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Time is running out to solve Moldova’s Transnistria question

Chișinău’s plan for its breakaway republic rests on its dream of EU membership and Ukraine winning the war

Time is running out to solve Moldova’s Transnistria question
A bust of Lenin in front of the House of Soviets building in Tiraspol, de facto capital of Transnistria | Anton Polyakov / Getty Images
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After decades of conflict, Moldova finally has a plan to reintegrate Transnistria, its pro-Russia separatist region on a thin strip of land between the Dniester River and the country’s border with Ukraine – but it’s unlikely to succeed.

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, frenzied speculation over whether Transnistria will be dragged into the conflict has been rife, as has discussion about a final settlement of the separatist conflict, which would likely involve Transnistria’s reintegration into Moldova.

Moldovan president Maia Sandu may not have a formalised strategy for Transnistria. But this summer her administration’s vision has become clear: to link the reintegration of the region to Moldova’s candidacy for the European Union.