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Lebanon in the eye of the regional storm

Hizbollah’s proven armed capability in Syria, Israel’s perceived political defeat in 2006, coupled with a possible US and Saudi green light, may make confrontation inevitable.

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Xinhua/SIPA USA/PA Images. All rights reserved.
Xinhua/SIPA USA/PA Images. All rights reserved.

A member of Lebanese militant party Hezbollah is seen at the Lebanese-Israeli borders, in Lebanon on April 20, 2017. Xinhua/SIPA USA/PA Images. All rights reserved.Hizbollah are defiant. They know that the regular Lebanese armed forces are weak and that most Lebanese, mindful of the horror show next door in Syria, think that the Shia militia is crucial to their national security.

However Hizbollah is under increasing US financial pressure, and US and allied forces could weaken Hizbollah’s position in Syria. At the same time Israel recently targeted its Damascus airport supply line and could restart the confrontation with Hizbollah in south Lebanon.