Gorbachev: history will be a fairer judge

Many great statesmen have shaped the course of recent history: Churchill, de Gaulle, Thatcher, Kohl, Reagan, Havel and Wałęsa among them. But only one leader – Mikhail Gorbachev – determined the long-term history of the global order. Swept away by the wave he himself had unleashed, his life after the Kremlin was accompanied by loneliness, hostility and lack of understanding. It may be some time before he gets the recognition he deserves, suggests Lilia Shevtsova.

Mikhail Gorbachev will turn eighty next week. It is an occasion to look back and ask ourselves questions not only about his own contribution, but also about what happened to us after he left the Kremlin.

The answers to both questions actually come from the Russian leaders that succeeded him. Not long ago another eightieth anniversary — this one Yeltsin’s — was celebrated with great pomp and circumstance, as a national event with the participation of the ruling tandem. The official celebrations were meant to demonstrate the continuity of the Putin-Medvedev regime with that of Yeltsin's, and to present the latter as the leader who had liberated Russia. It was a brazen attempt to borrow democratic legitimacy from Russia's first president. For a few hours, the narrative that Putin had saved Russia by rejecting Yeltsin's “evil 1990s” was dropped; projecting a more civilised image was instead the order of the day. However, the very fact that Yeltsin's anniversary was turned into a Kremlin-choreographed ballet — with Putin in solo role preaching on “the ideals of freedom and democracy” — only reinforces doubts one may have about the democratic legacy of Russia's first president.

Gorbachev Green Corss

Gorbachev was the first Russian leader to have desacralised power

By dint of transforming Yeltsin into the official, Kremlin-endorsed reformer his antipode, Gorbachev, automatically gets kicked out of the system realm. And it's just as well: though they do not know it, the powers-that-be are doing Gorbachev an invaluable service. It is in any case unlikely that Gorbachev would be interested in providing legitimacy to a regime with repressive tendencies. Having changed the course of world history, this man can watch the rat-race in Russia's backyard without any neuroses. And the further away from Kremlin he gets, the more significantly his figure looms in the space of history.

There are many celebrated names to have shaped the course of recent history: Churchill, de Gaulle, Thatcher, Kohl, Reagan, Havel and Wałęsa. All leaders who in decisive moments determined the course of their countries' history. But only one leader – Mikhail Gorbachev – determined the long-term history of the global order. What did he actually do? He concluded that force is dangerous as a means of doing politics, both domestic and international, particularly when nuclear weapons are at play. “What an idealist!” - sceptics will exclaim. And, indeed, if Gorbachev were to try today, he would probably fail, and fail badly. The political world has become utilitarian, pragmatic, fixated on the status quo and on traditional ways of thinking. Back then, in the late 1980s, the world was consumed by the hope of renewal and it was ready to experience something incredible. Gorbachev came to embody the incredible. 

When Gorbachev turned the chessboard it was not just the Russian elite who was not ready. The happily slumbering West, used to functioning in a bipolar world, was not ready either. Gorbachev's actions caused consternation and even shock in Western establishments, disrupting as they did the customary rhythm of life and raising challenges the West was not ready for. No wonder Senator Fullbright said, sarcastically: “The USSR ... provided us with excuses for our failures”

Lilia Shevtsova

He developed his own “triad” that not only contradicted Soviet principles but was also unusual in terms of Western democracies. First, Gorbachev recognised that the arms race was condemned to failure and that nuclear war was pointless. It was Gorbachev who came up with the idea of a “nuclear-free world” as early as 1986, i.e. well before Obama. Gorbachev's second major breakthrough was his conviction that every nation is entitled to the freedom of choice. He arrived at this evident truth at a time when the Western community was happy to implement Kissinger's Realpolitik, which justified the division of the world into “spheres of influence”. And last but not least, by proclaiming glasnost, Gorbachev laid the foundations for the birth of civil society in Russia, for the first time in Russian history.

The statesman who unleashed the avalanche

What happened was one of those unusual social breakthroughs when the endeavour of a single man launches an avalanche of events that change the global trajectory (how many similar events in history can we recall?). Gorbachev was the man who launched the avalanche. He was destined to become the leader who dismantled a bellicose civilisation – global communism. And it has to be noted that he did it at a time when this civilisation seemed likely to live on, fight or rot indefinitely. Or indeed, it was just as likely to end its life in mad convulsions. When Gorbachev turned the chessboard it was not just the Russian elite who was not ready. The happily slumbering West, used to functioning in a bipolar world, was not ready either. Gorbachev's actions caused consternation and even shock in Western establishment, disrupting as they did the customary rhythm of life and raising challenges the West was not ready for. No wonder Senator Fullbright said, sarcastically: “The USSR ... provided us with excuses for our failures.”

