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Will Putin use 9 May to escalate the Ukraine war or signal its end?

The president is likely to make an announcement on Russia's annual Victory Day. What he says will offer insight into how long the war will last

Will Putin use 9 May to escalate the Ukraine war or signal its end?
Vladimir Putin attends the 2012 Victory Day military parade in Moscow's Red Square | WENN Rights Ltd / Alamy Stock Photo
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Why is Vladimir Putin seemingly exercising restraint? There is no lack of bombast in the Russian president’s speeches and TV pronouncements, but he could, if he so wished, have escalated the war in Ukraine rapidly and intensively.

Yet the Kremlin appears to have avoided destroying key Ukrainian infrastructure and areas of substantial economic or military value.

In fact, it actually seems that NATO is demonstrating its power – with the coming days seeing the start of extensive military exercises stretching from the Arctic to the Mediterranean – while Putin is slowing down the war, rather than accelerating it.