wegman report was even stronger in its criticism of Hockey Stick. The summary of the controversy is here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy
Quite tellingly, Hockey Stick graph is missing from the IPCC's 2007 report.
Hans von Storch has recently published his critique of Hockey Stick in "Science" (you know, the "real science journal" "real scientists" read):
http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback/2007/05/the_decay_of_the_hockey_stick.html
Re: The Great Global Warming Swindle
> The term "real climate scientists" comes from the
> Real Climate's own blurb.
Um, that's just what I called them, I didn't take it from their blurb, so that is pure coincidence.
> There are plenty of other
> "real climate scientists" that have different
> opinions. Take Richard Lindzen from MIT for example:
> http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17997788/site/newsweek/
Ah yes, the trump card for deniers. However he's one significant voice, amongst many many others who support the IPCC. You seem to think I don't know any of this...
And now you trust the IPCC report, when you don't in any other circumstances?
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