Let us look at what Gorbachev accomplished from 1985 to 1990. Gorbachev's “New Thinking” resulted in the Soviet-US dialogue on nuclear disarmament and the signing (in 1987) of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. Two opposing parties decided to destroy an entire range of nuclear arms capable of unleashing an apocalypse at any time. He then proceeded to negotiate the reductions of strategic offensive weapons and conventional arms and the banning of chemical, bacteriological and biological weapons.

The Gorbachev-Reagan dialogue on security issues stemmed not only from Moscow’s recognition of its inability to compete with America in the arms race. A different Soviet leader in his place could have continued playing Russian roulette with the Americans for a long time. He could have blackmailed the West, as the North Korean leaders have done, quite successfully. But Gorbachev decided to voluntarily break with the Soviet paradigm of survival at the expense of keeping up the nuclear threat. The present-day Moscow-Washington dialogue on strategic nuclear force is just a return to Gorbachev’s times as well as an admission of the fact that neither party has been able to come up with anything new since then.

"Gorbachev is the first Russian leader to have desacralised power, becoming a symbol of a new era"

Lilia Shevtsova 

Gorbachev decided to loosen the Soviet grip on Eastern Europe. At the start of the velvet revolutions in East Germany, Czechoslovakia, Hungary and Poland some local leaders were hoping for Kremlin’s “sympathy”. Gorbachev responded with a firm “Nyet!”, although Soviet troops were still stationed in these countries and all Moscow needed to do was to give the order… Gorbachev did not want to repeat the bloodshed of the Prague Spring. He gave the Germans a chance to reunite as one country (N.B.,against fervent wishes from Paris and London) and the former USSR satellites a chance to return to Europe. Today, in response to accusations that he has  “handed over” Eastern Europe he says, with a touch of sarcasm: “But we gave Poland, Germany and Czechoslovakia back to the Poles, Germans and Czechs!”

Thanks to one individual, the communist system crumbled to dust. It was the end of the Cold War and of the confrontation between two hostile systems competing for global leadership. In terms of its impact the peaceful disintegration of totalitarian communism was perhaps the most significant event of the 20th Century. Just think about it – all of this we owe to this one man! The world has entered the post-Gorbachev era, which has not ended yet, perhaps because that generation of leaders is gone and their place has been taken by political pigmies.

Gorbachev Reagan

The Gorbachev-Reagan dialogue was in part due to Moscow’s recognition of its inability to compete with America in the arms race. But it would have been impossible without Gorbachev

His attempt to reform the basic tool of totalitarianism – the Communist party – and to turn it into something more human was a logical extension of Gorbachev’s New Thinking. However, by loosening the iron hoop that had held the Soviet empire together, and by rejecting the “besieged fortress” ideology he had inevitably brought about a dismantling of the empire.

Gorbachev himself clearly was not expecting what he himself had unleashed. He desperately hoped to preserve the USSR as under the umbrella of a Commonwealth of Allied States. But the process of national republics pulling away from the centre was too powerful and the disintegration could no longer be halted. Who knows, perhaps he might have slowed down the process by market economy However, Gorbachev did not have the time to create market economy.

"Gorbachev destroyed the Soviet leader within himself well before the decline of the Soviet state"

Lilia Shevtsova

The motives that had driven Gorbachev to launch his perestroika are a topic in its own right. Was he dreaming of a “socialism with a human face”, as many assume? When he claimed that “more democracy means more socialism” he clearly meant it. At that point the historical experience proving this was impossible was not yet available. In any case, he knew (and had to know) that perestroika of the Soviet system is not a way of cementing his power. He understood the risk of his endeavour.

