Progress itself is not something that unfolds in a single line. Along with the natural weakening an idea suffers as it becomes diffuse, there is also the crisscrossing of influences from new sources of ideas. The innermost core of the life of every age, an inchoate, swelling mass, is poured into moulds forged by much earlier times. Every present period is simultaneously now and yet millennia old. This millipede moves on political, economic, cultural, biological and countless other legs, each of which has a different tempo and rhythm. One can see this as a unified picture and elaborate it in terms of a single cause by always keeping to a central perspective...but one can also find satisfaction in the exact opposite. There is no plan in this, no reason: fine. Does this really make it any uglier than if there were a plan? Robert Musil, Notes for Readers Who Have Eluded the Decline of the West, 1921 (in Precision and Soul: Essays and Addresses, edited and translated B Pike & D Luft, Chicago 1990)
Timothy Garton Ash begins his book Free World: why a crisis of the West reveals the opportunity of our time (Penguin, 2004) with a remark that will ring true with most readers, including this one:
I am writing soon after these events, when tempers have barely cooled. We dont yet know if the war of words over the war on Iraq was just another of those family quarrels that have regularly punctuated the life of the West, or something far deeper. Is this the last or merely the latest crisis of the West? (p 11) Whether or not its the last, it must be more than merely the latest. Something more profound is occurring. However acute, the quarrels typical of the coldwar period were mainly about preserving the mythfamily of westernness, or at least keeping up appearances. Garton Ash tries to go beyond this level. He does so with a dash and optimism unusual in the stilldeepening apocalyptic gloom. One should be grateful to him for his seeking with speed and confidence and lively reporting a genuine worldview of the way forward.
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While glad of release from doom, however, one may still have serious doubts about the recipe Free World offers us. A more free, democratic world must be due, beyond the crisis: but on these terms, and argued for in this way? At the risk of exaggeration, whats wrong with Garton Ashs view is that it remains irretrievably and, I feel, hopelessly British. Free or not so free, I doubt if any future world can now really be imagined, sourced and tagged in this way. The book is urging a new order of more open and multilateral bridgebuilding and rapprochement, as a response to the awful lessons of Iraq and George W Bush.
In a sense the books tone is overpositive, too devoted to urging reasonable individuals to do this or that. But what are the models of reasonableness? These turn out not to be so different from Westminster Bridge... with Tower Bridge still hovering in the background. Garton Ashs tone is sometimes revolutionary; his content, all too often, carries readers back to Windsorland and, more widely, to a globe of feebly modified free trade and neowestern dominance.
And who is that official mumbling with studied casualness into his highsecurity phone?:
To be the most vigorous advocate and creative practitioner of the most intense cooperation between Europe and America, together with other free countries, especially those in the Anglosphere. To be friend and interpreter in both directions. To take the spirit (of) Winston Churchill and carry it forward into the twentyfirst century postWest .
Yes, its Tony Blair, bouncing back from Basra, not even in disguise. Worse is to follow. Garton Ash says the only thing wrong with this view is its underarching ambition. We need more of it, not less. He concedes that Westminsterism will no longer do on its own: this means it has to merge into something New: the biggest bridge in the world: 3000 miles long and as many lanes wide (p.199) an Atlantic Bridge, EuroAtlanticism as matrix of the liberated world.
Help! Yet even as we reel back, the worse gets worse again. Because, as Garton Ashs bounding, often witty reasoning about the United States of America, Europe and elsewhere proceeds, a grim vein of truth does emerge from his new story not quite intended, but impressive all the same. What hes pleading for is, in effect, a globe of special relationships, bonding yet nonconstraining. And such relations could indeed proliferate along his supermotorway bridge.
They are doing so already. I write from another bit of the Anglosphere, Australia, whose government recently fell over itself to conclude a free trade agreementbridge with the USA and Nafta. The same government was reelected on 9 October 2004. And the second string on prime minister John Howards fiddle is a planned commercial deal with Beijing (provided Australia agrees in advance to be responsible over Taiwan).
These parts of the biggest bridge in the world are not tollfree. Nor is getting on to them solely a question of being broadminded, or outwardlooking: it involves being responsible, whether about Terrorism or Taiwan, which in turn implies readiness for (or at least, collusion in) future warfare.
Despite the Australian example, Ivan Krastev may be mistaken in rushing to endorse Ashs suggestions for a grander, more permanent world bridge. Krastev claims that were all Brits now: Garton Ashs perspective, he argues, accords with the experience of those living in central and eastern Europe.
Its interesting that heirs of the Ottoman sultanate and the Hapsburgs respond to this inheritor of the GreatBrit equivalent Free Worlds United Kingdom reprieved, to be kept alive at all costs on a bridgebuilding machine, that plays both sides of the Atlantic. Krastev maintains that:
the general public is in love with the prophets; and everybody is angry with the bridgebuilders. In the eyes of the public, the bridgebuilding literature is a strange mixture of oldfashioned utopianism, newborn nostalgia for the cold war west and remnants of political common sense.
So, when bridges are being burnt or regarded as boring, when readers are in search of warriors and prophets, it is a controversial strategy to write such a book.
The basis for this odd ideological fusion is suggested by Garton Ashs evocation of Robert Musil, on page 28 of Free World. Musil said wonderfully of his native Austria after 1918 that it was an especially clear case of the modern world. The same is supposed true of the UK today.
But Musil was the 20th centurys outstanding ironist. He meant the opposite. Austria before and after 1918 was a case of pathetic flirtation with modernity, ending in headlong flight. His The Man Without Qualities satirised the former empire as in essence hopelessly at odds with the future that cool Vienna which had seized on and mangled every fad and project of modern times, as a way of staying the same. As for special relationships, its later rulers sought redemption through alliance (disguised prostration) with the greater Germanosphere that became the Third Reich. Bridges were eagerly built into the terrible womb itself, where all the most noxious and fatal aspects of greatpower nationalism would attain maximum virulence. And incidentally, Robert Musil optimistically supported the Anschluss of 1938, as a highway to better times. Opposed to stupid, indiscriminate anti-Germanism, he felt strongly that the right kind of Germans were bound and must be helped to prevail.
Self-colonisation
No doubt some parts of the world do aspire to a condition of decayed Britannitude. But is it possible they are merely surrendering to new parameters of subordination, if not of servitude?
It is not that I pine in any way for warriors and prophets, who stand reconfirmed in the camp of great-power conviction after Bush's 2 November 2004 victory. No, my doubts about any rebaptised Free World are far more conservative and mundane. All I'm arguing for is nations, minus the dratted ism: democratic-national, independent, diverse, ordinary, even boring rather than 18th century museumpieces, or dictators, or hustlers like Blair and Berlusconi.
