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How much power does President Poroshenko want?

President Poroshenko has asked for increased presidential powers, which are the opposite of what the Euromaidan protests were about.

 

Serhiy Kudelia
17 July 2014

The weakening of excessive presidential powers was one of the key demands of Euromaidan protesters; and the centrepiece of the opposition’s deal with Yanukovych signed in late February.

The semi-presidential system reinstated after the ousting of Yanukovych, revived the Ukrainian parliament’s power to form the government; and left the president with limited influence over the executive branch. Still, given the flaws of the 2004 Constitution, most political actors agreed on the need to adopt a new constitutional text.

The main objectives of further constitutional amendments were to: (1) delineate the powers of the president and prime minister more clearly, in order to avoid future intra-executive conflicts; and (2) expand the powers of local government, and limit the veto power of central authorities over local decision making.

Although the Rada (parliament) formed a special commission to draft the new constitutional amendments, the newly elected president was expected to take the initiative and introduce his own draft.

Poroshenko’s proposals

In his election programme, Petro Poroshenko pledged to maintain a parliamentary-presidential structure, pursue decentralisation, and avoid seeking additional powers for the president. However, the draft of his proposed constitutional changes, which he presented to the Rada on July 3, shows exactly the opposite.

If adopted, Poroshenko’s amendments will strengthen the President’s leverage over the government.

If adopted, Poroshenko’s amendments will strengthen the president’s leverage over the government, the parliament, and local councils, while putting him outside of external institutional control. 

Enhanced Coercive Powers

Control over the ‘coercive’ agencies has been used by all of Poroshenko’s predecessors to exercise informal control over the ‘power vertical,’ to prevent defection, and enforce compliance. However, the current hybrid system requires the parliament’s approval for the appointment and dismissal of the prosecutor peneral and the head of the security service (SBU). As a result, for most of his presidency, Viktor Yushchenko had to compromise with the parliamentary majority to name the country’s chief prosecutor; and he had difficulties getting his candidate for the SBU through the parliament. Lacking effective coercive powers, Yushchenko had major difficulties imposing his will on other parts of the state apparatus.

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Poroshenko's proposals would give him enhanced coercive controls. Photo CC: Facebook

Poroshenko’s proposal gives the president exclusive dismissal powers regarding these two positions, thus more strongly subordinating them to the head of state. In addition, the President wants to gain an exclusive dismissal power over a new coercive agency, the State Bureau of Investigations, which is supposed to fight political corruption among state officials and the political elite. The draft law establishing this bureau is still under the parliament’s review.

By controlling this new coercive triad, Poroshenko would gain extensive ‘blackmail’ powers over government officials at all levels.

By controlling this new coercive triad, Poroshenko would gain extensive ‘blackmail’ powers over government officials at all levels as well as new levers of influence over his political opponents. His oversight powers will be further enhanced through direct control of all the regulatory bodies, which are currently subordinated to the parliament.

The proposed changes would give the president the single-handed power to appoint and dismiss the heads of the anti-monopoly committee, the national commissions for securities and stocks, and broadcasting. This will, in effect, weaken the parliament’s oversight powers, and give the president additional influence over the government’s economic policies.

Concentration of power over all coercive agencies leaves the president himself seemingly immune to outside control and, in effect, turns him into the national prosecutor-in-chief.

While the President’s constitutional draft amendments gives the prime minister the power to pick candidates to head the foreign and defence ministries, with both subject to the president’s subsequent approval, this seems more like a symbolic concession in exchange for enhanced coercive capacity.  

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Concentration of power over all coercive agencies seemingly leaves Poroshenko immune to outside control. Photo CC: Facebook

Fake Decentralisation

Poroshenko’s proposed constitutional modifications also change the structure of local government by eliminating regional administrations, subordinating them to the president; and introducing the institution of presidential regional representatives.

The functions of state administrations would now be transferred to the executive bodies formed by a popularly elected regional council, led by the council’s chairman. At the same time, the president will gain additional powers over local government through his representatives in the regions.

Presidential representatives would not only have oversight powers, but also ‘coordinate local territorial bodies of central executive agencies,’ which automatically would give them influence over the management of state assets and distribution of state funds.

Strangely, the government will have no sway over the representatives who control its own local agencies – they will be appointed, dismissed, and remain accountable solely to the president. In addition, they can also suspend any decision of the regional council they deem unconstitutional, and submit it for review to the Constitutional Court. If this court agrees with their judgment, the president can disband any regional council by personal decree – a power that none of the previous Ukrainian presidents ever had.

Given the continued politicisation of Ukraine’s judiciary system, the president could, in effect, block any of the local council’s decisions he disagrees with; and ‘blackmail’ it into submission by threatening dissolution.

Poroshenko’s constitutional proposal, hence, limits the local government’s capacity for independent decision-making.

Poroshenko’s constitutional proposal, hence, limits the local government’s capacity for independent decision-making, which contradicts the very principle of decentralisation that he advocated throughout his election campaign.

Additional leverage

The President’s proposed changes also maintain some of the constitutional provisions that often resulted in the paralysis of central decision making under Yushchenko. The most important of these is the president’s power to suspend government resolutions, for being unconstitutional, which Yushchenko used in order to block many of the government’s appointments or economic policies that went against his personal interests.

Since it usually took months for the Constitutional Court to review some of the suspended resolutions, this gave the President additional leverage to force the government to take his preferences into account. By combining it with enhanced coercive capacity, Poroshenko will further strengthen his informal control over the Cabinet.

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Increased presidential powers are the opposite of what the Euromaidan protests were about. Photo CC: Nessa Gnatoush

At the same time, Poroshenko’s constitutional draft offers no new outside checks over the presidency. It keeps the same convoluted procedure of presidential impeachment, which Kuchma devised in 1995 to make himself immune from the threats of the parliament. It also subordinates key investigative bodies to the president, which precludes the possibility that he and his administration would be appropriately controlled by any of the law-enforcement agencies. Finally, it allows the president to form a loyal majority in the Rada by eliminating the norm that only factions rather than individual MPs can form the new parliamentary majority.

Prospects

The prospects for Poroshenko’s bill, which would ultimately require the support of two-thirds of the Rada, are unclear. Two of the pro-government factions - Bat’kivshchyna and Svoboda – strongly criticized the draft, and promised to offer an alternative. Only the factions of UDAR and Party of Regions offered their tentative support – hardly sufficient to have the draft approved even with a simple majority.

Unless Poroshenko drops his demands for expanded presidential powers, and agrees to genuine decentralization, his draft is likely to suffer the fate of so many constitutional proposals submitted by his predecessors.

This policy blog was originally published by PONARS (www.ponarseurasia.org) on 7 July 2014

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