Creative destruction

However, as has now become obvious, neither Gorbachev nor his comrades-in-arms foresaw that perestroika would cause a total collapse of the regime. The leader who started as a reformer ended up as a terminator. It was he who triggered the law of “unintended consequences”: any step, however cautious, toward making the Soviet space less hermetic would only speed up its collapse. Gorbachev created new institutions and enabled society to develop its own forms of activities. All this contributed to the disintegration of the system that could exist only in a hermetically closed space. When did Gorbachev realise he was heading towards the dismantling of the USSR? That is for him to say, should he ever feels the need to tell. I believe that at some point he must have realised everything, and must have understood the dilemma he was facing: the USSR could be preserved only at the expense of immense bloodshed. And he was not prepared to go there. Gorbachev destroyed the Soviet leader within himself well before the decline of the Soviet state.

Of course, he did risk an implosion. After all, he had intended to rebuild the system and ended up eliminating the state. What leader would consciously take a decision of this kind, even if he were aware of the state's shortcomings?

But there is destruction and destruction. Joseph Schumpeter coined the term “creative destruction”, i.e. one that prepares the foundations for constructive development. This is precisely what Gorbachev did by becoming the great “creative destroyer”. Yes, he did not manage to, he did not have the time, to free himself completely from Soviet institutions (some he even tried to preserve). But he created an anti-system realm within the old system. The new institutions helped to avoid the chaos that usually goes hand in hand with disintegration. Gorbachev has brought “the street” into  the Congress of national deputies and let passionate discourse in. It was Gorbachev and not Yeltsin (as many people claim today) who prevented the Yugoslav scenario as the Soviet Union was disappearing into oblivion.

At the same time Gorbachev's actions facilitated the emergence of new forces and a new political atmosphere. In particular, for the first time in Russian history, the head of the regime communicated directly with the nation even though initially he was astonished and visibly irritated by the consequences of his own doing – the relentless criticism and attacks. But he was no longer able to slam shut the window he himself had thrust open. He set new standards for himself. He gave the country an opportunity to learn to speak out and to argue, and he had to learn this art himself, along with society. He has engendered in us a longing for freedom and gave us an opportunity to learn how to live with it. But he did not have enough time to safeguard the irreversibility of his own transformations. In fact, this is something he could not have done. He was destined to play a less rewarding role – that of clearing the field for new rules of the game.

Young Gorbachev

In 1950 Gorbachev graduated from high school with a silver medal.  He chose the Moscow State University, which was considered the best university in the USSR.  

Gorbachev has been criticised from all quarters. Some have condemned him for having destroyed the customary order of things. Too many people have not yet been able to adjust to a new life in a new country. Others, mainly the intelligentsia, have accused Gorbachev of having moved too slowly and not letting his foot off the brake (I was one of those voicing this objection). We did not understand that the logic of disintegration was at play here hoping (as Gorbachev hoped) that we were involved in a reform process. That is why we thought it necessary to act faster, more boldly and more forcefully! Only now has it become clear that, had he taken his foot off the break, the country could have tumbled into an abyss. 

By the way, accusing Gorbachev of indecisiveness is, to a large extent, a way of justifying our own uselessness. After all, he gave society free rein and allowed it to come up with solutions and look for alternatives. When the Poles, Czechs and Hungarians found themselves in a similar situation they started building a new system. In Russia the politically active part of the population (that includes you and me) turned out not to be ready to devise or even to articulate, its aspirations. We were expecting the leader to find the solution for us. After becoming disenchanted in Gorbachev we pinned our hopes on Yeltsin, thus proving we were not capable of making use of the freedom that had suddenly fallen into our laps. 

Another thing that has been held against Gorbachev is that he did not call a general election that would have bestowed on him the same legitimacy Yeltsin enjoyed. Only later did it become clear that there was pointless to demand such a thing from Gorbachev. It would also have been extremely dangerous. Seeking democratic mandate for the president of the Union at a time when the Soviet empire was beginning to crumble would only have made this process more painful and would have most likely resulted in bloodshed.

A basic test

By creating a space for glasnost Gorbachev created an opportunity to take steps towards institutional political pluralism. But following some hesitation, Russia under Yeltsin started turning back. The shelling of the discontented Parliament (Gorbachev also had his fair share of problems with the Russian parliament but somehow managed to get along with it!), the authoritarian Constitution that put the leader primacy ahead of society, the privatisation robbery, the Chechen war, the manipulation of the 1996 election and, last but not least, the handing of power to a successor – these were the landmarks in the formation of a system that can hardly be called democratic. “But we did have freedom of speech under Yeltsin! He did let his enemies out of prison! He did tolerate criticism!” - the Russian president's liberal supporters will object. And I will say: “You're right!” But how did it end?