In Free World, Garton Ash repeatedly envisages staging-posts along Freedom's new Liberal Highway. Much of the book is taken up with exhortations to move on and get to the next one, credentials of reasonableness in hand. But in his British original this process has turned into moral lifemortgage. It is less a bridge Westminster has to America than a chasm (selfplunged) right to the aortal valve. What Garton Ash is pointing to can be described in a quite different way: as a process of general selfcolonisation, the willed prostration of the nongreatpower world to the great power. Free World, it seems to me, rests upon a kind of downgraded, freeonparole future a globe of abject suivisme and conformity, from élites persuaded (on the whole sincerely, but who cares?) that their own interest must represent that of the misled or indifferent nations they serve.
During the era of mainstream greatpower nationalism, between the 1870s and 1989, forcible colonisation was the standard form of expansion and dependency. Even then there were variants, for example the famous British formulae of indirect rule, or government by interposed native élites. And there were also accessory modes of dominance like spheres of influence (agreed or contested) and protectorates. However, the decisive format was inseparable from the newimperial conflicts that followed the FrancoPrussian war: imposed occupation, military repression, and cultural assimilation. Lordship of Human Kind was always in the script somewhere, whether rudely proclaimed or implicit in a selfdeprecating cough. One or other Chosen People must be destined to prevail, and the rest would eventually see the light, or have to put up with it.
Selfcolonisation is a successor trope, characteristic of the postcolonial period. The phenomenon is much older than post1989 neoconservatism. There is indeed an ancient history of it. But todays form was mainly rooted in certain circumstances of the cold war. The halfcentury stalemate after 1945 oversaw the ending of that olderstyle colonialism, now far too dangerous in a globe where nuclear missiles were deployed. National liberation was multiplying the number of independent states, but doing so on a mainly cautionary basis, where the essential duty of the new citizenpopulations was to choose their side.
Formal freedom was indeed attained partly (mostly) via such responsible choice: that is, the sapient formation of national identities and interests that would fit in with whichever world they belonged or aspired to. There was also vicious competition over marginal or dubious cases, with subversive (and occasionally open) warfare. This was the world of Henry Kissinger. Most new countries had little option but conformity, the style of selfsubordination that was unknowingly preparing the way for Francis Fukuyamas world without qualities, the post1989 End of History.
The long counterrevolution
Formerly fought for, independent statehood is now mainly taken for granted, as a necessary condition of politics. But it can be kept formal (i.e. troublefree) in the sense of being linked to substantially dependent practices, in both policy and ideology. The resultant selfcolonising formula is a gratefullywilled alignment and economic subordination (in the realistic terms appropriate to an accelerating capitalism) plus plausible philosophies of democracylimitation.
Liberation from outside repression or occupation has been attained; but only to find expression in a selection of wider, or granderseeming norms and prescriptions, the emanations of an outer sphere from which real choice is eliminated, or consigned to private spheres. Imposition in the old legionary mode is now rare, though not (as Iraq has shown) out of the question. But theres steel in the exchange, none the less: the point always has to be, theres no alternative least of all within an economic order still in vigorous expansion, and able to dominate, or at least influence, almost all developmental chances.
The détente period of the cold war was the trainingschool for this, more diffuse, dense and politicallywilled acquiescence which Joseph Nye calls the exercise of Americas soft power. Reagan and Thatcher fostered and reared it. As Jeremi Suri observes in his study Power and Protest (Harvard, 2003) it saw stability artificially enforced by the besieged leaders of the largest states, after the unwelcome shocks and surprises of the 1960s:
The history of globalisation is, in this sense, intimately connected with détente. International institutions continue to embody the conservative inclinations of leaders. They are generally opaque, elitist, and dominated by the largest states. They have important public influence, but they remain creatures of national governments. Détente protected a statecentred world and forestalled hopes for the creation of truly independent international authorities Like their predecessors in the late 1960s, leaders have protected stability at the cost of liberty.
What Suri calls détentes function as counterrevolution was simply carried forward, and hugely intensified, by the allround western victory of 1989. Certain aspects of the counterrevolution ascendant under Reagan and Thatcher now found themselves exalted. What was already the hardnosed commonsense of the times during the slow thaw of the 1980s was fetishised as the Word of economic globalism if not of God himself (the latter optional until 9/11, a position reinforced by Bushs 2004 election). What had been an ideological militiarabble became a standing army, with eternity in its lasersights.
The number of new states went on mounting, and accelerated again with the collapse of the Soviet imperium and Yugoslavia. But these new or restored national identities found it even less possible to resist conscription into the unipolar orthodoxy. The embryo of Donald Rumsfelds new Europe was born.
For a time at least, selfcolonisation into the USs assertively internationalist norms seemed the sole alternative on offer. But another opiate was very important. Promised economic prosperity and liberalism were now underpinned by a novel Tablet of ideological law, unsparingly ideologised between 1990 and 2004. The greatest planets were supposed to obey this new millennial rule too, not just the asteroid belt where most of humanitys illorganised rabble hangs out. The latter need no longer dread identityloss and national subjection, because nationalism itself the essence, not merely the excrescences was on its way to the twilight home, if not to the deathbed. Were not all nationstates, including the US and her Atlantic allies, fading away into the light of global capitalism?
Remaking nationalism
No. They were not. Today everybody knows the truth: but with the customary hopeless hindsight. The intéllos of all lands come glumly to whats left of their senses, contemplating decades of postpostmodernism. The great historic womb which bore that creature is fertile yet. Nor can this be solely because of the Trade Towers atrocity, or the American (and British, and Australian) response. The sense of inevitability and native righteousness informing US reaction in 20022003 has shown vividly how much was preserved of the old world, beneath the veneer of Historys End. The tree is green some may think, burgeoning as never before with Minervas owl as elusive as ever.
Anatol Lievens incisive account of American nationalism in America Right or Wrong has become the indispensable referencepoint. As he makes clear, the furnaceblast following 9/11 was no mere lapse, or halfhearted return to the familiarity of war, the shockeffect of a single moment. Lieven analyses not only the strength of this nationalism and its alternation between messianic idealism and chauvinism, but also its highly unreflective character. Americans still find it hard to step outside American national myths and look at the nation with detachment, not as an exceptional city on a hill, but as a mortal nation among other nations... (p 222). After 2001 the messianic Creed a mixture of Enlightenment motifs with Christian fundamentalism and rightorwrong chauvinism achieved critical mass as never before, and generated a chain reaction or historical pattern whose consequences could be sinister indeed (p 221).
