As the 2001 election approached, the enthusiasm had given way internationally to disdain and domestically to widespread apathy and foreboding. When, finally, after its foot and mouth postponement, Blair launched the campaign on 8 May in an evangelical visit to a south London high school, the publics worst suspicions were confirmed. He seemed certain to win, but the aura of sanctimony was dreadful to behold.
The world now looks differently at the United Kingdom. Tourists are warned away from its countryside, no one wants to eat its meat, its railways shatter under the impact of passing trains, its press and politicians (but not most people) seem to be in the grip of asylum-seeking xenophobia and its constitutional system has locked it into a descending spiral, with potentially dire consequences. The press in its nearest neighbours, Ireland and France, view Britain as a pariah state while that in its closest ally, the United States, perceives decline and fall. The German magazine, Stern, has just published a sober ten-page analysis of our miseries (part-translated in The Scotsman).
The perplexing unreality of the election campaign is not explained by William Hagues inability to mount a convincing offensive. The ideological disintegration of Conservatism can be seen as another component of the crumbling infrastructure. Like getting on a British train, many will vote Conservative because they feel they have to, dreading for their lives because there is no other vehicle available.
The strange character of the election needs to be understood as the result of a deeper change: a mutation of the British state that has taken place over the near-generation between 1979 and 2001. It is the failure to escape from this that is the source of the unreality.
Thatchers rupture
Up to 1979 the United Kingdom was an ex-imperial state in decline. Neither Left nor Right had succeeded in turning round (or even arresting) this process by policy means alone. Margaret Thatcher emerged from the wreckage. She had declared that anyone who believed in the then-prevailing norms of consensus politics was a traitor. Her conviction-Conservatism rejected the idea that decline was something to be accepted.
Instead she looked for a spiritual and economic restoration. The luck of her victory in the 1982 Falklands war gave her an inner sense that she had been chosen by destiny, a belief echoed by an increasingly overblown press. Together, the diva and her tabloid and broadsheet chorus embraced a comprehensive and radical redemptionism.
Since then the terminology of revolution has regularly figured in British political rhetoric. Putting the Great back into Britain ceased to be a figure of speech. It was embodied in a new mixture of violent economic de-regulation and cultural crusade a re-shaping of society by the combined shock-tactics of privatisation and think-tank.
This was a genuine rupture most of Thatcherism had been unthinkable in the previous mentality of British rule. Also, it was successful or at least, successful enough on the socio-economic plane for her breakthrough to be non-reversible. Her entrepreneurial modernisation even coincided with a climatic change in Atlantic capitalism, which made it look far-sighted. But it should not be simply merged into that broader framework. The UK state had its own motives and trajectory and British grandeur eluded Thatcher as much as it had her post-Churchill predecessors. She embraced President Reagan and used the USA to prop up Britains world role to no avail. After her overthrow in 1990, the Kingdom lapsed into the pothole of Black Wednesday (the currency collapse of 1992) and then John Majors half-decade of miasmic torpor. After which a further revolution was plainly required.
Blair takes the baton
The revolution duly came in 1997. The Blairism that followed sought to benefit from Thatcherisms economic convulsion, while orchestrating a further shift of mentalités under the assorted banners of the Third Way, which intended to reconcile the Enterprise Culture with the remains of Welfarism. This nebulous concoction was seen as a growth-pod through which the essence of A British way might be more soundly renewed. The fundaments of the once enviable Westminster Monarchy and State would now experience giddy regrowth under a second magicians spell.
A loathing refusal of overt constitutional change accompanied Margaret Thatchers economic radicalism. Certainly she preserved the unique powers of sovereignty enjoyed by British Prime Ministers. But at the same time she liquidated the informal system of checks and balances, from parliamentary conventions to a sense of fair play, constructed over the centuries to prevent parliamentary despotism.
The consequence can now be perceived as a new kind of régime. Thatchers was not just a government in the sense of an administration like its predecessors. It was a populist semi-autocracy, in which the Premier sought to mobilise the people in a national crusade.
