Peter Kimani, " Goodbye, Mr Big Man!" (9 January 2003)
Wanyama Masinde, "A fruitless referendum" (21 November 2005)
Charles Onyango-Obbo, "Kenya after Mwai Kibaki” (20 February 2006)
Peter Kimani, “Kenya's voices of discontent" (26 March 2007)
Until this disputed election and its aftermath, the former British colony had been able to avoid the miserable record of debt, disease and man-made disaster that has scarred much of post-independence Africa.
For the outside world, Kenya is the acceptable face of Africa: a safe destination for a million tourists a year from Europe, Asia and north America to the country of surf and safari; a reliable base, in a tough neighbourhood, for a burgeoning aid industry; regional headquarters for the United Nations; and a country whose military pacts with the UN and Britain have made it a key ally in the “war on terror”.
Now, Kenya is in the grip of a crisis which the “international community” is belatedly attempting to resolve. The events since the election have dealt a severe blow to the belief of foreign investors that the continent has turned the corner, and is on the path to economic recovery.
Democracy’s handicap
The poll should have marked a rare event in Africa - the peaceful removal of an incumbent civilian president through the ballot-box. Instead voters' anger at the claim of Mwai Kibaki that he won a second term - which was made possible almost certainly by electoral rigging - turned to looting across the country, particularly in the western heartlands of Kibaki's chief rival (and former ally) Raila Odinga.
It is a nightmare dominated by the spectres that have corroded or destroyed so many of the continent's states: tribalism, corruption and incompetent management. These have created a generation of Africans let down by its leaders and left without hope. Is this now to be Kenya's fate?
When Mwai Kibaki swept into power in 2002, he was regarded not primarily as a member of Kenya's largest tribe, the Kikuyu; but as a reformer at the head of a coalition which promised clean government and a break from the practices of his predecessor, Daniel arap Moi.
Michael Holman was Africa
editor of the Financial Times, 1984-2002. He is the author of the novels Last
Orders at Harrods: An African Tale (Polygon, 2005; republished by Abacus, 2007)
and the sequel, Fatboy
and the Dancing Ladies (Polygon, 2007)
Also by Michael Holman in openDemocracy:
Welcome
to the aid business! (20 June 2005)
Africa:
celebrity and salvation " (22 October 2006)
"Trees for Africa "
(18 December 2006)
"Eugène Marais, The Soul of the White Ant"(19 February 2007)
Dizzy worms in
Zimbabwe , (19 March 2007)
The Commonwealth: punching
below weight , (3 December 2007)
African legacies:
settler-colonialism, land-politics, (11 December 2007)
Barely a year later, the man appointed by Kibaki to lead the campaign against graft - John Githongo, himself a Kikuyu - went into self-imposed exile in London. The president and his cabinet, far from tackling sleaze, allegedly initiated a further series of scams. Over the next three years, the coalition fell out and fell apart. Raila Odinga, a member of Kenya's third largest tribe, the Luo - broke away to pursue his long held presidential ambition.
But to see the crisis only in terms of tribe and corruption is to miss a vital element in the Kenyan picture.
Today, over forty-three years after independence in 1963, nearly 55% of Kenyans are subsisting on a couple of dollars a day. Annual GDP growth under Kibaki may have reached 6%, but the gap between the haves and have-nots has widened. The number of unemployed and of landless is increasing. For these people, there is nothing to lose by taking to the streets, driven by frustration and fury that transcends their tribe.
For Kenya's western allies, a crisis confronts them: Kenya has been treated like Zaire (now the Democratic Republic of Congo) during the cold war - allowed to get away with its abuse of good governance, because of its perceived role in the "war on terror" (see Paul Rogers, "The United States and Africa: eyes on the prize", 15 March 2007). The cynical attitude that has dominated the first years of this century - if you're not for us, you are against us - has had ramifications beyond the geopolitical and military fields: if you are for us, you also get special treatment from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which also lean over backwards to accommodate an ally's needs.
The west's hard questions
The election of 27 December 2007 and its messy, bloody fallout suggests that Kenya may have embarked on a process which could well see it become "just another African country".
But this is only half the story.
When a catastrophe like Kenya occurs, the question is almost immediately posed in Europe: what can "we" do to put the affected country to rights? Even to ask this question is revealing, for it assumes that there is - or should be - something that Europeans should or can be doing. In fact, there is very little apart from applying rhetorical pressure that we can do; but even such pressure will be meaningless in the longer term unless it is accompanied by critical self-questioning among Kenya's foreign donors.
There are at least six such questions that the turmoil in Kenya should prompt:
* why was so little done by the donors when John Githongo exposed corruption at the highest levels of government?
* why did the World Bank and the IMF continue to do business with a corrupt regime?
* why was the United Kingdom's leading aid agency, the department for international development (Dfid), not challenged when it claimed that the British government's development assistance - which increased to $50 million in 2005-06 - could be effective in a corrupt environment?
* why has the overall aid record to Kenya ($16 billion in official aid alone) been so poor in terms of its results?
* should there be a clearer linkage between aid and good governance, and what should the conditions look like?
* is the relationship between Britain and Kenya any healthier than the relationship between the United States and Zaire in the era of the corrupt dictator Mobutu Sese-Soko?
As Kenya's tragedy unfolds, those in the wider world who claim to be seeking solutions must examine the decisions that have helped lead the country to this point.













AMOSN81 said:
Tue, 2008-04-08 05:17
Can Mr. President tell me what he his doing? Can Mr. Raila speak out on behalf of all the Kenyans. Can the MPS do their chores. How long can we see this? I know that this two man are not suffering. I know that they eat nice hotels and have the best security you can imagine.