When Thomas Manns yellowshoed Devil in Doctor Faustus a bully, a strizzi, a rough gets down to business with aspiring composer Adrian Leverkühn, a greatnationalist diatribe bursts forth: I am in fact German, German to the core, yet even so in an older, better way, to wit cosmopolitan from my heart... As he speaks, the cold wind accompanying his intrusion becomes an Arctic blast, causing Leverkühn to shudder in his overcoat. Wouldst deny me away, wouldst refuse to consider the old German romantic wanderurge and yearning...? Satan goes on, evoking the universal values so evidently inherent in those of old Kaisersaschern (Munich). In spite of his fascination, Leverkühn recoils from this glacial shaft as it went through my overcoat and pierced me to my marrow. Angrily I ask: Cannot you away with this nuisance, this icy draught? But as he is instantly reminded, death is inseparable from the intrusion, the vision, and also from the pact about to be signed.
That was all back in the time of Paul Celan s Deathfugue:
Black milk of daybreak we drink you at night
we drink you at middday Death is a master aus Deutschland
we drink you at evening and morning we drink and we drink...
he looses his hounds on us grants us a grave in the air
he plays with his vipers and daydreams der Tod ist ein Meister aus
Deutschland...
It was not thought then that another master might one day come aus Amerika, with a quite different deathbringing speech the cant of a neoconservatism that fuses together cosmopolitan claims and core Americanness, the freetrade mission with a particular (and archaic) manifest destiny.
The result has been what Fred Halliday calls in openDemocracy the crisis of universalism. The previous main bearer of growing world consensus, by lapsing into greatpower nationalism, has inevitably encouraged a gathering response in kind:
Around the world, the constraints of law and general moral decency that once restrained nationalism seem to have been eroded. In Israel, the public mood has shifted further towards aggressive action; across Europe, advocates of immigration and multiculturalism are under attack; in many former Soviet republics and in eastern Europe, nationalist demagogues hold sway; in Japan, a revived rhetoric of national assertiveness is taking hold...This ideological shift was underway before 9/11. It was given intellectual support by the spread of a vapid relativism, sometimes termed postmodernism...
But such relativism, it can be argued, was a byproduct of a previously established selfcolonisation that is, of general political demobilisation linked to a perfectly phoney style of universalism, the new Devils brew of neoliberal levelling, refashioned oligarchy and popular apathy. The answer cant be an alternative abstraction, snatched in desperation from the cupboard of isms. Hallidays timely verdict must be seen as pointing in another direction. Accelerating inequalities among nations and classes, he argues, has generated the rising world resentment of the west, and especially of the United States, and the resultant explosion of great nation prepotency has aggravated this dilemma:
The efficiency of the United States as a bureaucratic, logistic and military administration, combined with the utter inability of the US government to comprehend let alone adequately respond to the attacks of 11 September 2001, makes vividly clear the failed character of the US state. Spores of subjection
But if this is right, then at bottom Timothy Garton Ash is also exhorting everyone to build a bridge to failure. And failure for his hopes has only been underlined by the results of 2 November 2004. We are familiar with the concept of failed states (to which I will return below). But these have usually been discerned from the vantagepoint of one or another metropolitan eminence: distant, marginal places beset by economic failure and political cramps. For the globe to be dominated by such failure is, obviously, much more serious. Garton Ashs multifarious bridgeconstructions will then in themselves lead only to collusion with (or even support for) a version of existing globalisation, still all too compatible with the west in the general, resented and feared, sense that Halliday describes.
In short: abstract, the thirdwayish globalisation Garton Ash says is on offer is one thing but globalisation plus continuing greatpower nationalism is quite another. Free World charts many sympathetic hopes and suggestions for the former; but the latter is what is really on offer. The armed, greatnationalist storm has given new life to a failed state; and (though we cant yet be sure) that state may be constitutionally incapable of moderating or repudiating its violence. If this turns out to be true, then the imagination is forced back towards Adrian Leverkühns own Todesfuge, the great cosmic lamentation towards the end of Doctor Faustus, where the Devils music soars up to voice the eternity of human sorrow, permitting to the very end no consolation, appeasement, transfiguration.
Garton Ash s rhetoric is warmly persuasive, but evokes the style of permanent present that suits his moral and ideological approach. He believes in Life after Crisis, but situates his formulae in too recent a historical perspective. His standpoint remains the 1990s, and the emancipation of central and eastern Europe. But it was surely unlikely that all the famous burdens of former imperial conflict and world wars would simply vanish, along with the Berlin wall, into Francis Fukuyamas spellbinding The End of History.
The latter was only an antiCommunist Manifesto, destined for a far shorter life than its great ancestor. Like the heady projections of 1990s, it distracted thought away from what Musils historical millipede was up to. The latter went on wriggling, with renewed energy after the long, unnatural chill; since 2001 it has been threshing violently about, as if impatient to burst forth into something else.
No complaint is more commonly heard today than accusations of mass apathy, or even cynicism the wilful popular conviction that politics doesnt matter, or that they (politicians) are in the business for some selfinterested motives, either personal or group, in the sense of party, or élite. What else is to be expected, in a world of no alternatives and generalised masochism? Popular indifference is not unconnected with a largely justified sense of being governed by zombies. This isnt new either. A whole generation had been required to cultivate entropy of such depth and persistence. Jeremi Suri describes how. At its core, he argues, détente was a mechanism of domestic fortification, on both sides of the cold war boundary:
Détente had a powerful domestic component that exceeded a mere agreement to avoid nuclear armageddon. Responding to both domestic and international pressures in the late 1960s, leaders pursued what I call a balance of order...to preserve authority under siege...Cooperation among the great powers became a substitute for both domestic and international reform. It served as a balance against what policymakers saw as unreasonable public expectations. (Power and Protest, pp 213216)
It was this period of restoration that installed, not merely capitalism, but the authoritative, sacrosanct, realistic mode of development of post1989 globalisation the aged babe of neoliberalism, tetchily antipolitical from its cradle, persuaded that not merely socialism but nationstate public order itself is suspect, or cagelike. As Suri concludes, postmodernism has been its ghastly comfortdoll: ...the search for freedom from, rather than freedom in the nationstate, so that scepticism towards authority is today a global phenomenon. Leaders are now despised, rather than either loved or feared, and in some of the largest democracies they are ignored by as much as half the electorate, which refrains from voting.
Two of the missionary powers occupying Iraq naturally spring to mind. The third in line, Australia, doesnt quite fit, but only because voting is compulsory here. The electorate has found other ways of despising its state. How do they get away with it? Hardware superiority, heirloom democracy; and reanimated ethnocentric passions (never called nationalism in public). These jointly ensure the prevalence of reasonable expectations save when freedoms trumpet has to be sounded, and homo economicus is called upon to become Nicolas Chauvin overnight.