If we are to speak of it as a régime, rather than an exception, Thatcherism needed to spawn a recognisable successor. It has done so. Her radical Britain is being carried forward by Blairs project Britain. New Labours turn at redemption confirms that the UK is effectively in the grip of a new state-system.
After-Britain
We can call this After-Britain. It has quite distinctive rules and tendencies of its own. Blairism, too, asserts its essential continuity with the 1688-1979 United Kingdom. The claim is all too easily justified in terms of heritage displays at Buckingham Palace and Westminster. Britain goes on asserting its presence in the skies of the Balkans and the Middle East, and retains both a Nuclear Deterrent and a seat on the UN Security Council.
But this impersonation of old Britain should not be confused with real continuity. The countrys rulers have now become a parody of themselves. After-Britain is simultaneously the heir to, and the absolute betrayer of, its past and traditions. Its real meaning is a soft totalitarianism under which society is ceaselessly convoked into whatever redemptive dream is projected by the governing elite and its media. The revolutions of 1979 and 1997 have continued to nourish the Unwritten Constitution, and to revere its retrospect of glamour and untouchable stability a paralysing façade of reassurance, behind which a deeply divergent country has in truth emerged.
That country is the changeling Kingdom of Thatcher, Major and Blair a parody of Britain which strives to rejuvenate itself by will-power, charisma, histrionics, cascades of new ideas and ingenious policies from cones to domes anything except a new political constitution. Within this non-stop, non-revolution from above, what we see are features of revered tradition reinvented as farce, and sometimes transformed into their opposites.
The tacit authority of a once hereditary caste has lapsed into regimentation by parvenus, spin-doctors and control-freaks. Deference has been replaced by tabloid news-management. Most recently, the vicious populism of The Weakest Link has turned the culture of the winner-takes-all electoral system into a TV game show in which the best are eliminated. In effect, the old ruling class of the 18th century constitution and Empire has made way for a simulacrum of itself: an élite of consiglieri (those who are One of Us or invited to the party). A synthetic extended family branches out into a burgeoning apparatus of quangos, Task Forces, and other unaccountable agencies, and is allied to a squared or supine business class.
Just as Thatcherism made a difference, so Labour will leave its own mark, with its fiscal prudence, its effort to reverse the creation of an underclass, and as we saw on 8 May to teach the young to read and write. It is not merely a repeat of the Wilson-Callaghan years. But this should no more blind us to the regime reality than Thatchers reforms and her popularity. In both cases, democracy is permitted to prevail only in the sense of alternating dictatorships.
The slough of redemption
Edmund Burkes parliamentary representation has turned into a periodic vomit-politics, where one or other of the only two possible parties is ejected in disgrace so that a newer redemption formula is given its chance. Westminster simple-majority voting is now needed to keep this parodic system in existence. Thatcher refused any proportionalism here, and Blair has hypocritically withdrawn from vague promises about it. In fact, huge majorities are required to nourish the myths of Sovereignty, British exceptionalism, and its obligatory radicalism.
This means that governments can now only be swept away by febrile waves of mutiny, when popular sentiment veers from acquiescence into resentment at sleaze and ineptitude (as it showed signs of doing against New Labour during the fuel crisis of 2000). While in office, the ruling party identifies the Nation with itself. In the shadow of such omnipotence, the party out of power becomes nothing (Labour under Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock, the Tories under William Hague). Instead of being Her Majestys loyal opposition, a once honourable role, it endures a wilderness of demoralization and feuding, until it has pasted together another redemption recipe and is prepared for the next nausea-spasm of Get the rascals out!. Meanwhile, voter-participation drops continuously and Parliament becomes a vaudeville show. It is quite likely that more people will have voted for Big Brother than for the government of 2001-2005.