Who is there to protect the meek, innocent and old, the young and the weak? Who can protect us from Gov't Mungiki? Who are driving nice cars with big houses, who have shipped their kids to foreign countries.
We are too greed and have a lot of lust for power.' Tribal violence', 'genocide' and comparisons with Rwanda in 1994 characterized the early international media coverage of the post-election crisis in Kenya at the beginning of 2008. Such sensationalist reporting was not only analytically unhelpful - it was also irresponsibly dangerous. Kenya is not Rwanda, nor is it the metaphor for irrational, barbaric' 'primordial' African violence that the Western psyche seems to have an insatiable need for. Kenya must be understood on its own terms.
As the Kenya Human Rights Commission has bravely borne witness to in its work, elections in 1992, 1997, 2002 and the 2005 referendum vote have all been accompanied by political violence (1). For example, in the aftermath of the 1992 elections, Africa Watch's report noted: 'President Daniel arap Moi of Kenya confidently predicted that the return of his country to a multiparty system would result in an outbreak of tribal violence that would destroy the nation. His prediction has been alarmingly fulfilled. One of the most disturbing developments in Kenya over the last two years has been the eruption of violent clashes between different ethnic groups… So far, Africa Watch estimates that the clashes have left at least 1,500 people dead and 300,000 displaced.'
Political violence is not new to Kenya and those in power have always used ethnicity to maintain their position. The modern state of Kenya was built on colonial force and the political manipulation of ethnic identity. At the height of colonialism, ethnic organizations were actively encouraged to counter a national consciousness and all national organizations', except for religious institutions, were banned . Hence it was 'natural' to portray the country's bloody independence struggle as atavistic. Kenya's history is crammed full of examples of British colonialism's tried and tested strategy of divide and rule. But it is important to remember that when the Kenyan electorate were finally free to vote at independence in 1963, they elected the Kenyan African National Union (KANU), with its nationalist vision, and not the ethnically-based federalism of the Kenya African Democratic Union (KADU), the departing colonial administration's preference.
Post-independence politics in many African countries has been characterized by what Africa experts describes as 'the dependence of the African petty bourgeoisie on access to the state and its resources. In the context of underdevelopment, local accumulation rests heavily on political power and the ability it provides to appropriate public resources.' He continues: 'The problem is how to find a niche somewhere between underdevelopment and the domination exercised over the local economy by foreign capital… Ruling elites learn that gate-keeping functions (trade licenses, contracts, foreign exchange) bring huge rewards (far greater and with far fewer costs than legitimate business).'
It is not only accumulation that is dependent on access to the state but also political support. Via the mechanism of clientalism, those in public office can distribute development projects and more clandestine resources in return for loyalty and votes .
Both these processes have been 'ethicized'. Kenya's first president, Jomo Kenyatta, set the ball rolling from independence in 1963, and spent 15 years installing Kikuyu hegemony until Daniel arap Moi replaced him in 1978. For the next 24 years, Moi attempted to dismantle this hegemony and create networks of economic and political power based on ethnic Kalenjis, until Mwai Kibaki, a Kikuyu, became president in 2002. In the 45 years of Kenya's independence, other large ethnic groupings have been economically and politically marginalized. This has been particularly true for the Luo, the ethnic group that Raila Odinga, Kibaki's recent election opponent, comes from. It is important to note that although politics has been deliberately ethicized, from above, many Kenyans have actively opposed this from below, right from the colonial era through to the present.
Such a political system, at key flashpoints such as elections, produces both cynically organized violence and the righteous indignation of an aggrieved citizenry. First, there is the immediate widespread fury of voters that the exercise of their democratic right was not taken seriously, but instead was merely a plaything in the hands of those in power. Why vote? Why believe in democracy? Second, there is anger at an even deeper level. For some, these elections represented a potential break with the corrupted political system, a rejection of ethnically entrenched politics and the possibility of a completely different way of doing politics. It is a slim hope, but a hope that many felt. Third, there is the despair that the same communities are losing out yet again: 50 years of independence, 50 years of exclusion. These are some of the motivations that lied behind the peaceful protests and the depth of anger and desolation is represented by those interviewed who said that they were willing to die.
The cynically organized violence comes in two forms, the formal and the informal. Police were firing live shots into the crowds of protesters, including those who were unarmed. The informal violence, including road blocks and their ethnically targeted intimidation, is carried out by vigilante groups, some with connections to local and national politicians, in government and in opposition. Observers have warned about the rise of vigilantism as a form of political violence, and now we see tragically why.
As the popular East African proverb notes, when two elephants fight it is the grass that suffers. Kibaki has used the full force of the state in the shape of live ammunition, water cannon and tear gas while Odinga has relied for his show of strength on supporters to come out on to the streets as cannon fodder. Both are seasoned politicians; indeed, Odinga was Kibaki's kingmaker. Referring to the above proverb, Peter Kimani grimly notes: 'But if all the grass is destroyed, the sage should have added, there will be no grass left for the elephants to feed on.'
It is the everyday heroic and pragmatic humanism of ordinary Kenyans, wananchi, which has acted as a countervailing force throughout Kenya's history to the powder keg of politically manipulated ethnicity. As Ngugi wa Thiong'o reminds us, there are only two tribes in Kenya: the haves and the have-nots . Kenya and Kenyan lives are in a precarious position, balanced between the politics of what Colin Leys, drawing on Rosa Luxemburg, calls 'capitalism-produced barbarism' and the nation’s reservoir of humanity.
It is critical that we understand and accurately interpret the causes of Kenya’s political violence, provide comfort to its victims and support those inside and outside the country struggling to change the politics of underdevelopment. Challenging the racist discourse of 'African violence' behind the sensationalist international reporting is part of that process.
By Nyakundi Amos