This is what has been genuinely conserved and brought to life by the new Frankenstein monster of neoconservatism. Reactionaries still know instinctively how people can be blooded via whats best in them, the soul and honour of cohesion and siblinghood. Is it lootcontrol that furnishes this power of insight, alongside so many stupidities? No doubt those who need things to remain unaltered do tune in more easily to certain socially inherited wavelengths, what Philip Larkin called our almost instincts. But progressives like Garton Ash tend to be impatient with these, devoted as they are to a secular evangelism of onwardsandupwards. They regard nationality as a nuisance, rather than as natures lot.
Tom Nairn has long tracked and explained the worlds major political currents on openDemocracy:
- Pariah kingdom (May 2001)
- Turningpoint politics: from salvaging the past to protecting the future (January 2002)
- The Lord of the rings: ethnicity in your dreams (January 2002)
- The party is over (May 2002)
- Just another country (September 2002)
- America vs globalisation (JanuaryFebruary 2003)
- Authoritarian Man: the Axis of Good (July 2003)
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Chronicles of servitude
Again, it is the US case that has forcibly renewed our acquaintance with Adam and Eve, as so vividly recounted in Chris Hedges War is a Force that Gives Us Meaning (Public Affairs, 2002), a brilliant example of leftinclined critique that has been bothered to investigate the matrices of nationalism and genocide. In the fifteen years since 1989, astonishing ideological constructions have arisen around all these themes, which are worth comparing with Garton Ashs.
Readers of openDemocracy have had the good fortune to enjoy appraisals of some of these. I have already referred to Anatol Lieven and Fred Hallidays contribution. There has also been an analysis of the revived élitism of Leo Strauss, for example, whose philosophy of oligarchy is so perfectly adapted to the demands of presentday neoconservatism (see Danny Postel, Noble lies and perpetual war: Leo Strauss, the neocons, and Iraq, October 2003); and Stephen Howes brilliant dissection of the recent work of historian Niall Ferguson (An Oxford Scot at King Dubyas court: Niall Fergusons Colossus, 22 July 2004).
The latter reinforces my argument because of the sheer contrast between Ferguson and Garton Ashs worldview. Immanuel Wallerstein greeted the appearance of Colossus with a sarcastic online notice entitled Hail Britannia!. He argued that the book depicts Bushs imperium as a replica of earlier British dominance, in some ways better, in others defective (and still needing to learn a thing or two). However, his title might have been more accurate: in truth, Hail Scotia! does more to convey the original source of the Ferguson Weltanschauung.
A casestudy: Scotlands selfcolonisation
The land Niall Ferguson hails from represents one of the longest extant traditions of effective selfcolonisation in the contemporary world. Founded in 1707, British Scotland has for close on three centuries embodied most of the traits mentioned earlier. Its one of the oldest bits of the western millipede portrayed by Musil at the top of this essay in Notes that were devoted to a polite yet thorough demolition of Oswald Spengler. Scotland was a pioneering specimen of todays failed states the range of recent and current phenomena to which, from his confident WashingtonBeltway vantage point, Francis Fukuyama has drawn our attention in his most recent doctors prescription, Statebuilding: governance and world order in the 21st century (Cornell University Press, 2004). His thesis is that USbased order requires more viable local states to function properly obedient statenations, naturally, who must be warned away from the damnable folly of wildcard nationalism, exceptionalism and cityonthehill antics.
Overwhelmed by the ruins of abortive colonisation, and threats of discrimination and renewed mass starvation, the early 18thcentury Scottish élite was an original example of such obedience. It went for statedeconstruction instead, and actually merged its parliament with Englands to compose modern Britain. Empire: the rise and demise of Britains world order (Penguin, 2003) and Colossus: the price of Americas empire (Penguin, 2004) are in effect a Scottish interpretation of recent world history.
Ferguson thinks the Scots did so well out of failure and political selfcastration, that it is now time for all other peoples to follow their example. Britain most obviously, but ideally other European countries too. Neoliberalism has sown the spores of dependency widely, even irresistibly. So todays applicants need nothing as drastic as the suicidenote of old Caledonia (the Treaty of Union, 1707). Britons have already learnt that the UK is not expected to turn itself formally into a native, homerule reservation. No, satrapies fit better into postmodern oligarchy, never more proudly independent than when anticipating orders, occasionally even encouraged to lead the way: a world of Blairs, Aznars and John Howards, rather than of Vidkun Quislings and Pierre Lavals.
This toxin works by political bloodconstriction. It paralyses the sense of agency, in a way described most acutely in a despairing essay I came across last week, entitled Helpless Europe. The author points out how modern circumstances of themselves incessantly harbour a tremendous optimism, gestating hopes for change and betterment. This mass impulse has to be channelled and policed by particular groups of people or tendencies whose essential duty is to instil a sense of central fate, of nearimmutable direction:
Selfappointed paragons of Realpolitik who speculate on the falling of humanitys stock (and) take as real only the base side of human nature, believing it to be all that can be counted on...What we saw of this during the war, though, and in the most disgusting caricatures, is at bottom precisely the same spirit as the one that Ministries of the same state employ towards each other whenever their interests on a given issue diverge, and the same as the one adopted by the clever businessman when dealing with his own ilk...
But I didnt stumble on this in the oped pages of Melbournes The Age, nor even The Guardian. No, it was Musil again, brooding eightytwo years ago about how he had personally witnessed everyone switch over from being bustling good citizens into murderers, killers, thieves, arsonists, and the like, either actually or by interposition and somehow without changing things much.
Normalcy reasserted itself. The revolutionaries were in parliament, he pointed out, but behaving like responsible philistines. A paralytic sense of no alternative had come to hide understanding that out innermost being does not dangle from the puppetstrings of some hobgoblin of fate and that, consequently, if we are draped with a multitude of small, haphazardly linked weights, then we ourselves can tip the scales. But, he bitterly concluded, we have lost this feeling.
Fergusons new metaphysic of servility is aimed at renewing and amplifying such loss, making it simultaneously global and fashionable. Learn from Caledonia, his readers are beseeched: several centuries have taught its inhabitants all about how cringing works, and the spectrum of reverberantly outgoing purposes that obeisance can be turned to serve. Todays Scots may grumble about lacking selfconfidence, but nobody should be deceived. Historically they substituted confidence in The Other and were richly rewarded. Voicing this culture of alienation with a certain compensatory bombast, Ferguson does of course genuinely understand how considerable the input of a dependent minority can be provided it acknowledges whos boss, learns the majority rules and (above all) learns how to exaggerate and outdo them, generating caricatures on demand.
Anyone who thinks I may be exaggerating the point should look up Niall Fergusons last interview on home ground, with Cate Devine in the (Glasgow) Herald [15 September 2003 (paidfor only)]. In the course of a visit to his old school, he claimed proudly to represent virtual Scotland, the satrapymodel for all creation, and on no account to be confused with the leftover dump that recently made the mistake of reviving a futile parliament. Even worse, nonvirtual Scots may soon be misled into overmuch concern for democracy, equality, even independence.