This depraved system has matured enough to neutralize the internal factors that, in the transition from Thatcher to Blair, looked to systematic progressive change like the Liberal Democrats, Charter 88, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. The Lib-Dems have been co-opted, Charter 88 reduced to angry frustration and the nationalists subordinated (supposedly) by devolution. There is even talk of English regionalism as a farther safeguard. In this way After-Britain offers impotent voice as a way of avoiding not only exit, but central constitutional reform.
Neutering the constitution
The Blair government, of course, was committed to a significant programme of constitutional modernisation. In short order it managed to carry it out and at the same time confine it to the outer reaches. The Scottish parliament and Welsh assembly, a human rights act, a Mayor for London, the eradication of most hereditary peers, independence for the Bank of England these could have led towards a genuinely contemporary state.
Instead, Labour successfully resisted the threat of reform of the centre. Its refusal of electoral reform is a key part of another, longer and more grievous list such as the failure to modernise the Commons to make it effective, the embarrassing decision to preserve an undemocratic second chamber and the backtracking on a genuine freedom of information act. The result is that while central government is now actually responsible for less, thanks to devolution, it intends to carry on as it did before if not more so.
To undertake such alterations of the periphery without deeper constitutional reform was folly the folly of a British identity over-confident of its historic sovereign omnipotence. Eventually, redemptionism is likely to be the harbinger of the United Kingdom collapsing backwards into post-1989 modernity, breaking up as it does so over the coming decades. The main nerve of this disintegration lies less in the urges of peripheral nationalism than in Unionist (and above all English) incapacity over constitutional change, and obsession with a past identity.
The most striking oddity of After-Britain in this perspective is the silence of its dominant nationality, the English. The choking of Englishness is the tacit condition for British survival and hence, for the whole post-1979 system. England represents about 85 per cent of the archipelago, as well as most of its wealth and new economy. Such dominance has been the excuse for the failure of genuine reform. As long as this situation persists, it remains hard to see a way forward from the contracting political universe due to be underwritten once more on the 7th of June.
One prospect presented by the 2001 election, therefore, is that this is and will continue. Prime Ministers will forever compensate for a sense of loss by evangelical declarations that the UK is once again about to become a site of greatness. After she won her third election, Thatcher was asked when she would retire and she replied that she might go on and on. She couldnt and didnt. But in another sense she has.
What comes after
Is there really no alternative? A number of forces in addition to the English need to remain confined if they are to fit into the narrowing space of After-Britain. Three might successfully resist.
First, and perhaps the most important, is the immigrant intelligentsias. A huge effort is being mounted to prevent them from participating in the re-shaping of who we are. When they show even modest and reasonable signs of not being grateful, hysteria ensures, as with the media reaction to the Parekh Report on The Future of Multi-ethnic Britain, and the Stephen Lawrence Enquirys condemnation of institutional racism in the police. If immigrant leaders manage to refuse what is becoming an ethos of British correctness, an important centre of resistance to After-Britain will form around them.
Second, and an ally in this counter-project, is the advance of civic nationalism in Wales and Scotland. There, movements are growing which, even with the prospect of independence, now demonstrate a strong interest in common institutions across the Isles. This has also been supported by Dublin, and given embryonic form in the British-Irish Council.
Finally, Europe seems set to develop a constitution. This will be a lengthy process which will present a constant challenge to Westminsters claim to exceptionalism, and being above that sort of thing. It seems all too likely that the tensions thus generated will lead to indefinite postponement of a referendum on the Euro until it can be won. This must be deeply tempting to the Labour leadership, as it will allow them to preserve Tory divisions while stealing their clothes. But it may prove impossible to avoid a resolution one way or another.
Can forces such as immigrant communities, civic nationalists, including eventually English civic nationalists, and those committed to a constitutional Europe, combine in some way? Unless they do, unless the real country makes a joint challenge to the unreal country, After Britain will continue. Both for the next four years, and, most probably, for years to come under a new Tory leadership.






















