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Impact of Brexit on Scotland’s independence drive is hard to call

There is an intermediate path that the SNP may well take while it charts a path ahead, in the event of Brexit.

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PA-26285448.jpg
PA-26285448.jpg

Nicola Sturgeon after the SNP won its third victory in Scottish Parliament elections, 2016. Andrew Milligan / Press Association. All rights reserved. In the immediate aftermath of last week’s elections to the Scottish Parliament, some London commentators had strong but contrasting opinions on what the results mean for the chances of a second independence referendum in Scotland if the UK votes for Brexit on June 23.

In the Financial Times, Philip Stephens wrote: ““In the event of a Leave vote....Scotland’s SNP would have the platform from which to secure another referendum on independence. Few doubt that second time around the nationalists would win.”

Meanwhile, Iain Martin opined for his CapX blog entitled ‘Ruth Davidson triumph kills off Indyref II’ that, “A second independence referendum is off the agenda for the foreseeable future, no matter what happens in the EU referendum.”