Nor should it be overlooked that Fergusons posture has been preceded by another historian of ideas and philosophy. In 2002, Arthur Herman published How the Scots Invented the Modern World: the true story of how western Europes poorest nation created our world and everything in it (Three Rivers Press,). This tract suggested the Enlightenment and Adam Smith must have taken off because the former state was abandoned, rather than as a civil compensation for loss: what began as a desperate, forced compromise turned into the first cockcrow of neoliberalism. The Scots had given up clannic feuding and religious strife in order to join (and boost) Civilisation, more or less as the Iraqis are being invited to do at present. In his massive extrapolation of the same theme, Ferguson maintains that, in the postsecond world war era, Londonled civilisation order then renounced its imperium in order to serve better the ascending one across the Atlantic.
Since Stephen Howes critique appeared on openDemocracy, Ferguson has summed up the message in a bloodfreezing sermon, A World without Power, for Foreign Policy (JulyAugust 2004). Musil would be vexed to witness Spenglers return but now to defend The West, rather than attack it. If the world refuses to follow Scotland and Britains example (starting in Baghdad) then it could very well collapse back into Highlanders everywhere: religious and clannic strife, systemic piracy and terror, sworddancing with Kalashnikovs he anarchic nightmare of a new Dark Age, in fact, something akin to the later middle ages. Isnt comfortable serfdom at King Dubyas court preferable to such a hegemonyless world? Apolarity could turn out to mean...an era of waning empires and religious fanaticism; of endemic plunder and pillage in the worlds forgotten regions; of economic stagnation and civilisations retreat into a few fortified enclaves.
Quite rightly, Ferguson stresses that disintegration, the downward and outward diffusion of power, is a striking feature of globalisation. But in his optic, only outlaws and terrorists can benefit from this, not democracy and diversity, or Lievens ordinary mortality of nations. Adam Smiths invisible hand has now taken institutional shape as the American Enterprise Institute, and real choice lies between that and the base side of human nature (such as Terror) a globe of notsominor warfare, haunted by wildeyed zealots promising escape into something better. Be careful what you wish for, he concludes darkly; The alternative to unipolarity would not be multipolarity at all. It would be apolarity a global vacuum of power. And far more dangerous forces than rival great powers would benefit from such a notsonew world disorder.
Selfdecolonisation
Timothy Garton Ashs conception of a more liberated post9/11 world is a welcome contrast to the pulpit tirades of JapaneseAmericans, JewishAmericans and Ferguson style ScotsAmericans small ethnies, but always with a big axe to grind. He stands resolutely for leftwing globalisation, one that encompasses (or at least aims for) emancipation and democracy. But the trouble is, his angelus novus continues to share too much common ground with Musillike hobgoblins of fate. Common ground has a positive and generous ring to it, just like bridges and highways to all men. I am saying Garton Ashs visions may be just the opposite, where the ground belongs to the enemy, and the bridges turn out to be mainly for carrying travellers beyond the bourn, and into his power, whether they realise it or not.
In his chapter on Britain, Garton Ash cites a Canadian friend who told him: The trouble with this country is that it doesnt know what story it wants to tell (p 29) Without a new story, the old ones get reiterated, or more precisely, rehashed what Tony Blair has done, in a way the author sees as inadequate, and yet without bringing himself to simply disown it either. However, may it not be that disowning is whats most needed? That is, disjuncture, refusal, exit and the recovery or construction of different voices and stories? This is the path of selfdecolonisation: quite a different process from earlier postsecond world war decolonisation and national liberation, though in some ways continuing from the latter. Freedom without it will be merely the reachmedown version of one or other empire: the Ottomans (with luck), or the Americans and Chinese (without it).
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Today a remaking of nationalism has been made possible via the unity put crudely in place by neoliberal economics (however contradictorily), by electronic communication, and the wider information revolution still transforming all societies. However, these changes are encountering states and polities evolving far more slowly. Musils blind worm of progress has been slowed down, as if rendered obese by so many successes of restoration. The hardened arteries of yesterday have imposed themselves on the birth of a more united world. Moral exhortation Garton Ashstyle wont pull the old thing together or rally its spirits.
What happened after 9/11 was the return of rulingclass strategies of a century and a half ago, when nationalism (as distinct from nationality politics and identity) was invented by aspiring greatpower elites who thought that cosmopolis might yet be within their material grasp, as well as in their hearts (like Thomas Manns Devil). Industrialisation, the spread of capitalism, meant that they needed mass popular support for the decisive adventure.
Le nationalisme and das Nazionalismus were originally children of the FrancoPrussian war, orchestrated reprises of certain popular themes and romantic emotions generated earlier in that century, and most vividly expressed in the great outbursts of 1848. Now such ideas were awarded their ism: frockcoats, diplomas, official status, and rulingclass patronage. Nationalism (c 1874) and the transfer of Chauvinism from sleazy vaudeville to the academy (mid70s onwards) were soon followed by Jingoism (London, 1878). It was this bunch of strizzis and roughs that soon pupated into the statepatriotisms of contending empires.
Today, everyevening TV news programme demonstrates how much of that ambition and fate survives: most of it, actually. Leaving paradeground Universalism behind it, US greatnation expansion has now raised counternationalisms against its own, far more durable and organized than the Wahhabite zealots of September 2001. The artificial statenation of Iraq has broken down into at least two national states in revolt, Kurdistan and the southern Shiadominated country that British colonialists called Mesopotamia. The future of Sunnidominated northern Iraq is less clear.
Writing in the New York Review of Books, US exambassador Peter Galbraith argued that the breakup of Iraq seems more likely than a successful transition to centralized democracy Iraq can be held together only as a loose federation consisting of Kurdistan, A Sunni entity in the centre, and a Shiite entity in the south, with Baghdad as federal capital (How to Get Out of Iraq, 13 May 2004). He pointed out the absurd discrepancy between this probable result and the original Bush/Blair plan for a secular marketdriven democracy: their triumphalist policy has given way to nationalist realties, with national uprisings driving the US out of central Iraq, while Kurdistan operates as a virtually independent state where the central government has no presence. In the general terms evoked earlier, a greatnational (or imperial) expedition is once more being defeated by insignificant asteroids who have rewritten the script a bitter irony underscored by the fact that one of them, Kurdistan, was probably the most outstanding national question left over (for a century) by Acts One and Two of the play, once thought terribly oldfashioned.
Returning to the subject in a more recent edition of the NYRB (Iraq: The Bungled Transition, 23 September 2004), Galbraith suggests the sole remaining way out for empire would be the loose federation that might create powerful regions and thereby a possible escape from our dilemma recognizing that Iraqs diverse peoples want very different things. Three (or twoandahalf) democratic nations would then be more likely to cooperate effectively against the common enemies of terrorism and extremism than those preoccupied with protecting their national identity.
