Catherine Reilly continues her coverage of the Irish referendum on the Lisbon Treaty. You can read the rest of the series here, here,here, here, here, here, here and here.
Catherine Reilly (Dublin, Metro Éireann): Let me preface this post by saying that I am notorious for my predictions – a sad fact that I neglected to mention in my previous entry. From high-profile murder trials to important and not-so-important football matches, I make the wrong call time and time again (though I did correctly predict a fall in Ireland’s house prices some time ago – golden star for me, misery for thousands of homeowners).
Anyway, to labour the point, I’m not a betting woman, unlike our former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern.
Now it looks like I’ve completely called it wrong again when I predicted in yesterday’s entry that Ireland’s undecided voters would vote Yes. It seems that being told what to do, in relation to something you don’t understand, just hasn’t washed with Ireland’s voting public (or the half that bothered to vote). This became clear last night at the voting booths, which saw a late surge in my locality, and was further apparent during Mark Mardell’s unintentionally amusing report from Dublin during last night’s BBC One news. He said one woman told him that she had still not made up her mind as she stood at the voting booth, her pencil ‘hovering over the ballot paper’. Another person told Mardell they ‘hadn’t got a clue’ what the treaty was all about. Fair play to Mardell, he caught the mood superbly during his unintentionally hilarious report.
I really believed that fear would push undecided voters to vote a particular way – but it seems that complete puzzlement and an old fashioned Irish resistance to being told what to do, has won out. People are going on about the high working class No vote, but prior to voting, I caught the opinion of people of a variety of backgrounds, and it was diverse. It is difficult to pinpoint why people voted as they did. Confusion? The economy? A loss of faith in politicians? Lack of relationship with EU structures? Immigration? Maybe a touch of all of the above, although I am unsure about the proportionality.
This is a truly crushing blow for Ireland’s recently installed Taoiseach Brian Cowen, as it is for all those who have spent painstaking hours negotiating the Lisbon Treaty. But I don’t believe Europe can afford to dwell on the negatives of this result. With the gap between Eurocrats and ordinary European citizens as wide as it is, it is only a wonder that it has taken this long for the powers-that-be to receive such an almighty slap in the face.
For comedy value, it’s pretty good.




Comments
So they are blaming the 'working class'. Very interesting. Further proof that democracy is unsafe in the hands of the people? I suspect the heart of it is that the leaders of the EU do not want to be clear about what they are doing. They might have won in Ireland had they been. But then perhaps the French and Germans would not have liked it! To ask people to support something that is important, even threatening but unclear is, well, asking for a 'no'.
The Irish might have said 'No' but it wont make a bugger of a difference. It never has to date, so why will it now ? The European Political Class (our own included) have never been honest about their vain glorious 'European Project'. The people don't trust them and don't want it. In the end the political elite believe they are achieving 'ever closer union', whereas they are merely laying the foundations for war. Everyone with half an interested in democracy should oppose this half baked and ultimately wicked project.
"It is difficult to pinpoint why people voted as they did. Confusion?
The economy? A loss of faith in politicians? Lack of relationship with
EU structures? Immigration?"
How about, the people just don't like where the EU appears to be going and (rightly) distrust the politicians who are trying to put something past them without explaining the full implications (hence not informing them adequately)? The EU project as it currently stands is at fault, not the people who've rejected it.
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