This election campaign has felt from early on like a mere formality, the outcome a foregone conclusion. Even back in November I was writing about Labour's assumed rise to power. By now it’s clear to all that this is Labour’s election to lose.
The most interesting question has become, how will Labour govern? And whether Keir Starmer likes it or not, the other parties still have time to influence that.
This is perhaps nowhere more true than on migration. The far right could easily set the tone and agenda in this area for the next five years. If they’re successful, this might not just be the first Labour government in 14 years. It could also be the last.
