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# 3 reasons they won't attack Iran
- URL: https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/18575/
- Published: 2006-02-09T13:02:25.000Z
- Updated: 2019-02-14T22:34:47.000Z
- Author: openDemocracy Supporters
- Tags: #en, #Migrated, #Import 2026-04-09 18:15

The ‘will they/ won’t they strike Iran’ debate is necessarily taking into account the Iraq debacle. Norman Solomon addresses the main arguments against the likelihood of military action in his article ‘[The Iran Crisis: "Diplomacy" as a Launch Pad for Missiles](http://www.guerrillanews.com/articles/2092/The%5FIran%5FCrisis%5FDiplomacy%5Fas%5Fa%5FLaunch%5FPad%5Ffor%5FMissiles?ref=opendemocracy.net).’ If you hold any of the following views it is worth considering his refutations:

Illusion #1: With the U.S. military bogged down in Iraq, the Pentagon is in no position to take on Iran.

Illusion #2: The Bush administration is in so much political trouble at home – for reasons including its lies about Iraqi WMDs – that it wouldn’t risk an uproar from an attack on Iran.

Illusion #3: The U.S. won’t attack Iran because that would infuriate the millions of Iran-allied Shiites in Iraq, greatly damaging the U.S. war effort there.

Also check the [bottom of the article](http://www.guerrillanews.com/articles/2092/The%5FIran%5FCrisis%5FDiplomacy%5Fas%5Fa%5FLaunch%5FPad%5Ffor%5FMissiles?ref=opendemocracy.net) for evidence the [Iranian Oil Bourse](http://www.energybulletin.net/12125.html?ref=opendemocracy.net) debate is still raging.