Why we need a third runway at Heathrow

Subjects:
Suzy Dean (Modern Movement): The Heathrow expansion project, which will see a new 7,200ft runway built and support a new terminal capable of handling 35 million passengers per year, is about to be seriously debated. This Thursday both Campaign against Climate Change (CaCC) and Modern Movement will be demonstrating outside Parliament. While CaCC will continue to make a case for abandoning plans to build a third runway at Heathrow, Modern Movement, a new organisation set up which campaigns for greater mobility, will be supporting the expansion. 

The campaign to stop the building of the third runway is a curious one - chiefly because the focus on air travel as a source of climate change is disproportionate to the impact that it actually has. If international experts are to be believed, by 2050 aviation will be responsible for 5% of total global warming, a small percentage and certainly not one that justifies the prevention of the third runway which will make millions of journeys faster and more pleasant every year. Indeed, a third runway could even be justified on environmental grounds: namely, that the existing two runways running at near-capacity force planes to circle for longer overhead while they await a landing berth (Even top climate scientist and advocate for carbon-reduction James Hansen admitted as much to the Observer, before then retracting. See here)

Despite the low impact that flying has on the environment, a large number of politicians, unions and airlines are defensive about the third runway. Both opposition parties and 28 of Brown's own cabinet voted against the third runway which won with a majority of just 19 votes. New aviation limits including new emissions targets, a commitment that only the cleanest planes can use the new flight slots and a cap on the initial number of flights that will be allowed have been welcomed. Geoff Hoon remarked that ‘taken together this gives us the toughest climate change regime for aviation of any country in the world. Colin Matthews, BAA chief executive, even commented that ‘a third runway will only go ahead if strict environmental limits are met.'

Despite the shaky evidence and low level of assumed environmental damage of aviation, politicians seem more eager to please environmentalists than ordinary people. There seems to be a discrepancy between people's appetites for flying and politicians attitudes towards aviation. Given that the number of UK airline passengers expected to fly between now and 2020 is expected to double, and millions of people vote with their feet by flying each year, one would expect politicians to be more in favour of the third runway development which will make travel even easier for the masses. However, the new green etiquette which has permeated nearly all aspects of our lives from the way we run our homes (recycling) to the way we are encouraged to shop (ethically, locally sourced) has made many politicians as well as the public feel guilty for questioning the prioritisation of the environment over people. The British Social Attitudes Survey found that 63% of those surveyed thought people should be able to travel by airplane ‘as much as they like' which fell to 19% when they were asked the same question with the extra words ‘even if it harms the environment." Rather than evincing a strong support for environmental priorities - that is, carbon-reduction - we can also take the survey to indicate a strong compulsion to go along with green ideas, to toe the accepted public line, even if they contradict people's own subjective aspirations. 

Many critics of the third runway argue for less flying, to adapt to our current infrastructure, or even reduce absolutely the number of flights, than for cleaner flying. Ian Godden, Society of British Aerospace Companies commented that aircraft is now 75% quieter than they were 30 years ago as well as 70% more fuel efficient than 50 years ago. With this in mind, it seems to make more sense that environmentalists, much as do Modern Movement, support investment and innovation in cleaner transport, arguing for better technology over restrictions on people. This is not just for the benefit of UK citizens, but those in developing countries such as China and India whose right to travel has already been questioned by environmentalists, such as Zac Goldsmith, who has previously commented that ‘the earth cannot sustain the process of third world countries catching up with us'. What would be seen as a historically progressive development - the Chinese taking to cars and planes en masse - is only a nightmare for environmentalists like Goldsmith.

Aside from the fact that building the third runway is supposed to create 60,000 jobs, and have a generally positive impact on the stagnant UK economy, we should support the third runway because the forecasted damage to the environment is low yet the social benefit is high. The social benefits of flying; the opportunity to experience new countries, develop relationships abroad and take breaks in new places has been, wrongly, reduced to carbon counting. Rather than measuring and controlling the use of infrastructure that we have we should build and develop what we have in line with what people need, focusing on innovation rather than restriction. Being well-travelled was once a virtue and an aspiration, like being well-read. We should embrace the fact that it has become a necessary part of the modern lifestyle and stand up to the shrill cries of a green minority which has up till now dominated debate. All those in favour of meeting people's needs and aspirations should join Modern Movement on Thursday 19th February, 5.30PM, Parliament Square. See http://www.modernmovement.org.ukfor more details.
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Comments

englishrob (not verified)
17 February 2009 - 4:48pm

What Mr Matthews fails to acknowledge is that BAA are dragging their heels at LHR and not helping the local residents.
Many people need to move on with their lives and cannot until BAA start buying properties in the blighted area, something they have been doing for some time at Stansted. I have already spent the last 18 months sleeping on an airbed in my living room because of an addition to the family and lack of space and yet despite BAA needing my property for the expansion, they won't buy it yet.
BAA should be ashamed at the way they have conducted themselves with total disregard to all affected in this blighted area.

Al Shaw (not verified)
17 February 2009 - 10:38pm

Wow.

