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The three factors that will determine Russia’s political future

As the dust settles from last week’s elections, it’s now clear that a ‘triangle’ of elements will decide the opposition’s success in future votes

The three factors that will determine Russia’s political future
Moscow residents protest parliamentary elections results at a Communist-organised rally - (c) Nikolay Vinokurov / Alamy Stock Photo. All rights reserved
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Despite last week’s election results, the Russian opposition does not feel defeated – and the authorities are in no hurry to celebrate their triumph, at least in Moscow.

Indeed, all 15 seats in the Russian capital were won by pro-government candidates promoted on a party list by Moscow mayor Sergey Sobyanin.

But three factors – the now scandalous electronic voting system used in Moscow; the Smart Voting tactical voting scheme designed to support single opposition candidates against United Russia candidates; and Russia’s ​​Communist Party – now determine the opposition’s prospects in future elections, and perhaps the country’s political future itself.