I enjoyed the Liberal Conspiracy bloggers summit on Saturday and its useful and interesting contacts. Sunny called it blognation, and as he has just outed himself in the Guardian as "English not British" we know what nation that is - and all the better for it. (There was an intense break-out session on the London mayor, for example, but not one on the dramatic developments in Scotland.)
Jim Jepps has reported on the discussion of what to do about the cuts. What made it interesting was the combination of core Labour, Social Lib Dems and independent radicals [apologies, and Greens, see comments], all in the same space testing arguments in a spirit of collaboration without trying to agree a line. Its vital to create and grow this kind of space (and hard work).
- The boundary and constituency changes go through, the AV referendum is defeated, the Lib Dems are carved up, the Conservatives despite the budget successfully rebrand their image as caring and competent-in-hard-times, and win outright, if narrowly, as Labour retains its media image as incompetent, untrustworthy and threatening
- Ditto, but the AV referendum is won and the Lib Dems retain their 60 odd seats, in which case Labour will need to govern in coalition with them. (And the Lib Dems will want this too, a second coalition with the Tories will surely see them divided and absorbed.)
- Ditto, but the economy does so badly that Labour wins outright and we start all over again.
It was fascinating to watch the first exchanges I've seen that were not of a ya-boo kind between Labour and Lib Dems, with this five year prospect in mind.