“You idealise Gorbachev!”, my opponents will no doubt exclaim. “What about Karabakh, Baku, Tbilisi, Vilnius? It all ended in bloodshed!”  In trying to explain these tragedies, the human rights activist Sergei Kovalyov used to say that perestroika was by no means perfect, if only because its leaders functioned within a “totalitarian system that had not yet not completely collapsed”. OK, I concede the point: Gorbachev did not manage to fully come to grips with the agony of the totalitarian system. But he passed the basic test – he refused to use force in Moscow. And that was a decisive blow to the totalitarian logic. But what could possibly justify the Chechen war waged by Yeltsin, the man who followed a democratic logic?

"Accusing Gorbachev of indecisiveness is, to a large extent, a way of justifying our own uselessness. After all, he gave society free rein and allowed it to come up with solutions and look for alternatives."

Lilia Shevtsova

Gorbachev gave us a chance to create what we considered necessary. Some nations – the Baltics and Eastern Europe – made use of this chance. They are Gorbachev's true legacy. For a very brief moment, in the autumn of 1991, Yeltsin also had the chance to make use of the Gorbachev impetus. At that point there was a national consensus in Russia for devising a new constitution and a new system. But Yeltsin – like most of us – did not even notice this moment. For a long time we continued to perceive the remaining freedoms (freedom of the media, the freedom to criticise powers-that-be and to fight for the monopoly of power) as evidence of being a path to democracy. In fact these freedoms went hand in hand with a turn in the opposite direction. What Yeltsin did was not only creating a new autocracy. He has discredited liberal democracy (and he did it with our participation) and under its banner he proceeded to take Russia – maybe unconsciously at first – back to the past. Putin did not appear out of the blue, he has not distorted Yeltsin's legacy. Putin became the stabiliser and first manager of the system Yeltsin created. So the officially proclaimed continuity between Yeltsin and the current tandem is actually fully justified.

Life after the Kremlin

 Today Russia has returned to the pre-Gorbachev era, complete with the power vertical, a decorative constitution, a superpower imperial identity, striving for technological modernisation and even political prisoners. Again, we face the necessity of starting from scratch. And have to ask ourselves again: can autocracy be reformed or do we have to follow Gorbachev and start by dismantling it?  Gorbachev and his fate provides an unambiguous answer to this question.

Gorbachev emerges as a dramatic personality: he has transformed world order, yet his own country sees him as a destroyer. Yet the world has never known and will never know a leader capable of playing a dual role – that of dismantling the old system and of starting to build a new one. Leaders blow their popularity as soon as they begin to destroy ordinary life. This is true particularly as these two roles call for different methods and different forms of legitimacy. Moreover, no society in the world has ever perceived the leaders who dared to break the norms (no matter how horrific they were) as heroes in their own lifetime. Recognition comes to great leaders who have threatened the status quo only once they have passed away.

What makes Gorbachev's leadership so dramatic is the fact that he was swept off the Russian scene by the wave he himself had unleashed. He was destined to suffer loneliness, hostility and lack of understanding. Those who rose under Gorbachev's perestroika could not forgive him his greatness and his daring. Those who came to power thanks to him would exact petty and foul revenge.

Gorbachev experienced profound personal grief when he lost the person dearest to him – his wife and companion Raisa. And at some point it was this human grief that brought Gorbachev closer to Russia: by understanding the suffering of Gorbachev the man people started to realise the significance of Gorbachev the politician.

Gorbachev's legacy is not only a new world and a new country, to which we have not yet grown accustomed. He has created precedents that might form the basis of a new life, if we turned them into a tradition. Gorbachev was the first leader in Russia's history who left Kremlin without clinging to power and without trying to appoint a successor. So far there has been no demand for instituting the tradition of leaders’ voluntary exits from Kremlin.

Gorbachev has made one other important thing for Russia – he demonstrated that it is possible to live a normal and full life after laying down power, and in one's home country at that. He has not left Russia even though any Western country would be honoured to make Gorbachev its honorary citizen, offering him a far more comfortable life than the one he leads in Russia. Gorbachev has nothing to fear and nothing to be ashamed of. He has no need to hide or to hide anything. 

