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# They are pro-refrom, but won't vote
- URL: https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/18508/
- Published: 2005-06-09T10:06:30.000Z
- Updated: 2019-02-14T22:33:36.000Z
- Author: openDemocracy Supporters
- Tags: #en, #Migrated, #Import 2026-04-09 18:15

Iranian Students Polling Agency (ISPA) has published "some interesting poll results":http://www.ispa.ir/MorePage.aspx?tName=ANews1&pType=ANInXML&Id=35 which could be the least biased among the ones made public, especially comparing to the campaign polls that are simply unreliable.

\*Among the most likely voters\* Karrubi: 7.2% Moin: 9.7% Rafsajani: 37.3% Larijani: 8.3% Qalibaf: 17.6% Mehralizadeh: 3.0% Ahmadi Nejad: 4.6% Rezaie:3.0% *Undecided: 7.6% Don't vote: 1.8%*

\*Among the entire sample\* Karrubi: 6.3% Moin: 11.6% Rafsajani: 31.4% Larijani: 7.5% Qalibaf: 15.9% Mehralizadeh: 2.9% Ahmadi Nejad: 4.2% Rezaie: 2.8% *Undecided: 6.7% Don't vote: 10.7%*

It's interesting that Moin is the only candidate whose vote increases (by almost 3%) when it comes to those who are less likely to vote. In the same situation, Rafsanjani and Qalibaf would lose most (by almost 6% and 3%.)

This is why a low turnout only harms Moin and is to Rafsanjani and Qalibaf's advantage.

How do you interpret the results? Please use the comments section.