But, what exactly is a loose federation in this sense? It could be nothing resembling the US, Australia, India, Brazil, LEspaña de las Nacionalidades, or any similar structure. Modern federations are, not surprisingly, byproducts of the modern nationalist and neoimperialist era. Like Abraham Lincolns United States after the defeat of the secession, all are in truth forms of the unitary, armoured state designed to prevent unavoidably diverse peoples from wanting things too diverse and uncontrollable, above all in relationships with other states. Federation is an expression of nationalism, not a repudiation of it. As Galbraith himself explains, there would not be the faintest chance of Kurds accepting federation with a Shianational majority, and calling it loose wont make it possible.
If on the other hand he means confederation, a system in which sovereignty remains lodged in its separate parts, then it must be pointed out that (as well as being unacceptable to the Shia) this could only rest upon recognized allround rights of independence and selfgovernment, which cannot be bequeathed by departing armies of occupation. Naturally, both the new constitution of the European Union and the United Nations would recognise such a status. But they will only be able to do so post hoc, once the wars are over.
The question of America
Free World deals mainly with the Atlantic area and its neighbours or offshoots. But the pattern described is not so confined. I mentioned Australia and China. At an Asialink forum in Canberra in August 2004, Professor Zhang Yunling from the Chinese Academy of Social Science told the audience that, while China certainly does not want a war, At the moment it is seriously preparing for a real war over Taiwanese independence. Why?
For China, Taiwan is an emotional and sentimental issue. The Chinese people cannot go on accepting a steady move by Taiwan towards independence. Chinas worries are based on two judgements: the independence trend on the island and increasing US military cooperation with Taiwan.
Hence it would be prudent for Australia to consider a more independent foreign policy meaning a less onesided obedience, which may in time carry the added benefit of participation in Chinas economic dominance. No Australian expeditionary force to help subdue Taiwan will be required. A simple, steadfast refusal to defend democracy in Taipei will do, couched in the standard editorialese of Realism or safeguarding national interests. The Professor, one must assume, was well aware of Australias chronic identity and storytelling problems, and resultant proneness to greatpower mesmerism.
Australian governments are indeed inured to balancingact invitations. Since the massacres following East Timors independence in 2002, they have had to confront three farther affronts to the emotional and sentimental issues of another greatstate neighbour, Indonesia: in West Papua, in the old sultanate of Aceh, and most recently in the partly Christian territory of Molucca.
Northwards and westwards again, greatChinese and greatIndonesian identity dilemmas are matched by the rise of greatIndian, Hindubased power complexes, combined in this case with nuclear arms and the subcontinental equivalent of Taiwan, Kashmir. Where great India arises, can a greater Pakistan be far behind? Prostrationchoice will not be lacking in our region. Nor, by most accounts, is it likely to diminish much in a foreseeable future. Prophets of an Asian century have abounded over the last few years, usually locating their apotheoses in the second half of the 21st century. Naturally, all such expansive moments will invoke globalisation as support and entitlement, accompanied by cosmopolitan incense, UN lobbying, and combinations of bribery with the coldshoulder.
Globalisation made in the USA
openDemocracy readers have been treated to all too many definitions of globalisation already. Yet another may be suggested, with due diffidence: globalisation is the process that brings the greatnation debtcollector to the front door of each nongreat client every day of the week not just now and then, or when crisis impends. But in any case, we have learnt from the US example that crises will forever impend. In the era of regenerate nationalism, these retain all their old utility, in the vital emotional and sentimental areas of mass allegiance wherever identity is showing signs of realismdeficiency, undue pluralism, or overconcern about democracy and equality.
Whatever the capo dei capi offers can of course then be formally turned down; but only on pain of sanctions or worse. Not much use refusing to answer the doorbell, either. Theres muscle in the background, and other ways of imparting lessons in honest dependency. The World Trade Organisation and other organisations provide tutorials in the kind selfcolonisation that knows its place.
Garton Ash wants Britain to survive, and continue to exercise the function Winston Churchill prescribed for it over half a century ago: a pivotal, or linking position between Europe and America, plus its remaining overseas links with Commonwealth states. It must keep trying to pull America and Europe together (p 53). But this possibility has become obscured by European development itself. So his argument is forced back on to Europe as NotAmerica (Chapter 2), where he finds that the new enlarged Europe is engaged in a great argument between the forces of EuroGaullism and Euroatlanticism a debate upon which the future of the west depends (p 58). Unfortunately, the only conclusion the writer comes to about this is a twofaced one as well: he takes us from JanusBritain to JanusEurope America and most of the diverse countries of Europe belong to a wider family of developed, liberal democracies. America is better in some ways, Europe in others (p 81).
His argument has been extended in a recent example of his widelysyndicated column. Perceiving that Blairs servile posture towards Bush, which Garton Ash describes as the Jeeves school of diplomacy, he advocates a combination of British and French attitudes to form a Jacques Blair policy that is threequarters Jeeves.
The argument hinges finally on what one thinks of the US itself. But maddeningly enough, the verdict reached is as twofaced as the questions that have led up to it. For he finds the Americans to be equally Janusafflicted, between unilateralism and multilateralism (p 136). Garton Ash perceives the ascent of nationalism under George W Bush, of course, but stresses equally the preceding traditions of looser, more cultural hegemony. He maintains that no die is cast between these attitudes. Hence the vital importance of avoiding antiAmericanism. The rest of the world can help to ensure that the more tolerable sort of US authority and strategy prevails.
In such circumstances, those who govern us are not utter scoundrels. But half the time they really dont know what theyre doing...(and)...we can influence them, above all by avoiding the perils of nationalism, British, French, American, European or whatever (pp 24950, What Can We Do?). Britain should at last find its role in this cause, not by forsaking but by renewing its exceptional, or pivotal destiny (p 207). A former Archbishop of Canterbury who remarked that Britain is now an ordinary little island is fiercely rebuked: These islands are anything but ordinary... and remain capable of being worldshapers, at least for the next twenty years or so.
What principles should guide this Britishinspired new coalition of the Free? There really isnt much to say about them: Free World naturally cant avoid the central pillar of the received wisdom free trade, elaborated and endorsed several times in the course of the argument, with admonitions about the industrialised north becoming more systematic and genuine in its application, so as to encourage the less industrialised south. Equally conventionally, Trade is to be followed by Aid much greater, and more focused in the same direction; and also, accompanied by genuinely global, enforceable agreements on the environment. But how many economists, foreign ministers, and editorialists have made identical pleas over the past twenty years? These didnt avert (or remotely foresee) the crisis that Garton Ash is so concerned to resolve; why should any farther pursuit or repetition of them do any better, even on the much broader front he is proposing?