Gorbachev resignation speech

Mikhail Gorbachev announces his resignation in a 10 minute speech, broadcast live on television. "Due to the situation which has evolved as a result of the formation of the Commonwealth of Independent states I hereby end my engagements as President of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics" 

Gorbachev’s “post-Kremlin” life provides further proof of his incredibly democratic character. One can tell by his circle of friends – journalists, writers and musicians. One can tell by the fact that he has created his own social environment and managed to remove the distance dictated by his former office. Not even Western leaders can afford the degree of openness and human interaction this Citizen of the World has created around him. To experience this, it suffices to attend any meeting at the Gorbachev Foundation in which he participates.

Gorbachev is the first Russian leader to have desacralised power, becoming a symbol of a new era. And it is not his fault that in Russia this era has yet to dawn.

In Russia's political life, which is currently undermining moral authority and standards, Gorbachev remains the only person whose words the world listens to. The fact that we are trying to ignore him says more about us than about him. Of course, history will have to digest a lot more before it will fully appreciate the impact this man has had on the world scene.

Right now Gorbachev has to cope with another ordeal. This vivacious and fascinating man has become a monument in his own lifetime. Gorbachev has become History. Thomas Carlyle was right in saying that history was the biography of great men. Having booked his place in eternity, Gorbachev remains an incredible man. To be a human being and history at the same time, while remaining down to earth and not losing one’s sense of self-irony — Gorbachev can be incredibly funny! — you really have to be an outstanding individual.

Gorbachev has not been lucky with us. But we have been lucky with him. Even though we have yet to realise it.

 

The article appeared first in Russian in Novaya Gazeta

About the author

One of the most respected Russian political analysts. A former director of the Center of Political Studies in Moscow, and currently senior associate in the Carnegie Endowment's Russian Program, she has authored six books, including "Yeltsin's Russia."

Read On

Gorbachev, Yeltsin, and Putin: Political Leadership in Russia's Transition (Carnegie Endowment Series), Edited by Archie Brown and Lilia Shevtsova, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2001, 162 pages

Lonely Power Shevtsova

Lonely Power: Why Russia Has Failed to Become the West and the West is Weary of Russia, by Lilia Shevtsova, (Jun 2010), Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 361 pages

Memoirs Gorbachev

Memoirs, by Mikhail Gorbachev, Doubleday; 1st edition 1996, 769 pages

Gorbachev: On My Country And The World, by Mikhail Gorbachev, translated by George Shriver, Columbia University Press, 2000, 300 pages

The Gorbachev Factor, by Archie Brown, Oxford University Press USA, 1997, 444 pages

The Rise and Fall of Communism by Archie Brown, Bodley Head, 2009; Vintage paperback, 2010

Seven Years that Changed the World: Perestroika in Perspective, by Archie Brown, Oxford University Press, 2007, 378 pages

Down with Big Brother: The Fall of the Soviet Empire, by Michael Dobbs, Vintage, 1998, 528 pages

Lenin's Tomb: The Last Days of the Soviet Empire by David Remnick, Vintage; First Edition edition (April 26, 1994), 624 pages

Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse, 1970-2000, by Stephen Kotkin, Oxford University Press, USA; Updated Edition 2008

My Six Years With Gorbachev, by Anatoly Chernyaev, Robert English, Elizabeth Tucker, Pennsylvania State University Press, 2000, 437 pages

Inside Gorbachev's Kremlin: The Memoirs Of Yegor Ligachev, by Yegor Ligachev and Stephen Cohen, Westview Press, 1996, 448 pages

The International Foundation for Socio-Economic and Political Studies (The Gorbachev Foundation), web site 

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Shevtsova

Lilia Shevtsova co-chairs the Russian Domestic Politics and Political Institutions Project, dividing her time between the Carnegie offices in Washington, D.C. and Moscow.

Before joining the Endowment, she was deputy director of the Moscow Institute of International Economic and Political Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences and director of the Center of Political Studies in Moscow. She has been a visiting professor at the University of California at Berkeley and at Cornell University, and a fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Ms. Shevtsova is a member of the Council of the Russian Political Science Association; serves on the editorial boards of American Interest, Journal of Democracy, Pro et Contra and Demokratizatsiya.

Lilia Shevtsova is also professor of political science at the Moscow State Institute of International Affairs of the MFA of Russia; leading researcher at The Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatam House, Great Britain); member of the Executive Board of the International Institute for Strategic Studies (Great Britain); member of the Advisory Board of the Women in International Security organization; associate with the Eurasia Program of the Social Science Research Council; member of the Board of the Institute for Human Sciences at Boston University.

Source: Carnegie Moscow Center