Uncertainty is the prevailing mood in Cuba. Donald Trump has been clear about intervening in the country. Will the US president repeat his ‘successful’ intervention in Venezuela, or has he envisioned a different model for Cuba? There are many questions and one certainty: the revolutionary government is in decline.
The US Department of Justice last month indicted 95-year-old former president Raúl Castro, the historic leader of the Cuban Revolution, over the 1996 shootdown of two light aircraft belonging to Brothers to the Rescue, a group formed by Cuban dissidents in Miami that carried out several incursions into Cuban airspace during the 1990s. Four people died in the shootdown, three of them US citizens.
Castro’s murder indictment suggests that Washington is attempting to replicate the strategy it applied against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, who is currently detained in New York. Maduro was kidnapped by US military forces in January this year, in an operation that left between 70 and 100 people dead, after the US Justice Department issued an indictment against him in 2020, during Trump’s first term.