It should also be observed that the author refuses to tackle certain deeper, more antagonistic theses that have questioned the foundations of the neoliberal creed. He recognises that new stories are needed, but not just how many, or how allencompassing, these will have to be. Like Amy Chuas study World on Fire (2002) for example, (How Exporting Free Market Democracy Breeds Ethnic Hatred and Global Instability), where the argument is that rapidly expanding transnational trade in itself cant avoid generating countertrends of heightened ethnic and national resentment. Identity politics is no cultural pastime, but a struggle for survival and a demand, even a deadly demand, for protection. Or Emmanuel Todds After the Empire (Columbia University Press, 2004), an anthropologists analysis of the missing foundations for American or any other wouldbe globalising system.
AntiAmericanism
It is this combination of ahistoricism and unwillingness to seek any wider philosophical scale that compels Timothy Garton Ash to rest his argument so heavily on morals. Many readers are sure to enjoy such exhortation, but may grow somewhat fatigued by it. He counts too much on their goodwill, and his main argument rests too much on the conjectured goodwill of Americans. To be antiAmerican will just make things worse, he fears, thus endangering the rejuvenated Free World order he hopes for.
Few will doubt what he says about loud, highlyarticulate American opposition to their new empire. My own file on the question is like everybody elses: about twothirds of it consists of outraged and vehement Americans who cant stand what has happened to them and (like Michael Moore) want the country they know and love back again. Everything worst on neoliberalism and Bushs wars has come aus Amerika; but so has everything best, on this incredible scale, and vented with unremitting force and passion.
The trouble is, its not enough. Not enough for them, and certainly not enough for the millions of outsiders who want the direction of the American state to be righted, partly through sympathy and foreign commitment. Halliday was absolutely right on this point: the problem isnt policies and moral attitudes, it is the nature of the state. But states are also nations; and Lieven has shown more clearly the character of the nation intertwined with this state.
The question may be clearer if one recalls roughly parallel past episodes, for example in Fergusons British tradition. In the early 20th century, at the height of UK supremacy, the arguments for not being indiscriminately antiBritish were just as strong as those presented here. Were there not great oppositional movements within the metropolis itself? One school of Liberalism, the nascent Labour movement, Little England: all denounced the folly of imperialism, and sought governmental office in London, promising an end to colonialism and its pseudomission.
At that time too, liberationists from all round the globe found themselves forced simultaneously to oppose Britain, and appeal to this better side, to wellmeaning allies and sympathisers within. The same was true in Frances North African and other overseas domains. Then as now, it was indeed futile merely to turn racism on its head, and apply identical criteria to the whole societies of the dominant oppressor powers.
Yet being decent about the Brits and the French didnt help either them or their victims much. Indiscriminateness was never just stupidity, in other words. Stereotypes serve a purpose, and this is why moral entreaties have so little effect on them. They tend to be necessary conditions both of the imperium, and of its counterforce, or resistance. It was simply not the case that there was no point in antiBritishness and antiFrenchness. And in the same sense, being antiAmerican isnt thinking that Bush and Kerry, or Noam Chomsky and Paul Wolfowitz, are just the same, or as bad as one another. But what it does recognise is that both cant help being part of a larger entity, of a cohesive statenation or looked at the other way round of a nation that may have all too few powers of redressement, of reforming and righting its inherited state. The entity isnt an abstraction; its a cohesive historical reality that populations cannot help acting out a constitution in the true, indwelling sense, usually hard to escape from or reform. The greater the nationstate, the harder this is.
Take a recent, fascinating example that underlines the point. Jürgen Habermas and the late Jacques Derrida brought out a joint statement when the Iraqi war began in 2003, trying to establish just what is distinctive about European attitudes and politics, and to justify common opposition to the conflict. When interviewed on the subject America and the World in Logos, Habermas claimed that the war has shown the need to reform international relations, but that one must bear in mind how
the project can only succeed if the USA, as in 1945, takes on itself to be the locomotive at the forefront of the movement. For one thing, it is a lucky accident of world history that the sole superpower is the oldest democracy on earth, and hence has, so to speak, innate affinities with the Kantian idea of the legalizing of international relations. But there is no luck about the accident at all. No neoconservative pundit ever omits deference to the oldest on earth from his or her daily diatribe. As Anatol Lieven points out, this is part of the right or wrong syndrome. The 2001 reanimation of US nationalism, with attendant ethnocentricity (chosen people) includes it perfectly naturally within the new external frontier (terrorism, evil) ideologically imposed by George W Bushs Republicanism, and manifested in the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. American liberals and leftists often say their country is a republic, rather than an empire, as if the problem is to get back to the former the revolutionary state that schoolchildren sing praises of, and Immanuel Kant approved. But the problem is that this sacrosanct entity was long ago absorbed into what Habermas himself calls the thick tradition of a national identity that has been hijacked because it was hijackable that is, taken for granted, unassailable, heartthrob guaranteed, a collective soul at once binding and transcending the citizenry.
Being oldest on earth and a vital part of the Enlightenment is part of the dilemma, not its resolution. As Manns Devil understood so well, this is what renders the unspeakable untouchable, and even Kantworthy. Todays US constitution was in fact upgraded and redirected by Lincolns defeat of the southern Confederacy, and the subsequent establishment of Federation as a compromise between the old founding state and the demands of a rising great power; but that tends not to figure at the ideological level. Almost everyone in the American nation does or did support the resultant thick tradition. Some consequences became clearer with the presidential election of November 2000, when the oldest democracy on earth proved incapable of electing a leader. They are now clearer still, as he has been actually elected inevitably, an act of profound enablement and national justification.
AntiAmericanism is based upon the intolerable prospect of living alongside a state like this, on a globe now too small to ignore or shelter from it. It is not founded upon halfwit counterracism, guilt by association, or daft ideas about Europeans, Muslims or anyone else being superior, betterendowed, or closer to Nature. Rejection and resentment of hegemony concerns state power, not people directly.
Of course, states are organically connected with peoples, the one fashions and is fashioned by the other in a multitude of ways. And the most important inner nerve of this thickness is that of the lived constitution constitutional democracy or its lack, the pretended, corrupted or failed forms of it. This is always something more than, and also quite distinct from, what people are like, in an everyday personal or emotional sense.
The strenuous, ethicallypowered democratic opposition in the USA is admirable; but unfortunately, it also remains a primarily national problem, since it has to be conducted within the incredible, constricting, anachronistic framework so well described by Daniel Lazare in studies like The Frozen Republic: how the constitution is paralyzing America (1996) and The Velvet Coup: the constitution, the Supreme Court and the decline of American democracy (2001).