Here's why I strongly disagree:

1. The focus on air travel is "disproportionate to the impact it [air travel] actually has." No, the focus on air travel is woefully inadequate in light of the current ecological crisis which, it must be clearly understood, is disproportionately affecting the world's poorest right now. The urgent need is for much greater action by millions of citizens around the world to to combat air travel now, while at the same time addressing the issues of cars, energy production, housing, construction and waste management. The focus at present is nowhere near strong enough, in my opinion.

2. "Strict environmental limits" are easy to promise and notoriously difficult to enforce. Frankly, I don't believe that BAA will adhere to them. And the phrase "clean planes" is nothing more than blatant greenwashing.

3. "the new green etiquette... has made many politicians as well as the public feel guilty for questioning the prioritisation of the environment over people." I regard this as a false dichotomy. The destruction of the physical environment is a profoundly human problem.

When between 20 million (conservative estimate by IPCC) and 140 million (top range estimate by NASA Goddard) Bangladeshis are forced to relocate over the coming decades because of sea level rises in their native country, the good people of this island will certainly know about it. And this is just one of the areas of the world that will continue to be dramatically affected by climate change. In light of these realities the public's "strong compulsion to go along with green ideas" evidenced by the BSA Survey is a welcome piece of news. Long may it continue and deepen.

4. Increased technological developments to make all forms of travel cleaner are, of course, to be welcomed. But in light of the seriousness of the issue - the polar ice caps are melting more quickly than was believed even five years ago - we cannot afford to allow commercial or market forces alone to determine the amount of greenhouse gases that are emitted. Robust and binding national and international limits are also needed.

5. The final paragraph confuses travel with flying. The two are not synonymous. There are ways of travelling that, while slower, are less damaging in their impact on the planet. Furthermore, we do well to pause and consider that the phenomenon of cheap air travel is a comparatively novel aspect of the human story. It is not an absolute right and like all activities should be evaluated on its own merits. The fact is that, along with a wide range of human activities, it is unsustainable if we are hoping to have a planet worth travelling around 100 years from now.

padav
18 February 2009 - 12:25pm

Suzy

I am interested only in making the best decision for everyone impacted upon (negatively or positively) by this proposed infrastructure project.

I start from the premise; do we actually need the runway at all

The answer to this question, from proponents of the project, is of course - yes the existing runways are running at capacity, causing "stacking" of aircraft and unnecessary additional emissions.

This is a reasonable response, until one adds in other factors:

Firstly, everyone involved accepts that the 3rd runway (if built) will not begin operating until at least 2020. This gives a minimum 12 year window for other alternatives to be considered and implemented.

The most obvious credible alternative is High-Speed Rail. This also has a relatively long timescale involved to implement so let's assume they could be both up and running at about the same time.

This leads us to consider what proportion of current and projected (say for the next 30 years) flights utilising the existing runways are bound for destinations that might reasonably be replaced by a high-speed rail alternative.

Now this is where the debate becomes complex because that information, surely vital to an objective decison making process, is simply not available in the public domain. I know because I tried to obtain it and have drawn a complete blank (at least to date)

Let's consider what an alternative high-speed rail network might look like, if it was pursued with vigour and in a coordinated manner (by authorities across the whole of Europe) during the next 10-15 year timeframe.

I don't believe it would be unreasonable to expect that most major conurbations (say 1 million or more inhabitants) could be directly linked into a high-speed rail network facilitating seamless intra-European rail bound mass transport solutions.

So one might, for example, be able to board a train leaving Mancheseter early in the morning, change at Lille Europe, board another train, change at Marseille, board another train and alight at Barcelona all within the same day over a 12 hour period, using the same ticket throughout and never having to touch your luggage until you actually arrive at your final (railway station) destination. In this manner a credible commercial alternative to airborne transport links might arise.

This hypothetical scenario brings us back to the seminal role played by information in the debate. If such an alternative transport infrastructure was possible it would replace flights, to and from a 3rd Heathrow runway, travelling to and from destinations within a certain distance. For the purposes of this comparison let's set that threshold at 1500km.

The sad fact is that when you go looking for information like this, it simply isn't available in the public domain - why not? Surely those who advocate building the 3rd runway are not afraid to confront sceptics like me who believe the runway is not required. If the percentage of flights using the existing Heathrow runways for destinations >1500km is >75%, then those advocating the 3rd runway have a compelling case. If the figure actually turns out to be more like 25%, the case against the 3rd runway is similarly overwhelming, because instead of the runway, govts across Europe should be coordinating their efforts to construct the kind of integrated railborne alternative I have described above.

Is your organisation committed to researching and publishing this vital information, required to arrive at an objective decision?

Peter Davidson, Alderley Edge, NW.England 

John Ackers (not verified)
19 February 2009 - 1:44pm

As Suzy says "Being well-travelled was once a virtue and an aspiration, like being well-read." But as her article demonstrates, travel doesn't always broaden the mind.

rk
23 February 2009 - 9:46pm

This lot must be yet another front for the ex-Revolutionary Communist Party, ex-Living Marxism grouping? Or is Modern Movement a parody of the clique? Either way, Suzy Dean is welcome to her place in the departure lounges of Stansted, Heathrow, Gatwick, Luton, and City airports.

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