Not against reason
And now, an intensification of nationalism has intersected with such paralysis and decline, with the results that Lieven has described. Its surely this that determines the antiAmerican positions so much in evidence and endlessly discussed following 9/11. These are unavoidable because (as Halliday suggests) its the identification of Americanism with Reason that has failed. Nor has this happened as any sideeffect of the array of wild theories that Richard Wolin has recently surveyed in his The Seductions of Unreason (Princeton, 2004). There has indeed been what he calls an intellectual romance with Fascism from Nietzsche to Postmodernism, and it has had denigration of America as a constant theme, albeit an imaginary or metaphorical America the New World as a projection of European fears concerning progress, modernity, democracy, and an escalating rate of social change (p 23).
Wolins impressive lineup of scoundrels and lookalikes, from JosephArthur Gobineau to Jean Baudrillard, via Oswald Spengler, Carl Schmitt, Martin Heidegger and the Frankfurt School, all perceived America as embodying an unreal, abstract humanity the human nature of a deluded or mechanised Reason. Against this they have always invoked a romanticised irrationality and difference, whether as blood or (more recently) the lifegiving virtues of ethnic diversity and multiculturalism. Such anticivilizational rants (p 301) tend to simply overlook Americas contributions to the history of political democracy a constitutional commitment to popular sovereignty, a Bill of Rights, periodic creative upsurges of democratic populism, the real America Wolin promises to defend in his Introduction.
Garton Ashs determined optimism is another chapter of this same defence. It is therefore very important to make clear that the countertheses advanced here (and in other texts cited above) bear no relationship whatever to Wolins dreary heritage of anticivilisational scaremongering. What they have come out of is the failure, or breakdown, of precisely what he extols: real America in its own terms. Its the absence of commitment to popular sovereignty, the betrayal of the Bill of Rights spirit, and the nonupsurge of democratic populism following the nonelection of George W Bush in 2000 that have done the trick not mysterious mass conversion to relativist or neoracialist twaddle. The triumph of 2004 was not just another election. It was the rite of passage of a reborn greatnationalism and indeed, of many of those things Wolin denounces so effectively as romantic, irrational, and anticivilisational.
All that antiAmericanism really entails in this sense is quiet (and pretty often disenchanted) consciousness of the Americans as just another country. I suggested in earlier contributions to openDemocracy that this might be a result of the 9/11 aftershocks. The US return to greatnationism was not a manifestation of globalisation as such, but an attempt to guide (or hijack) it more directly, and unanswerably in other words to prevent it being global in the sense of shared by all. The rebirth we are witnessing is first of all, a birth. In this case, that of a nationalism with fewer restraints, overwhelming not simply in power but in the justification of a supposed war against Terror, and antiGodly Evil. Refusal of such guidance and its implications has already divided the world, not only the United States.
Now as then, the inevitability of this anti poses the bigger question of what the pro is to be something at least faced up to by Habermas and Derrida in their joint declaration on Europe. If there is an opportunity of our time staggering out from under the crisis, I dont think itll be at all like what the British would like to see in Garton Ashs narrative: a benign force that proceeds from Britain outwards, via Europe, America and the rest of the world, claiming to find a new, and naturally pivotal, role for London as it does so.
Its not Reason or Civilisation thats at stake here: just greatnation stageimpersonators convinced that the global audience would always accept their versions of human nature. As for the future of nations, nationalitypolitics, confederations of resistance and alternative, and so on: There is no plan in this, no reason: fine. Does this really make it any uglier than if there were a plan?
After the end
In her openDemocracy comments on George W Bushs November 2004 electoral victory, Susan George remarks that it may live far longer in infamous reputation than 9/11. Like Bushs original nonelection of the year 2000, the latter was only an event. The confirmation of Bushstyle Republicanism and neoconservatism three years on is much more like a settled direction a situation longterm enough to mean relatively permanent changes, and accompanying differences over a broad range of matters.
A somewhat different United States, and an altered pattern of international relationships, are the very least that anyone can expect. This will be true even if later events a Democratic party renaissance, a slump, intensified conflict inside the USA as well as outside it, and so on bring about a defeat of the present régime. For any subsequent Washington government has to inherit the state so reconfigured, the present weird mixture of economic domination and financial dependence, and the huge and tumultuous wake of post9/11 foreign policy all round the globe.
Timothy Garton Ash has been kind enough to update readers of Free World on his views of this prospect. In his column immediately after the election (Great vote, grisly result, Guardian, 4 November 2004), both the best and worst aspects of Free World are vividly on show. Ash visited the poor, black areas of Washington DC on polling day, and talked to numbers of indignant voters determined to oppose George W Bush.
Its South Africa! was his first thought, or as he put it more theoretically: one of those elemental moments as in South Africa, as in Poland in 1989, as in Afghanistan a few weeks ago, when the great, tempestuous river of democracy breaks through all the barriers erected in its way But alas, the barriers held, and as he admits: There was the gut instinct of so many American voters to put moral, cultural and lifestyle choices before anything else and it was this instinct, so strongly infused with life after 9/11, that carried the day and of course, far more than the day.
Yet he still has to conclude, as in his book, that its a huge mistake to conclude that George Bush is the true face of America, which remains one country, but two nations. Hence it will be our selfcolonising duty to put up with it, and make the best of whatever the victorious nation chooses to offer choking back the bitterest bile as we do so since its our enlightened selfinterest to do so, in order to preserve whats left of the free world and also to keep faith with the other America, those he met across black Washington. And in four years time they, and we, will probably get a better US president.
But there is no huge mistake. Of course Bush isnt all America, or all Americans. What this platitude ignores is that Bush is the American state including all too much of the constitution that produced this state and that the tempestuous river of democracy has to be directed against the barriers that have created and still maintain it. While the US opposition continues to follow its embedded rules, rather than striving to replace them, no shift of party rule or president will do other than itself compromise or remanifest the historical character which has emerged after Bushs nonelection, and the traumatic shock of the 9/11 attack.
Timothy Garton Ash doesnt perceive this qualitative shift: not just the reaffirmation of a past, inherited national nature, but the decisive formation of a new one, never present in this way in previous American involvements with the outside world. From the HispanoAmerican conflict, via both world wars and the cold war, US civicconstitutional identity retained a regulative role which however dubious, and sometimes equivocal, or worse still restrained the nationalism invited by such developing, and finally dominant, power.
But today the restraints have gone. Keeping faith with Garton Ashs other America the very nearly half who think like Europeans, as he puts it demands acknowledgement of the seachange threatening to drown them, along with the rest of us. He assumes that freeworldly things will somehow just go on, and remain essentially unaltered four years from now. I doubt it. Democracy will now be forced in other directions, underground as well as on the surface, towards destinations unknown to the hidebound Atlantic seaboard world that Free World still defends so eloquently.